Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	85.6	83.9	169.5	+1.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	87.8	174.6	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	90.7	94.7	185.3	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	86.8	91.5	178.3	-4.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.4	86.3	177.6	+5.1	65%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

74-86

-12

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-111

107

111

-4

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

104-97

104

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-101

101

-9

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

108-96

108

+12

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

68-112

112

-44

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

91-89

H27/03

NBL

Sydney

93-106

106

-13

A29/03

NBL

Sydney

92-91

H01/04

NBL

Sydney

101-113 OT

101

113

-12

A05/04

NBL

17-19

17-29

24-17

16-21

25-28

29-19

28-34

25-30

25-27

25-21

27-27

27-22

30-19

27-25

20-39

15-18

28-17

31-28

24-19

25-32

23-31

16-28

17-31

12-22

25-30

28-22

15-25

23-12

31-24

22-28

17-21

23-33

22-24

24-29

26-21

20-17

31-29

24-27

21-13

19-26

193.2Avg total

93.0Scored

100.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	93.0	100.2	193.2	-7.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	102.2	191.2	-13.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	92.0	98.1	190.1	-6.1	43%
vs Similar (9)	94.2	92.8	187.0	+1.4	67%
vs Weaker (7)	95.3	80.1	175.4	+15.1	86%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	24.1	47.6	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	22.9	46.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	25.4	48.8	-2.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	26.7	51.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	25.7	47.3	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.4	22.8	47.1	+1.6	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	23.8	45.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	23.5	47.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	24.8	50.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	27.6	54.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	24.5	24.6	49.1	-0.1	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.4	22.1	44.6	+0.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.2	42.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	22.9	46.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.4	43.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.0	25.0	50.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	22.7	47.0	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	25.6	49.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	26.8	49.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.3	25.1	48.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	20.6	44.7	+3.6	57%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

43-42

H17/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

57-36

+21

H21/01

NBL

Perth

38-40

-2

A25/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-49

-1

A30/01

NBL

Adelaide

39-41

-2

H07/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

40-46

-6

A12/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-54

-9

H15/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-42

+10

H19/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-31

H05/03

NBL

Perth

53-44

A07/03

NBL

88.0Avg total

45.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	45.2	92.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	42.1	88.8	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.1	48.3	95.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	42.5	88.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	43.4	89.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	49.3	51.7	101.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.5	47.1	92.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.4	42.9	90.2	+4.5	65%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

34-48

-14

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-47

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-48

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

57-44

+13

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-45

+14

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

39-59

-20

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

53-52

H27/03

NBL

Sydney

53-52

A29/03

NBL

Sydney

46-53

-7

H01/04

NBL

Sydney

55-56

-1

A05/04

NBL

100.4Avg total

50.0Scored

50.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	47.0	93.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	46.5	92.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.9	47.5	93.3	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.0	50.4	100.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	54.4	103.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	47.8	49.7	97.5	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.1	46.1	89.2	-3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	46.6	42.7	89.3	+3.9	71%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.5	37.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	22.8	38.0	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	20.7	44.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.7	46.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.9	23.9	44.8	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	17.0	41.1	+7.1	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.6	47.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.1	21.7	44.8	+1.4	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.1	44.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.3	22.4	44.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	42.8	85.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	43.0	85.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	42.6	84.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.4	85.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.3	42.5	82.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.0	43.4	87.4	+0.6	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	43.4	89.0	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	42.7	88.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	44.1	89.1	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	48.0	90.4	-5.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	44.2	82.8	-5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.2	46.2	89.4	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.9	43.7	90.6	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	48.7	37.4	86.1	+11.3	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 86.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.1	49.9%	56.0%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	10.2	31.0%	34.4%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.2	73.3%	73.7%	13.2

They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	21.3	56.1%	56.0%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	10.7	34.0%	34.4%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.8	79.4%	73.7%	15.8

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.3	54.2%	56.0%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	7.9	29.8%	34.4%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	26.1	18.9	72.4%	73.7%	18.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	23.8	54.8%	56.0%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	12.0	38.0%	34.4%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.5	74.2%	73.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	22.9	51.2%	56.0%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	9.3	30.4%	34.4%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.6	77.4%	73.7%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.4	53.8%	56.0%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.4	36.6%	34.4%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.8	80.0%	73.7%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	22.0	50.3%	56.0%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.0	35.3%	34.4%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	22.9	16.9	73.9%	73.7%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.2	23.5	52.0%	56.0%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	10.1	33.7%	34.4%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.9	73.0%	73.7%	12.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Melbourne United

LWWLWLLWWW

Adelaide

LWLWLWLWLL

League position

+0.9

Net rating

-7.3

94.1

Offensive rating

99.4

93.2

Defensive rating

106.7

48.4%

Effective FG%

53.7%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.7%

11.9%

Turnover %

13.0%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.29

31.0%

3-point %

34.0%

59.4%

Assist %

69.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Melbourne United ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/26	Melbourne United v Adelaide	76-87
12/12/25	Adelaide v Melbourne United	114-105 OT
26/10/25	Melbourne United v Adelaide	81-80
04/01/25	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-81
17/11/24	Melbourne United v Adelaide	113-93
13/10/24	Melbourne United v Adelaide	106-79
06/01/24	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-96
16/12/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	107-96
01/10/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	74-82
05/02/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	116-107

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/26	A	Perth	77-95
05/03/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-68
19/02/26	H	South East Melbourne	95-91
15/02/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-100
12/02/26	A	Cairns Taipans	89-85
07/02/26	H	Adelaide	76-87
30/01/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	95-97
25/01/26	A	Perth	74-73
21/01/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	98-66
17/01/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	79-77

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/26	A	Sydney	101-113 OT
01/04/26	H	Sydney	92-91
29/03/26	A	Sydney	93-106
27/03/26	H	Sydney	91-89
21/03/26	A	Sydney	68-112
17/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	108-96
14/03/26	A	South East Melbourne	92-101
10/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	104-97
22/02/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	107-111
20/02/26	A	Perth	74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Adelaide

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	23	25	22	25	95
Adelaide	25	24	26	22	97

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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