Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 106-101

29-26 33-26 20-28 24-21

Position#4

Record1-1

FormLWLLW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game91.0

Adelaide 🏆

Sydney

Position#3

Record0-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game94.0

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

105-82

105

+23

H17/02

NBL

Perth

109-74

109

+35

H03/03

NBL

Perth

89-88

A09/03

NBL

Melbourne United

96-107

107

-11

A16/03

NBL

Melbourne United

110-95

110

+15

H18/03

NBL

Melbourne United

98-101

101

-3

A23/03

NBL

Melbourne United

90-81

H25/03

NBL

Melbourne United

82-100

100

-18

A31/03

NBL

Perth

91-99

-8

H11/10

NBL

Sydney

94-83

+11

A13/10

NBL

30-28

29-12

20-16

26-26

19-18

31-26

26-18

33-12

15-28

25-21

23-18

26-21

28-29

19-24

24-26

25-28

27-19

30-22

25-23

28-31

22-33

31-20

22-28

23-20

29-21

26-10

16-27

19-23

22-34

22-23

25-21

13-22

23-23

18-25

32-26

18-25

21-19

23-24

21-25

29-15

187.4Avg total

96.4Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	92.5	91.0	183.5	+1.5	50%
Season at home (1)	91.0	99.0	190.0	-8.0	0%
Season away (1)	94.0	83.0	177.0	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	96.4	91.0	187.4	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	92.8	183.8	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	99.0	190.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	93.1	92.6	185.6	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (15)	97.1	89.3	186.4	+7.7	80%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

68-76

-8

H06/01

NBL

Adelaide

101-104

101

104

-3

H13/01

NBL

Perth

84-77

A19/01

NBL

Perth

84-56

+28

H21/01

NBL

Melbourne United

76-93

-17

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

93-86

A03/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

92-80

+12

H10/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-73

+17

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-86

101

+15

H18/02

NBL

Adelaide

83-94

-11

H13/10

NBL

19-22

15-23

21-14

13-17

28-28

30-24

15-19

28-33

20-11

19-16

17-24

28-26

22-19

21-16

22-10

19-11

18-23

17-20

21-20

20-30

29-22

24-22

23-20

17-22

23-22

22-13

19-28

28-17

20-23

26-12

26-22

18-16

14-17

28-31

26-20

33-18

19-21

24-23

25-21

15-29

169.7Avg total

87.2Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	83.0	94.0	177.0	-11.0	0%
Season at home (1)	83.0	94.0	177.0	-11.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	87.2	82.5	169.7	+4.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	83.8	175.6	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	82.8	94.3	177.1	-11.6	17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	87.9	87.1	174.9	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	24.1	49.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.1	22.5	48.6	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.7	25.7	50.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	25.2	48.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	26.0	49.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	26.9	23.9	50.8	+3.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.9	24.1	46.0	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.5	19.7	45.3	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.7	45.9	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	20.7	46.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.9	21.5	45.4	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.3	21.7	45.9	+2.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	24.1	44.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.2	45.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.2	72%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

59-40

+19

H17/02

NBL

Perth

50-44

H03/03

NBL

Perth

40-49

-9

A09/03

NBL

Melbourne United

47-53

-6

A16/03

NBL

Melbourne United

57-41

+16

H18/03

NBL

Melbourne United

53-53

A23/03

NBL

Melbourne United

55-31

+24

H25/03

NBL

Melbourne United

44-57

-13

A31/03

NBL

Perth

41-48

-7

H11/10

NBL

Sydney

44-43

A13/10

NBL

94.9Avg total

49.0Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	45.8	95.1	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	51.7	42.2	93.9	+9.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.9	49.3	96.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	45.9	94.9	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	46.4	93.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	47.9	45.9	93.7	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	51.2	45.5	96.7	+5.7	67%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

34-45

-11

H06/01

NBL

Adelaide

58-52

H13/01

NBL

Perth

39-27

+12

A19/01

NBL

Perth

43-35

H21/01

NBL

Melbourne United

35-43

-8

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

53-44

A03/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-35

+10

H10/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

46-35

+11

A15/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-48

-6

H18/02

NBL

Adelaide

43-44

-1

H13/10

NBL

84.6Avg total

43.8Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	44.7	88.7	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	42.3	87.3	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	47.1	90.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	41.2	87.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	43.4	47.3	90.8	-3.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	44.4	43.0	87.4	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.3	43.4	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.7	42.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.4	48.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	26.0	58.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.6	22.1	44.6	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.9	47.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	23.9	46.5	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	21.9	47.5	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.3	46.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	24.4	23.1	47.5	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.3	22.6	46.9	+1.7	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.9	41.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.4	24.8	46.2	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	45.2	90.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	45.9	90.6	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	44.5	90.2	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	45.1	92.5	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	46.4	90.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	51.0	101.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	45.2	46.7	91.9	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.8	43.5	88.3	+1.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	44.5	85.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	44.4	86.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	44.5	84.5	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	41.7	85.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.6	88.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.3	47.0	86.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.2	42.8	84.9	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/18	Sydney v Adelaide	83-94
13/01/18	Sydney v Adelaide	101-104
18/11/17	Adelaide v Sydney	108-93
21/10/17	Adelaide v Sydney	114-84
07/10/17	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105
21/01/17	Adelaide v Sydney	87-73
18/12/16	Sydney v Adelaide	96-103
16/12/16	Adelaide v Sydney	82-80
28/11/16	Sydney v Adelaide	85-91
20/01/16	Adelaide v Sydney	96-89

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/10/18	A	Sydney	94-83
11/10/18	H	Perth	91-99
31/03/18	A	Melbourne United	82-100
25/03/18	H	Melbourne United	90-81
23/03/18	A	Melbourne United	98-101
18/03/18	H	Melbourne United	110-95
16/03/18	A	Melbourne United	96-107
09/03/18	A	Perth	89-88
03/03/18	H	Perth	109-74
17/02/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	105-82

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/10/18	H	Adelaide	83-94
18/02/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	101-86
15/02/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	90-73
10/02/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	92-80
03/02/18	A	Cairns	93-86
28/01/18	H	Melbourne United	76-93
21/01/18	H	Perth	84-56
19/01/18	A	Perth	84-77
13/01/18	H	Adelaide	101-104
06/01/18	H	Perth	68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	92.5	91.0	94.0
Allowed / game	91.0	99.0	83.0
Point differential	+1.5	-8.0	+11.0
Avg total	183.5	190.0	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	83.0	83.0	-
Allowed / game	94.0	94.0	-
Point differential	-11.0	-11.0	-
Avg total	177.0	177.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	2	2	0	100%	100.0	76.0	+24.0
2	Cairns	1	1	0	100%	88.0	70.0	+18.0
3	Adelaide	2	1	1	50%	92.5	91.0	+1.5
4	Brisbane Bullets	2	1	1	50%	78.0	80.5	-2.5
5	Melbourne United	2	1	1	50%	102.0	105.0	-3.0
6	New Zealand Breakers	2	1	1	50%	80.5	83.5	-3.0
7	Sydney	1	0	1	0%	83.0	94.0	-11.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	2	0	2	0%	91.5	112.0	-20.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	29	33	20	24	106
Sydney	26	26	28	21	101

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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