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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 83-79
21-16 18-26 18-20 26-17
Position#1
Record21-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#3
Record12-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Lietkabelis
12 May 2027
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
04 Oct 2026
ZAL97
LIE68
31 May 2026
ZAL103
LIE93
26 May 2026
ZAL85
LIE75
10 May 2026
ZAL87
LIE70
19 Oct 2025
ZAL85
LIE87
06 Apr 2025
ZAL83
LIE79
15 Feb 2025
ZAL79
LIE56
20 Oct 2024
ZAL73
LIE66
26 May 2024
ZAL88
LIE79
21 May 2024
ZAL93
LIE72
18 Feb 2024
ZAL86
LIE70
29 Oct 2023
ZAL69
LIE63
26 May 2023
ZAL66
LIE67
22 May 2023
ZAL69
LIE58
18 Dec 2022
ZAL85
LIE77
19 May 2022
ZAL69
LIE73
14 May 2022
ZAL71
LIE70
20 Feb 2022
ZAL91
LIE66
05 Dec 2021
ZAL84
LIE70
05 May 2021
ZAL70
LIE68
14 Feb 2021
ZAL76
LIE69
27 Sep 2020
ZAL61
LIE72
29 Mar 2020
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
06 Oct 2019
ZAL96
LIE69
21 May 2019
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
ZAL85
LIE63
28 Oct 2018
ZAL71
LIE58
03 Jun 2018
ZAL83
LIE64
29 May 2018
ZAL93
LIE69
25 Mar 2018
ZAL85
LIE72
17 Feb 2018
ZAL88
LIE74
29 Oct 2017
ZAL92
LIE90
09 Jun 2017
ZAL73
LIE68
03 Jun 2017
ZAL97
LIE58
28 May 2017
ZAL73
LIE67
17 Apr 2017
ZAL84
LIE62
08 Jan 2017
ZAL76
LIE65
15 Feb 2016
ZAL92
LIE59
02 Jan 2016
ZAL84
LIE58
05 May 2015
ZAL99
LIE60
29 Apr 2015
ZAL91
LIE69
23 Mar 2015
ZAL102
LIE72
10 Nov 2014
ZAL91
LIE83
25 Nov 2013
ZAL101
LIE60
04 Mar 2012
ZAL93
LIE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 80
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 80
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 80
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
89-62
89
62
+27
88avg 80
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 80
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
73avg 80
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
74avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 80
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
70avg 80
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 80
H03/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
24-14
17-20
24-15
18-27
14-22
17-25
29-14
23-20
22-9
19-20
26-13
22-20
20-16
11-20
20-23
19-23
21-16
20-18
26-26
17-20
23-15
25-29
17-14
15-22
18-23
16-17
27-23
18-25
20-14
14-22
28-15
18-16
24-21
11-19
14-9
21-17
155.3Avg total
78.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.874.3165.1+16.691%
Season at home (11)90.670.8161.5+19.8100%
Season away (12)91.077.4168.4+13.683%
Last 10 (10)78.976.4155.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)79.879.4159.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.691.4172.0-10.80%
vs Similar (10)77.181.3158.4-4.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.475.6166.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
83avg 78
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 78
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 78
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
43avg 78
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 78
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 78
A02/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
60avg 78
A08/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 78
H15/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 78
A22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
79avg 78
H30/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-23
19-22
29-29
14-18
19-28
24-17
20-28
25-19
21-20
17-30
23-19
13-24
14-14
18-20
11-21
23-31
29-18
22-18
26-24
29-15
15-19
22-23
25-15
23-20
15-18
12-17
25-19
24-19
20-6
15-27
23-23
27-25
19-17
27-23
14-27
24-15
23-18
14-15
17-16
164.6Avg total
82.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.781.0163.7+1.752%
Season at home (11)83.682.2165.8+1.555%
Season away (12)81.880.0161.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)82.282.4164.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)82.675.4158.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)85.190.0175.1-4.936%
vs Similar (6)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
vs Weaker (10)82.081.4163.4+0.640%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Zalgiris KaunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/03
LKL
Barcelona
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A25/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/03
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
74.4Avg total
36.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.780.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.038.581.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.980.3+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.837.683.4+8.280%-
vs Similar (10)36.042.078.0-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.136.982.0+8.373%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H15/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/03
LKL
81.0Avg total
41.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.382.9+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.139.584.6+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)40.640.981.5-0.259%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.181.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.478.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.543.786.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (6)45.036.581.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker (10)41.237.879.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.4
55.1%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
75.0%13.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.9
54.7%
55.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.2
33.1%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
75.0%15.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLLWLWWWL
Lietkabelis
WLWWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#3
+3.0
Net rating
-0.1
110.4
Offensive rating
110.2
107.4
Defensive rating
110.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.7%
3-point %
33.1%
58.9%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 110.2Defence107.4 · 110.4Shooting51.4% · 52.7%3-point %30.7% · 33.1%Ball care17.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25HPartizan70-66
30/03/25ANeptunas80-67
27/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne79-88
25/03/25AMonaco86-96 OT
23/03/25ANevezis84-80
21/03/25ABarcelona70-82
16/03/25HJonava89-62
13/03/25HParis83-81
09/03/25ARytas83-76
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HBC Wolves78-64
22/03/25AJonava87-92
15/03/25HRytas82-75
08/03/25AJuventus75-74
02/03/25ANeptunas91-72
16/02/25ABC Wolves100-91
15/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas56-79
08/02/25HJonava86-88
04/02/25AVenezia77-91
01/02/25HJuventus90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game90.890.691.0
Allowed / game74.370.877.4
Point differential+16.6+19.8+13.6
Avg total165.1161.5168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLLLWW55%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game82.783.681.8
Allowed / game81.082.280.0
Point differential+1.7+1.5+1.8
Avg total163.7165.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%90.874.3+16.6
2 Rytas2318578%89.982.0+7.9
3 BC Wolves2314961%90.188.2+1.9
4 Jonava24131154%87.090.4-3.4
5 Lietkabelis23121152%82.781.0+1.7
6 Juventus24111346%82.785.2-2.5
7 Siauliai24101442%91.995.0-3.1
8 Neptunas2491538%83.987.2-3.3
9 Nevezis2471729%89.488.5+0.9
10 Mazeikiai2432112%80.095.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2118182683
Lietkabelis1626201779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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