Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.2	82.6	170.8	+5.6	60%
Season at home (2)	88.0	90.0	178.0	-2.0	50%
Season away (3)	88.3	77.7	166.0	+10.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	83.8	172.0	+4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	82.6	170.8	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	93.4	88.6	182.0	+4.8	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	95.1	90.7	185.8	+4.4	61%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

88-71

+17

77avg 82

H27/01

NBL

Sydney

85-78

78avg 82

H02/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

86-109

109

-23

70avg 82

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

84-102

102

-18

76avg 82

A09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-70

71avg 82

H18/02

NBL

Sydney

94-102

102

-8

93avg 82

H22/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

97-101

101

-4

86avg 82

A28/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

93-83

+10

92avg 82

H03/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-100

102

100

94avg 82

A05/10

NBL

Sydney

89-79

+10

82avg 82

H11/10

NBL

28-25

25-13

22-15

13-18

17-18

20-23

17-18

31-19

21-31

24-26

17-26

20-22

24-30

23-24

17-26

17-14

20-21

21-12

18-23

28-27

20-24

27-19

19-32

32-28

22-30

23-19

20-24

25-16

27-19

19-23

22-25

27-32

25-22

29-27

21-19

26-22

23-15

19-25

21-17

178.9Avg total

89.4Scored

89.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	95.0	93.0	188.0	+2.0	60%
Season at home (3)	92.0	88.0	180.0	+4.0	67%
Season away (2)	99.5	100.5	200.0	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	89.5	178.9	-0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	93.0	188.0	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	88.1	91.6	179.7	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (8)	92.2	93.5	185.8	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker (4)	97.0	95.2	192.2	+1.8	50%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.7	45.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	23.0	47.5	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	23.5	23.3	46.8	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	22.2	45.2	+0.7	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	24.8	48.0	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	26.0	48.7	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	23.5	47.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	25.0	52.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.1	24.4	46.6	-2.3	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	23.9	47.0	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.0	28.5	56.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	23.7	47.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	24.1	48.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	23.2	46.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.6	47.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.6	24.8	50.4	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.9	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	24.1	47.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.9	21.8	46.6	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	25%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

51-41

+10

H17/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-40

A22/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-43

H24/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

41-39

A28/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-44

H31/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-43

H19/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

46-40

A26/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

33-44

-11

A28/09

NBL

Perth

64-41

+23

A04/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

H06/10

NBL

89.9Avg total

46.6Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	46.3	93.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.2	47.1	96.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	45.5	90.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	43.3	89.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	45.2	93.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	44.9	45.2	90.2	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	48.5	47.1	95.6	+1.4	44%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

53-38

+15

H27/01

NBL

Sydney

37-41

-4

H02/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-57

-12

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

44-52

-8

A09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-35

H18/02

NBL

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

A28/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-35

+17

H03/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-54

-2

A05/10

NBL

Sydney

49-37

+12

H11/10

NBL

92.9Avg total

47.1Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	46.3	91.4	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	43.1	87.2	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.0	50.1	96.1	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	45.8	92.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	47.0	98.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	42.7	45.6	88.2	-2.9	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	48.0	45.6	93.6	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	49.8	51.2	101.0	-1.5	25%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.4	43.1	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	20.5	44.3	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.6	21.1	43.6	+1.5	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.8	23.3	46.1	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	22.1	45.5	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	24.3	22.9	47.2	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	23.1	46.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	23.6	45.9	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	42.4	88.3	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	42.6	89.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	42.2	86.8	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.5	82.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.4	77.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	47.1	42.4	89.5	+4.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.2	42.4	87.6	+2.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	45.7	90.8	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	44.4	89.6	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.1	47.1	92.3	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	43.7	86.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	46.0	90.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	45.4	46.1	91.5	-0.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.4	45.8	89.1	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	44.0	91.2	+3.2	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 87.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.3	22.6	47.8%	52.3%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.7	35.5%	35.1%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.3	69.3%	74.7%	13.3

They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.6	22.8	48.9%	52.3%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.9	36.3%	35.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	74.7%	16.3

They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.8	22.3	44.8%	52.3%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.5	34.1%	35.1%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	18.9	12.9	68.3%	74.7%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	21.7	48.3%	52.3%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.3	33.1%	35.1%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	18.5	14.2	76.8%	74.7%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	24.0	51.7%	52.3%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.8	36.3%	35.1%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.5	69.2%	74.7%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	23.6	50.8%	52.3%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.8	33.0%	35.1%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	23.7	18.2	76.9%	74.7%	18.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.9	23.3	48.7%	52.3%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.5	34.9%	35.1%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.4	70.8%	74.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	23.2	49.9%	52.3%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.3	34.5%	35.1%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.4	74.4%	74.7%	13.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Melbourne United

LWLWWLWLLW

Adelaide

WWWLLWLLWW

League position

+5.7

Net rating

+0.1

108.4

Offensive rating

109.3

102.7

Defensive rating

109.2

49.8%

Effective FG%

50.8%

46.9%

Opp. effective FG%

48.9%

13.6%

Turnover %

17.2%

29.8%

Off. rebound %

33.4%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.31

35.5%

3-point %

36.3%

53.9%

Assist %

53.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Melbourne United ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
06/01/24	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-96
16/12/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	107-96
01/10/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	74-82
05/02/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	116-107
21/01/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	87-94
17/11/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	86-91
20/03/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-74
30/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	88-83 OT
22/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	78-97
06/06/21	Melbourne United v Adelaide	102-80

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-101
04/10/24	A	Perth	97-68
28/09/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-81
26/09/24	A	South East Melbourne	96-84
19/09/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-79
31/03/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	81-83
28/03/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-86
24/03/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	91-93
22/03/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-82
17/03/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	104-81

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/24	H	Sydney	89-79
05/10/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-100
03/10/24	H	South East Melbourne	93-83
28/09/24	A	Cairns Taipans	97-101
22/09/24	H	Sydney	94-102
18/02/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-70
09/02/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	84-102
04/02/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-109
02/02/24	H	Sydney	85-78
27/01/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	60%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	50%	67%
Points / game	88.2	88.0	88.3
Allowed / game	82.6	90.0	77.7
Point differential	+5.6	-2.0	+10.7
Avg total	170.8	178.0	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	0%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	95.0	92.0	99.5
Allowed / game	93.0	88.0	100.5
Point differential	+2.0	+4.0	-1.0
Avg total	188.0	180.0	200.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	2	2	0	100%	86.0	83.0	+3.0
2	Illawarra Hawks	5	4	1	80%	104.0	88.6	+15.4
3	Sydney	6	4	2	67%	91.3	86.8	+4.5
4	Melbourne United	5	3	2	60%	88.2	82.6	+5.6
5	Adelaide	5	3	2	60%	95.0	93.0	+2.0
6	Cairns Taipans	6	3	3	50%	87.8	92.3	-4.5
7	Perth	5	2	3	40%	86.0	90.8	-4.8
8	Tasmania JackJumpers	5	2	3	40%	79.6	87.6	-8.0
9	Brisbane Bullets	4	1	3	25%	89.2	95.0	-5.8
10	South East Melbourne	5	0	5	0%	85.8	92.6	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	24	34	21	27	106
Adelaide	29	23	8	19	79

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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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