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Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-109
20-26 27-33 21-25 37-25
Position#17
Record41-33
FormWWLLL
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game100.7
vs
Position#22
Record31-44
FormLWWLL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Memphis Grizzlies v Denver Nuggets
11 Nov 2026
MEM v DEN
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
MEM125
DEN118
24 Nov 2025
MEM115
DEN125
19 Nov 2024
MEM110
DEN122
17 Nov 2024
MEM105
DEN90
14 Apr 2024
MEM111
DEN126
27 Oct 2023
MEM104
DEN108
25 Feb 2023
MEM112
DEN94
03 Nov 2021
MEM108
DEN106
01 Nov 2021
MEM106
DEN97
12 Mar 2021
MEM102
DEN103
28 Jan 2020
MEM104
DEN96
17 Nov 2019
MEM114
DEN131
28 Jan 2019
MEM92
DEN95
07 Nov 2018
MEM89
DEN87
17 Mar 2018
MEM101
DEN94
02 Mar 2018
MEM102
DEN108
08 Nov 2016
MEM108
DEN107
30 Mar 2016
MEM105
DEN109
08 Jan 2016
MEM91
DEN84
16 Mar 2015
MEM92
DEN81
29 Jan 2015
MEM99
DEN69
04 Apr 2014
MEM100
DEN92
28 Dec 2013
MEM120
DEN99
29 Dec 2012
MEM81
DEN72
19 Nov 2012
MEM92
DEN97
17 Feb 2012
MEM103
DEN102
31 Jan 2012
MEM100
DEN97
13 Feb 2011
MEM116
DEN108
13 Mar 2010
MEM108
DEN125
20 Dec 2009
MEM102
DEN96
18 Mar 2009
MEM109
DEN111
27 Jan 2009
MEM85
DEN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis Grizzlies winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
121-114 OT
121
114
+7
112avg 86
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
64avg 86
A13/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
81-130
81
130
-49
47avg 86
A15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
108-114
108
114
-6
82avg 86
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
86-96
86
96
-10
61avg 86
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
107avg 86
H20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-97
103
97
+6
90avg 86
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
100-107
100
107
-7
90avg 86
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
94avg 86
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
71avg 86
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
28-23
25-19
26-33
22-18
19-31
17-22
25-24
22-34
19-31
15-32
25-33
25-42
30-22
23-26
30-24
32-32
21-15
20-21
13-28
31-29
27-29
27-17
28-27
24-21
15-29
31-23
33-24
25-25
22-23
31-33
22-26
23-37
28-27
33-24
20-22
18-32
27-21
23-28
19-20
205.2Avg total
98.6Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)99.1100.7199.8-1.655%
Season at home (37)101.9101.6203.5+0.268%
Season away (37)96.399.8196.1-3.543%
Last 10 (10)98.6106.6205.2-8.030%
Last 5 (5)101.4103.4204.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.0101.6197.6-5.638%
vs Similar ◀ (18)103.9104.6208.6-0.756%
vs Weaker (4)112.2102.8215.0+9.575%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 93
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
119-124
119
124
-5
106avg 93
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
103avg 93
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
98-116
98
116
-18
86avg 93
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
91avg 93
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
91-124
91
124
-33
76avg 93
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
104-103
104
103
+1
96avg 93
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
111avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
87avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-27
23-33
41-17
33-36
29-28
29-26
28-34
25-32
21-29
33-24
31-31
23-33
25-21
28-33
22-29
28-22
29-18
21-22
23-31
23-38
25-18
24-31
19-37
24-35
29-10
22-28
29-30
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
24-28
22-22
20-22
22-25
211.6Avg total
103.3Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)102.1104.8206.9-2.741%
Season at home (37)104.2105.6209.9-1.446%
Season away (38)100.1103.9204.0-3.937%
Last 10 (10)103.3108.3211.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)97.8106.8204.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)98.9105.6204.5-6.727%
vs Similar ◀ (14)108.9106.1214.9+2.857%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Memphis GrizzliesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H12/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A13/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A15/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H20/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H29/03
NBA
102.3Avg total
47.8Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.051.3103.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.151.8106.9+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)49.350.9100.2-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.854.5102.3-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)48.054.6102.6-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.051.2101.2-1.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.651.6103.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker (4)57.850.2108.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/03
NBA
103.6Avg total
51.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.7106.0+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.752.8106.5+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)52.952.6105.6+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)51.851.8103.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.8100.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)51.552.0103.5-0.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.152.9107.0+1.150%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.832.3
49.1%
49.0%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.2
33.2%
35.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.219.2
76.2%
75.5%19.2
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.630.7
49.8%
49.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.9
35.0%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.418.2
77.8%
75.5%18.2
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Memphis Grizzlies
LLLWWLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLWLLLW
#17
League position
#22
-2.4
Net rating
-5.1
105.2
Offensive rating
105.3
107.6
Defensive rating
110.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
35.0%
53.8%
Assist %
57.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 105.3Defence107.6 · 110.4Shooting49.2% · 50.5%3-point %33.2% · 35.0%Ball care14.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Memphis Grizzlies   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/16HSan Antonio Spurs87-101
26/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs104-110
23/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers100-107
22/03/16APhoenix Suns103-97
20/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers113-102
18/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks86-96
17/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves108-114
15/03/16AHouston Rockets81-130
13/03/16AAtlanta Hawks83-95
12/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans121-114 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/16HDallas Mavericks88-97
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105
24/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers104-103
21/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers91-124
19/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-93
18/03/16AAtlanta Hawks98-116
15/03/16AOrlando Magic110-116
14/03/16AMiami Heat119-124
13/03/16HWashington Wizards116-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeLWLWL68%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %55%68%43%
Points / game99.1101.996.3
Allowed / game100.7101.699.8
Point differential-1.6+0.2-3.5
Avg total199.8203.5196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)88% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %8%14%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWWWWL46%
AwayLWLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %41%46%37%
Points / game102.1104.2100.1
Allowed / game104.8105.6103.9
Point differential-2.7-1.4-3.9
Avg total206.9209.9204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (26)62% (16)50% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7467791%115.3104.2+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs74621284%104.392.6+11.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers74522270%103.998.0+5.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder75522369%110.0102.5+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors74502468%102.998.5+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%104.5100.8+3.7
7 Atlanta Hawks76453159%102.999.0+3.8
8 Miami Heat73433059%99.698.2+1.5
9 Boston Celtics74433158%105.6102.1+3.4
10 Charlotte Hornets74433158%103.1100.6+2.5
11 Memphis Grizzlies74413355%99.1100.7-1.6
12 Detroit Pistons75403553%102.2101.4+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers74393553%101.7100.4+1.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers75393652%104.5103.9+0.7
15 Utah Jazz74373750%97.996.1+1.7
16 Chicago Bulls74373750%101.5103.1-1.6
17 Houston Rockets75373849%105.9106.7-0.8
18 Dallas Mavericks74363849%103.2103.9-0.7
19 Washington Wizards74363849%103.3104.3-1.0
20 Orlando Magic74314342%101.4103.2-1.8
21 Denver Nuggets75314441%102.1104.8-2.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks74304441%98.9102.9-4.0
23 New York Knicks75304540%98.7101.4-2.8
24 Sacramento Kings74294539%106.7109.0-2.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans73274637%102.7106.2-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves74254934%102.3106.0-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets74215328%98.8105.2-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns74205427%100.6107.8-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers74155920%97.6107.0-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers7596612%97.0107.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Memphis Grizzlies20272137105
Denver Nuggets26332525109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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