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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 03:50
Final 75-72
15-19 29-25 17-15 14-13
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game105.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL
Other2018-19
Meetings · Melbourne United v Adelaide
07 Jan 2027
MELB v ADEL
upcoming
19 Sep 2026
MELB95
ADEL97
07 Feb 2026
MELB76
ADEL87
26 Oct 2025
MELB81
ADEL80
17 Nov 2024
MELB113
ADEL93
13 Oct 2024
MELB106
ADEL79
16 Dec 2023
MELB107
ADEL96
05 Feb 2023
MELB116
ADEL107
17 Nov 2022
MELB86
ADEL91
20 Mar 2022
MELB101
ADEL74
06 Jun 2021
MELB102
ADEL80
24 Apr 2021
MELB92
ADEL78
07 Dec 2019
MELB112
ADEL90
10 Nov 2019
MELB109
ADEL90
26 Dec 2018
MELB101
ADEL103
21 Oct 2018
MELB75
ADEL72
31 Mar 2018
MELB100
ADEL82
23 Mar 2018
MELB101
ADEL98
16 Mar 2018
MELB107
ADEL96
22 Dec 2017
MELB99
ADEL91
04 Nov 2017
MELB101
ADEL84
01 Jan 2017
MELB104
ADEL73
09 Oct 2016
MELB79
ADEL87
06 Dec 2015
MELB89
ADEL86
16 Oct 2015
MELB84
ADEL75
10 Jan 2015
MELB89
ADEL91
27 Nov 2014
MELB94
ADEL91
30 Mar 2014
MELB98
ADEL87
16 Feb 2014
MELB82
ADEL99
27 Oct 2013
MELB93
ADEL79
27 Jan 2013
MELB87
ADEL80
09 Nov 2012
MELB96
ADEL66
25 Feb 2012
MELB83
ADEL92
03 Feb 2012
MELB87
ADEL81
02 Jan 2011
MELB87
ADEL66
27 Jan 2010
MELB95
ADEL85
16 Jan 2010
MELB89
ADEL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A05/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
H16/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
95-110
95
110
-15
A18/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
101-98
101
98
+3
H23/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A25/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H31/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#7
W
123-122 OT
123
122
+1
A12/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H14/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
28-25
19-21
14-22
21-24
22-19
24-18
21-16
13-26
20-12
25-25
20-15
29-28
24-19
26-24
28-25
19-27
22-30
23-25
31-28
33-22
20-31
28-22
20-23
21-29
10-26
27-16
23-19
34-22
23-22
21-25
22-13
19-23
23-23
27-20
19-22
28-19
14-28
24-24
15-17
189.1Avg total
94.8Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)102.0105.0207.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
Season away (1)123.0122.0245.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.894.3189.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)97.296.0193.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.291.1181.3-0.960%
vs Weaker (20)88.282.3170.6+5.980%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H03/03
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A09/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H18/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
98-101
98
101
-3
A23/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H25/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A31/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
H11/10
NBL
Sydney
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A13/10
NBL
Sydney
#3
W
106-101
106
101
+5
H19/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
31-26
26-18
33-12
15-28
25-21
23-18
26-21
28-29
19-24
24-26
25-28
27-19
30-22
25-23
28-31
22-33
31-20
22-28
23-20
29-21
26-10
16-27
19-23
22-34
22-23
25-21
13-22
23-23
18-25
32-26
18-25
21-19
23-24
21-25
29-15
29-26
33-26
20-28
24-21
189.4Avg total
96.5Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.094.3191.3+2.767%
Season at home (2)98.5100.0198.5-1.550%
Season away (1)94.083.0177.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.592.9189.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)92.692.8185.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.099.0190.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.692.6187.2+2.157%
vs Weaker (15)97.189.3186.4+7.780%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
Melbourne UnitedAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#5
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A05/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H16/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A18/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H23/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/03
NBL
Adelaide
#2
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H31/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A12/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/10
NBL
92.7Avg total
44.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.986.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.642.286.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.245.887.0-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.648.192.7-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.094.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.546.591.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (20)42.342.684.9-0.340%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/03
NBL
Perth
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H18/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A23/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A31/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/10
NBL
Sydney
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A13/10
NBL
Sydney
#3
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H19/10
NBL
96.4Avg total
49.3Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.845.995.7+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.342.895.1+9.581%-
Last 30 away (14)46.949.596.4-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)49.347.196.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.246.295.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)48.946.295.1+2.757%-
vs Weaker (15)51.245.596.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18HNew Zealand Breakers81-88
12/10/18AIllawarra Hawks123-122 OT
31/03/18HAdelaide100-82
25/03/18AAdelaide81-90
23/03/18HAdelaide101-98
18/03/18AAdelaide95-110
16/03/18HAdelaide107-96
05/03/18ANew Zealand Breakers88-86 OT
03/03/18HNew Zealand Breakers88-77
18/02/18HIllawarra Hawks84-94
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/18HSydney106-101
13/10/18ASydney94-83
11/10/18HPerth91-99
31/03/18AMelbourne United82-100
25/03/18HMelbourne United90-81
23/03/18AMelbourne United98-101
18/03/18HMelbourne United110-95
16/03/18AMelbourne United96-107
09/03/18APerth89-88
03/03/18HPerth109-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game102.081.0123.0
Allowed / game105.088.0122.0
Point differential-3.0-7.0+1.0
Avg total207.0169.0245.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Adelaide
NBL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game97.098.594.0
Allowed / game94.3100.083.0
Point differential+2.7-1.5+11.0
Avg total191.3198.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth330100%96.075.0+21.0
2 Cairns110100%88.070.0+18.0
3 Adelaide32167%97.094.3+2.7
4 Melbourne United21150%102.0105.0-3.0
5 Sydney31233%95.092.7+2.3
6 Brisbane Bullets31233%76.383.0-6.7
7 New Zealand Breakers31233%79.789.3-9.7
8 Illawarra Hawks2020%91.5112.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United1529171475
Adelaide1925151372
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