Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	100.0	80.4	180.4	+19.6	100%
Season at home (4)	104.0	78.2	182.2	+25.8	100%
Season away (4)	96.0	82.5	178.5	+13.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	97.5	83.7	181.2	+13.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	99.0	78.8	177.8	+20.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	93.6	97.1	190.8	-3.5	38%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	99.9	95.9	195.8	+4.0	75%
vs Weaker (14)	96.4	85.1	181.4	+11.3	79%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

99-105

105

-6

88avg 86

A02/02

NBL

Perth

104-112

104

112

-8

91avg 86

A07/02

NBL

Sydney

95-88

88avg 86

A13/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

75-85

-10

63avg 86

A16/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

87-80

83avg 86

H28/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

110-79

110

+31

104avg 86

A02/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

98-89

96avg 86

H09/10

NBL

Sydney

79-103

103

-24

73avg 86

H11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

88-71

+17

88avg 86

H16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

91-86

80avg 86

A18/10

NBL

23-30

20-31

34-18

22-26

27-20

29-29

22-32

26-31

23-22

28-19

18-30

26-17

16-15

29-11

15-28

15-31

27-23

21-24

29-20

10-13

36-23

22-15

27-22

25-19

21-20

30-22

25-30

22-17

19-29

22-25

23-25

15-24

28-16

22-11

16-18

22-26

19-17

25-19

20-21

27-29

182.4Avg total

92.6Scored

89.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	92.2	84.7	176.8	+7.5	83%
Season at home (4)	88.0	85.8	173.8	+2.2	75%
Season away (2)	100.5	82.5	183.0	+18.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.6	89.8	182.4	+2.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	85.6	178.8	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	94.9	97.8	192.7	-2.8	44%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	91.4	95.1	186.6	-3.7	33%
vs Weaker (5)	97.2	82.6	179.8	+14.6	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.4	23.4	49.8	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.9	24.5	50.4	+1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	26.7	22.6	49.4	+4.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	19.1	46.1	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	17.8	47.0	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.5	25.2	48.8	-1.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	29.1	23.5	52.6	+5.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (14)	26.4	22.4	48.8	+4.1	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	23.1	48.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	23.1	48.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.4	23.2	48.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.5	45.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	25.9	22.7	48.6	+3.2	69%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	25.4	47.9	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.2	20.4	48.6	+7.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	21.8	45.7	+2.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	23.5	44.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.6	19.9	43.4	+3.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.0	47.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	22.5	47.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	23.4	47.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	20.6	45.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.4	42.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.8	24.7	48.5	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	26.4	19.9	46.3	+6.6	89%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	40%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

32-28

H19/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-60

-10

A23/03

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-46

A18/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-33

+22

H21/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-46

H25/09

NBL

Sydney

50-52

-2

A08/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-25

+23

H12/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

55-37

+18

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-38

+18

H19/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-34

+14

A24/10

NBL

89.2Avg total

49.3Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	45.6	95.0	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	49.8	46.3	96.1	+3.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	49.0	45.1	94.1	+3.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.3	39.9	89.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	37.2	88.6	+14.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.8	48.8	93.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	52.8	48.5	101.2	+4.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	50.0	42.2	92.2	+7.8	64%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

43-61

-18

A02/02

NBL

Perth

56-49

A07/02

NBL

Sydney

51-41

+10

A13/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

45-26

+19

A16/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

48-47

H28/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

58-38

+20

A02/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

51-42

H09/10

NBL

Sydney

41-54

-13

H11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-27

+23

H16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

44-36

A18/10

NBL

90.8Avg total

48.7Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.6	46.1	95.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.2	45.6	95.8	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.0	46.6	95.6	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.7	42.1	90.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	39.4	88.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	49.7	47.4	97.1	+2.3	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	48.9	45.3	94.2	+3.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.6	43.4	94.0	+7.2	80%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.0	43.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	23.5	44.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.9	23.9	47.8	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.7	46.1	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.7	43.4	-1.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	24.8	48.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	24.4	47.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	25.6	45.0	-6.1	0%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	23.6	48.8	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	26.5	23.9	50.4	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.4	23.3	47.6	+1.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	23.5	49.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.8	48.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	28.1	24.9	53.0	+3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.2	23.5	46.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.8	22.9	47.6	+1.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	24.1	45.8	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.5	43.5	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	25.7	48.1	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.7	26.4	48.1	-4.7	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	45.5	92.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	50.2	46.8	97.0	+3.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.9	44.6	89.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	43.8	92.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	41.6	89.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	48.9	48.4	97.2	+0.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	47.1	47.4	94.5	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	46.4	42.9	89.2	+3.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	47.9	91.9	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	45.2	86.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.4	50.5	96.9	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	47.7	91.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	46.2	90.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	45.2	50.4	95.6	-5.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.7	48.8	90.4	-7.1	11%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.2	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 84.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	18.7	56.0%	54.6%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.1	36.1%	33.3%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	23.1	17.2	74.5%	74.8%	17.2

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	23.8	61.7%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.9	32.8%	33.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	21.0	17.1	81.4%	74.8%	17.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.6	55.2%	54.6%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.3	31.9%	33.3%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.1	67.6%	74.8%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	23.3	59.9%	54.6%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.3	31.5%	33.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.5	72.5%	74.8%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.0	55.2%	54.6%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.3	35.8%	33.3%	34.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	14.8	70.5%	74.8%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	24.2	56.1%	54.6%	48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.0	34.6%	33.3%	26.9
🏀 Free throws	23.3	18.2	77.9%	74.8%	18.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	22.9	52.9%	54.6%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.9	34.7%	33.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.4	16.4	73.1%	74.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.4	55.2%	54.6%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	11.5	36.1%	33.3%	34.6
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.2	73.3%	74.8%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Melbourne United

WWWWWWWWLL

Adelaide

WWLWWWLWLL

League position

+11.0

Net rating

+3.2

121.6

Offensive rating

120.0

110.6

Defensive rating

116.8

55.1%

Effective FG%

56.5%

52.5%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

13.1%

Turnover %

14.9%

28.5%

Off. rebound %

26.8%

0.38

Free-throw rate

0.32

36.1%

3-point %

32.8%

59.7%

Assist %

56.0%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Melbourne United ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/25	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-81
17/11/24	Melbourne United v Adelaide	113-93
13/10/24	Melbourne United v Adelaide	106-79
06/01/24	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-96
16/12/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	107-96
01/10/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	74-82
05/02/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	116-107
21/01/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	87-94
17/11/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	86-91
20/03/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-74

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	94-67
19/10/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	104-88
17/10/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-86
12/10/25	H	Cairns Taipans	95-60
08/10/25	A	Sydney	107-93
25/09/25	H	South East Melbourne	103-83
21/09/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	114-82
18/09/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-84
23/03/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	104-114
19/03/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	71-80

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	91-86
16/10/25	H	South East Melbourne	88-71
11/10/25	H	Sydney	79-103
09/10/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	98-89
02/10/25	A	Cairns Taipans	110-79
28/09/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-80
16/02/25	A	South East Melbourne	75-85
13/02/25	A	Sydney	95-88
07/02/25	A	Perth	104-112
02/02/25	A	South East Melbourne	99-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	100.0	104.0	96.0
Allowed / game	80.4	78.2	82.5
Point differential	+19.6	+25.8	+13.5
Avg total	180.4	182.2	178.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	83%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	75%	100%
Points / game	92.2	88.0	100.5
Allowed / game	84.7	85.8	82.5
Point differential	+7.5	+2.2	+18.0
Avg total	176.8	173.8	183.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	25%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	8	8	0	100%	100.0	80.4	+19.6
2	Adelaide	6	5	1	83%	92.2	84.7	+7.5
3	South East Melbourne	7	5	2	71%	98.9	86.6	+12.3
4	Tasmania JackJumpers	7	4	3	57%	82.0	82.6	-0.6
5	Perth	8	4	4	50%	86.5	85.1	+1.4
6	Sydney	7	3	4	43%	89.4	86.9	+2.6
7	Brisbane Bullets	9	3	6	33%	89.2	93.9	-4.7
8	Illawarra Hawks	6	2	4	33%	89.2	98.2	-9.0
9	New Zealand Breakers	9	2	7	22%	86.8	92.4	-5.7
10	Cairns Taipans	9	2	7	22%	76.0	94.4	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	14	26	19	22	81
Adelaide	17	20	18	25	80

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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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