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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 109-90
19-27 37-14 24-25 29-24
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game96.4
vs
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game98.0
AustraliaNBL
Other2019-20
Meetings · Melbourne United v Adelaide
07 Jan 2027
MELB v ADEL
upcoming
19 Sep 2026
MELB95
ADEL97
07 Feb 2026
MELB76
ADEL87
26 Oct 2025
MELB81
ADEL80
17 Nov 2024
MELB113
ADEL93
13 Oct 2024
MELB106
ADEL79
16 Dec 2023
MELB107
ADEL96
05 Feb 2023
MELB116
ADEL107
17 Nov 2022
MELB86
ADEL91
20 Mar 2022
MELB101
ADEL74
06 Jun 2021
MELB102
ADEL80
24 Apr 2021
MELB92
ADEL78
07 Dec 2019
MELB112
ADEL90
10 Nov 2019
MELB109
ADEL90
26 Dec 2018
MELB101
ADEL103
21 Oct 2018
MELB75
ADEL72
31 Mar 2018
MELB100
ADEL82
23 Mar 2018
MELB101
ADEL98
16 Mar 2018
MELB107
ADEL96
22 Dec 2017
MELB99
ADEL91
04 Nov 2017
MELB101
ADEL84
01 Jan 2017
MELB104
ADEL73
09 Oct 2016
MELB79
ADEL87
06 Dec 2015
MELB89
ADEL86
16 Oct 2015
MELB84
ADEL75
10 Jan 2015
MELB89
ADEL91
27 Nov 2014
MELB94
ADEL91
30 Mar 2014
MELB98
ADEL87
16 Feb 2014
MELB82
ADEL99
27 Oct 2013
MELB93
ADEL79
27 Jan 2013
MELB87
ADEL80
09 Nov 2012
MELB96
ADEL66
25 Feb 2012
MELB83
ADEL92
03 Feb 2012
MELB87
ADEL81
02 Jan 2011
MELB87
ADEL66
27 Jan 2010
MELB95
ADEL85
16 Jan 2010
MELB89
ADEL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A15/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H17/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H03/10
NBL
Perth
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A05/10
NBL
Perth
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
H20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H26/10
NBL
Cairns
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A28/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A02/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H04/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
104-101
104
101
+3
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-21
15-28
16-26
28-26
17-27
12-15
27-29
22-21
21-28
17-20
28-22
28-27
26-21
20-22
19-24
22-19
22-23
21-27
28-26
22-30
29-28
27-23
26-17
31-19
14-22
21-26
19-23
32-26
23-16
25-27
30-29
25-29
23-26
28-21
31-28
27-27
24-26
33-14
20-34
189.9Avg total
93.5Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.096.4194.4+1.650%
Season at home (4)98.097.0195.0+1.050%
Season away (4)98.095.8193.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)93.596.4189.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)102.098.2200.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (25)90.588.7179.2+1.852%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)99.090.8189.8+8.260%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#8
W
100-91
100
91
+9
A02/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#6
W
114-107
114
107
+7
A07/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H10/02
NBL
Perth
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H19/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A21/10
NBL
Cairns
#3
W
101-97
101
97
+4
H25/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
91-101
91
101
-10
A27/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H02/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
17-27
31-21
21-24
30-24
32-26
26-25
26-32
26-23
26-25
18-16
17-25
25-17
24-23
20-25
16-28
14-30
28-29
21-25
17-18
26-28
30-18
23-26
25-26
31-26
25-23
23-25
19-18
22-30
33-19
29-20
17-28
26-23
24-24
15-23
26-31
24-12
19-33
17-24
26-17
192.4Avg total
95.6Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.098.0193.0-3.050%
Season at home (3)100.397.7198.0+2.767%
Season away (3)89.798.3188.0-8.733%
Last 10 (10)95.696.8192.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)98.097.2195.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)92.096.0188.0-4.043%
vs Similar (14)97.4101.0198.4-3.636%
vs Weaker (9)98.491.7190.1+6.878%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
Melbourne UnitedAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A15/03
NBL
Perth
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/10
NBL
Perth
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A05/10
NBL
Perth
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H26/10
NBL
Cairns
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A02/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H04/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/11
NBL
95.5Avg total
47.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.245.290.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.646.291.8-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)44.844.489.2+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)47.248.395.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)50.049.899.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (25)45.044.889.8+0.248%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.047.493.4-1.440%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A02/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#6
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A07/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H10/02
NBL
Perth
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A12/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#4
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H19/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A21/10
NBL
Cairns
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H25/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/11
NBL
99.2Avg total
51.3Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.048.799.7+2.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.346.997.2+3.380%-
Last 30 away (15)51.850.4102.2+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)51.347.999.2+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.047.299.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)48.447.796.1+0.757%-
vs Similar (14)53.249.7102.9+3.579%-
vs Weaker (9)49.747.897.4+1.978%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/19ANew Zealand Breakers104-101
04/11/19HSydney107-104
02/11/19ASouth East Melbourne110-98
28/10/19ACairns85-90
26/10/19HNew Zealand Breakers104-98
20/10/19HPerth93-95
05/10/19APerth93-94
03/10/19HSouth East Melbourne88-91
17/03/19HPerth84-97
15/03/19APerth67-96
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/19HSydney96-98 OT
27/10/19ASouth East Melbourne91-101
25/10/19HCairns101-97
21/10/19AIllawarra Hawks98-92
19/10/19HBrisbane Bullets104-98
12/10/19ASydney80-102
15/02/19APerth85-93
10/02/19HMelbourne United87-89
07/02/19ANew Zealand Breakers114-107
02/02/19ACairns100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game98.098.098.0
Allowed / game96.497.095.8
Point differential+1.6+1.0+2.2
Avg total194.4195.0193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game95.0100.389.7
Allowed / game98.097.798.3
Point differential-3.0+2.7-8.7
Avg total193.0198.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney87188%93.084.4+8.6
2 Perth86275%90.185.2+4.9
3 South East Melbourne75271%98.796.0+2.7
4 Melbourne United84450%98.096.4+1.6
5 Brisbane Bullets84450%88.188.5-0.4
6 Adelaide63350%95.098.0-3.0
7 New Zealand Breakers82625%88.690.5-1.9
8 Cairns82625%86.989.2-2.4
9 Illawarra Hawks92722%84.293.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United19372429109
Adelaide2714252490
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