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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-76
14-20 23-18 21-18 17-20
Position#16
Record11-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#17
Record7-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 73
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 73
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 73
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 73
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 73
A12/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
159.3Avg total
79.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.979.7156.6-2.939%
Season at home (14)80.679.6160.2+0.957%
Season away (14)73.179.8152.9-6.621%
Last 10 (10)79.779.6159.3+0.170%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.381.3157.6-5.020%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.178.2159.3+2.967%
vs Weaker (11)84.678.5163.2+6.182%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 83
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
162.9Avg total
81.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.885.0164.8-5.225%
Season at home (15)80.084.9164.9-4.927%
Season away (13)79.585.2164.6-5.723%
Last 10 (10)81.481.5162.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.281.2160.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.988.5166.4-10.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.278.9158.1+0.344%
vs Weaker (10)93.679.0172.6+14.6100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
82.3Avg total
40.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.082.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.781.9+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.382.3-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.782.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.885.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.641.979.5-4.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.238.178.3+2.156%-
vs Weaker (11)45.042.587.5+2.564%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.484.6-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.284.9+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.642.784.3-1.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.545.787.2-4.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.342.882.1-3.411%-
vs Weaker (10)45.638.584.1+7.180%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.1
48.3%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
78.5%11.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.5
54.0%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
78.5%14.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLWWLW
Alba Berlin
WWLLLLWLWW
#16
League position
#17
-4.0
Net rating
-3.5
109.1
Offensive rating
106.7
113.1
Defensive rating
110.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
22.1%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
33.7%
54.2%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 106.7Defence113.1 · 110.3Shooting50.3% · 52.6%3-point %35.2% · 33.7%Ball care17.5% · 22.1%Off. rebounds35.7% · 35.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Alba Berlin v Bayern71-76
18/02/23Bayern v Alba Berlin83-77
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
10/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern86-73
10/05/22Bayern v Alba Berlin78-83
28/01/22Bayern v Alba Berlin62-56
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL39%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game76.980.673.1
Allowed / game79.779.679.8
Point differential-2.9+0.9-6.6
Avg total156.6160.2152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayWLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %25%27%23%
Points / game79.880.079.5
Allowed / game85.084.985.2
Point differential-5.2-4.9-5.7
Avg total164.8164.9164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
4 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce28171161%84.580.6+3.9
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%82.581.9+0.6
8 Baskonia29151452%86.384.1+2.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
12 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
13 Crvena zvezda28121643%76.078.5-2.5
14 Olimpia Milano28121643%73.576.8-3.3
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos29101934%79.282.7-3.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2982128%75.080.6-5.6
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1423211775
Alba Berlin2018182076
← all games of the day
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