Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 99-93

29-16 27-23 26-33 17-21

Position#2

Record2-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game93.8

Allowed / game95.8

Melbourne United 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#7

Record2-2

FormWLLWW

Points / game93.2

Allowed / game98.8

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

88-86 OT

A05/03

NBL

Adelaide

107-96

107

+11

H16/03

NBL

Adelaide

95-110

110

-15

A18/03

NBL

Adelaide

101-98

101

H23/03

NBL

Adelaide

81-90

-9

A25/03

NBL

Adelaide

100-82

100

+18

H31/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

123-122 OT

123

122

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-88

-7

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

75-72

H21/10

NBL

Perth

96-101 OT

101

-5

A27/10

NBL

13-26

20-12

25-25

20-15

29-28

24-19

26-24

28-25

19-27

22-30

23-25

31-28

33-22

20-31

28-22

20-23

21-29

10-26

27-16

23-19

34-22

23-22

21-25

22-13

19-23

23-23

27-20

19-22

28-19

14-28

24-24

15-17

15-19

29-25

17-15

14-13

22-20

20-21

26-25

16-18

189.2Avg total

94.7Scored

94.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	93.8	95.8	189.5	-2.0	50%
Season at home (2)	78.0	80.0	158.0	-2.0	50%
Season away (2)	109.5	111.5	221.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	94.7	94.5	189.2	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	93.0	188.0	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	89.4	90.3	179.8	-0.9	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	88.2	81.4	169.6	+6.8	83%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

73-77

-4

H02/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-88

-4

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

91-99

-8

A08/02

NBL

Adelaide

87-111

111

-24

H11/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-82

A16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

94-84

+10

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

122-123 OT

122

123

-1

H12/10

NBL

Perth

61-101

101

-40

A14/10

NBL

Cairns

104-93

104

+11

A21/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-78

H27/10

NBL

20-17

15-13

20-23

18-24

26-21

19-24

23-20

16-23

19-30

17-24

22-23

33-22

32-29

16-28

24-19

15-35

15-25

19-25

19-19

31-13

26-23

25-28

21-19

22-14

23-19

23-23

20-27

22-19

16-28

18-28

10-17

17-28

27-28

20-20

21-16

36-29

22-30

29-12

19-16

16-20

182.2Avg total

88.6Scored

93.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	93.2	98.8	192.0	-5.5	50%
Season at home (2)	104.0	100.5	204.5	+3.5	50%
Season away (2)	82.5	97.0	179.5	-14.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	93.6	182.2	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	95.8	189.2	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	87.0	96.4	183.4	-9.4	29%
vs Similar (16)	92.4	88.9	181.2	+3.5	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	24.7	46.1	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	24.9	21.8	46.7	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	22.9	43.6	-2.3	39%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	25.9	48.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	25.1	48.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	26.9	48.6	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	25.0	47.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.6	48.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.3	27.9	51.1	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.3	24.2	46.5	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.6	42.6	-0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.7	44.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.8	45.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.5	44.2	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.2	22.9	44.1	-1.6	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

33-38

-5

A05/03

NBL

Adelaide

53-47

H16/03

NBL

Adelaide

41-57

-16

A18/03

NBL

Adelaide

53-53

H23/03

NBL

Adelaide

31-55

-24

A25/03

NBL

Adelaide

57-44

+13

H31/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-46

-4

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-47

-5

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-44

H21/10

NBL

Perth

42-41

A27/10

NBL

91.0Avg total

43.8Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.6	86.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	42.1	86.3	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	45.4	86.6	-4.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	47.2	91.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.4	89.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	44.2	45.8	90.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	41.9	42.2	84.1	-0.3	39%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

35-30

H02/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-45

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

36-54

-18

A08/02

NBL

Adelaide

48-57

-9

H11/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-50

-16

A16/02

NBL

Melbourne United

51-51

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

46-42

H12/10

NBL

Perth

34-56

-22

A14/10

NBL

Cairns

47-48

-1

A21/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

51-42

H27/10

NBL

90.2Avg total

42.7Scored

47.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	48.4	92.8	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.9	46.6	92.5	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	50.5	93.2	-7.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	47.5	90.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	47.8	93.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	44.5	50.7	95.2	-6.2	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.3	46.4	90.8	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	19.1	43.1	+4.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.1	46.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.6	41.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.6	38.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.8	19.1	40.8	+2.7	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.4	44.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.4	21.4	46.9	+4.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	24.3	19.9	44.2	+4.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.4	83.3	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	38.9	81.1	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.0	39.9	85.9	+6.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	41.4	86.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.4	78.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	44.2	43.1	87.2	+1.1	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.8	36.9	80.7	+6.9	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	42.0	85.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.5	41.9	85.4	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	42.1	85.7	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.6	85.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.1	43.2	83.3	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	46.6	40.9	87.6	+5.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
12/10/18	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	122-123 OT
18/02/18	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	84-94
06/01/18	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	77-79
16/12/17	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	78-84
04/12/17	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	91-73
06/02/17	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	78-72
07/01/17	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	106-88
06/11/16	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	82-73
16/10/16	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	95-83
04/02/16	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	73-80

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/18	A	Perth	96-101 OT
21/10/18	H	Adelaide	75-72
14/10/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	81-88
12/10/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	123-122 OT
31/03/18	H	Adelaide	100-82
25/03/18	A	Adelaide	81-90
23/03/18	H	Adelaide	101-98
18/03/18	A	Adelaide	95-110
16/03/18	H	Adelaide	107-96
05/03/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	88-86 OT

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	86-78
21/10/18	A	Cairns	104-93
14/10/18	A	Perth	61-101
12/10/18	H	Melbourne United	122-123 OT
18/02/18	A	Melbourne United	94-84
16/02/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-82
11/02/18	H	Adelaide	87-111
08/02/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	91-99
04/02/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-88
02/02/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	93.8	78.0	109.5
Allowed / game	95.8	80.0	111.5
Point differential	-2.0	-2.0	-2.0
Avg total	189.5	158.0	221.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	50%	0%	100%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	93.2	104.0	82.5
Allowed / game	98.8	100.5	97.0
Point differential	-5.5	+3.5	-14.5
Avg total	192.0	204.5	179.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	25%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	5	4	1	80%	97.0	84.2	+12.8
2	Sydney	4	2	2	50%	95.8	92.0	+3.8
3	Adelaide	6	3	3	50%	91.3	92.5	-1.2
4	Melbourne United	4	2	2	50%	93.8	95.8	-2.0
5	New Zealand Breakers	4	2	2	50%	88.2	90.5	-2.2
6	Illawarra Hawks	4	2	2	50%	93.2	98.8	-5.5
7	Brisbane Bullets	5	2	3	40%	81.4	86.2	-4.8
8	Cairns	4	1	3	25%	88.5	90.8	-2.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	29	27	26	17	99
Illawarra Hawks	16	23	33	21	93

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature