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Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-65
16-22 13-8 18-16 17-19
Position#3
Record3-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#7
Record7-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game68.0
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Illiabum
05 Dec 2026
LUSI v ILLI
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
LUSI64
ILLI65
18 Dec 2021
LUSI80
ILLI70
16 Nov 2019
LUSI106
ILLI79
16 Feb 2019
LUSI94
ILLI86
13 Jan 2018
LUSI92
ILLI97
28 Jan 2017
LUSI78
ILLI82
07 Mar 2015
LUSI72
ILLI62
26 Mar 2011
LUSI96
ILLI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 74
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 74
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 74
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 74
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 74
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 74
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 74
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 74
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
56avg 74
A30/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
17-19
17-20
14-23
25-26
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
16-22
20-22
28-13
9-24
150.2Avg total
75.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.472.2144.6+0.138%
Season at home (5)73.867.2141.0+6.660%
Season away (3)70.080.7150.7-10.70%
Last 10 (10)75.974.3150.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)73.667.2140.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.676.9148.4-5.333%
vs Weaker (20)86.777.2163.9+9.570%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 71
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 71
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
76-46
76
46
+30
76avg 71
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 71
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
99avg 71
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
43avg 71
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
68avg 71
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
87avg 71
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 71
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 71
H29/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
18-20
18-21
21-17
21-18
22-21
25-26
19-16
13-19
26-6
17-10
20-11
16-18
28-9
22-20
15-16
22-19
28-15
31-20
20-22
12-22
12-12
16-21
16-21
17-21
16-16
23-17
16-18
26-12
15-9
20-18
22-18
16-18
22-14
17-12
9-27
23-18
19-14
27-8
21-18
148.6Avg total
79.4Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.668.0148.6+12.678%
Season at home (5)79.467.0146.4+12.480%
Season away (4)82.069.2151.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.469.2148.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)76.069.2145.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.573.0140.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.673.1144.7-1.533%
vs Weaker (14)82.667.6150.2+15.186%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
LusitaniaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/11
Proliga
75.6Avg total
38.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.777.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.436.976.3+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.579.6+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.475.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.469.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.135.668.7-2.444%-
vs Weaker (20)43.838.582.3+5.270%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H03/05
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A11/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H01/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H15/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H29/11
Proliga
70.7Avg total
38.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.873.6+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.835.074.8+4.860%-
Last 30 away (15)37.734.772.4+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.370.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.266.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.234.569.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.837.273.9-0.442%-
vs Weaker (14)41.532.974.4+8.671%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.4
48.2%
50.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.5
28.6%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
67.4%13.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.5
50.9%
50.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.6%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
67.4%15.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LWLWWLLLWW
Illiabum
WLWWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#7
+3.7
Net rating
+13.9
100.2
Offensive rating
103.6
96.4
Defensive rating
89.7
46.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
20.6%
Turnover %
21.9%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.6%
3-point %
30.6%
56.2%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 103.6Defence96.4 · 89.7Shooting46.2% · 49.2%3-point %28.6% · 30.6%Ball care20.6% · 21.9%Off. rebounds36.8% · 37.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lusitania   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
4
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Illiabum v Lusitania81-63
18/12/21Lusitania v Illiabum80-70
02/10/21Illiabum v Lusitania83-89
15/02/20Illiabum v Lusitania78-83
16/11/19Lusitania v Illiabum106-79
16/02/19Lusitania v Illiabum94-86 OT
17/11/18Illiabum v Lusitania85-78
13/01/18Lusitania v Illiabum92-97
21/10/17Illiabum v Lusitania95-98
28/01/17Lusitania v Illiabum78-82
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AGinasio73-81
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
15/11/25HCD Povoa73-88
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HAcademica90-58
22/11/25AMaia64-71
15/11/25HGinasio83-57
08/11/25ASampaense87-84 OT
01/11/25HCD Povoa56-76
25/10/25ASangalhos101-76
19/10/25HLusitania81-63
11/10/25AAcademica76-46
04/10/25HMaia87-81
03/05/25HCAB Madeira69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game72.473.870.0
Allowed / game72.267.280.7
Point differential+0.1+6.6-10.7
Avg total144.6141.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game80.679.482.0
Allowed / game68.067.069.2
Point differential+12.6+12.4+12.8
Avg total148.6146.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa880100%91.164.4+26.8
2 CAB Madeira98189%89.174.7+14.4
3 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
4 Illiabum97278%80.668.0+12.6
5 Portimonense97278%82.975.6+7.3
6 Imortal B97278%84.078.0+6.0
7 Galomar96367%86.081.7+4.3
8 Maia84450%79.873.5+6.2
9 Sampaense94544%73.180.0-6.9
10 Lusitania83538%72.472.2+0.1
11 Ginasio Olhanense93633%79.178.7+0.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B93633%69.971.4-1.6
13 Santo Andre92722%75.082.8-7.8
14 Sangalhos91811%67.283.7-16.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica9090%57.081.8-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1613181764
Illiabum228161965
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