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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 116-100
27-23 25-27 23-33 41-17
Position#22
Record27-38
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#15
Record30-34
FormWLLLL
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game104.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
101-121
101
121
-20
92avg 92
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 92
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 92
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
116-122 OT
116
122
-6
101avg 92
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-103
96
103
-7
98avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
115avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
103avg 92
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-98
116
98
+18
112avg 92
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
32-29
29-27
23-30
25-28
25-33
27-30
33-23
23-19
30-20
18-23
16-19
28-20
28-24
24-32
28-32
19-22
28-26
24-23
25-32
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
22-19
35-31
20-29
29-27
31-25
29-24
22-19
28-26
25-18
30-23
27-33
34-24
216.4Avg total
108.9Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)101.9104.2206.2-2.342%
Season at home (34)104.4106.1210.5-1.844%
Season away (31)99.3102.2201.4-2.939%
Last 10 (10)108.9107.5216.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)115.8106.8222.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)102.4104.6207.0-2.242%
vs Similar ◀ (15)105.1102.7207.8+2.560%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
109-89
109
89
+20
106avg 90
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 90
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-94
103
94
+9
97avg 90
A27/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
113-99
113
99
+14
111avg 90
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
116-108
116
108
+8
112avg 90
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 90
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
69avg 90
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
89avg 90
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
94avg 90
A09/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
93-114
93
114
-21
77avg 90
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
30-32
31-14
24-24
31-28
24-29
24-32
25-20
21-26
27-26
28-20
27-22
35-28
28-26
33-16
17-29
27-23
33-25
19-34
37-26
29-32
31-22
25-23
19-21
23-27
19-32
21-24
20-25
37-31
27-25
16-22
19-22
22-29
33-25
26-31
23-19
29-32
19-24
20-32
25-26
206.8Avg total
103.3Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)102.6104.7207.2-2.147%
Season at home (33)104.1103.8207.8+0.348%
Season away (31)101.0105.6206.6-4.645%
Last 10 (10)103.3103.5206.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)97.6107.2204.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8113.8217.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (23)104.3104.7209.1-0.448%
vs Weaker (3)108.398.7207.0+9.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/03
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.1Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.653.7106.3-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.755.3109.1-1.633%-
Last 30 away (12)51.051.2102.2-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)54.151.9106.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)57.252.6109.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.654.2106.8-1.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.352.1104.5+0.240%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A09/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A12/03
NBA
109.0Avg total
54.9Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.352.9108.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.951.6108.5+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)53.854.1107.9-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)54.954.1109.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)53.855.8109.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.262.8117.0-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.351.7107.1+3.661%-
vs Weaker (3)56.049.0105.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.232.4
49.7%
49.0%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.6
77.5%
75.5%18.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.331.6
49.1%
49.0%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.116.1
69.7%
75.5%16.1
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLLWLL
Washington Wizards
LLLLWWWWLW
#22
League position
#15
+1.4
Net rating
-0.2
106.8
Offensive rating
101.9
105.4
Defensive rating
102.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
33.9%
58.4%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 101.9Defence105.4 · 102.1Shooting50.1% · 49.6%3-point %34.0% · 33.9%Ball care13.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.5% · 21.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-98
09/03/16HNew York Knicks110-94
06/03/16HDallas Mavericks116-114 OT
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107
01/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-103
27/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-122 OT
25/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers87-81
24/02/16HSacramento Kings110-114
21/02/16HBoston Celtics101-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/16AUtah Jazz93-114
09/03/16APortland Trail Blazers109-116 OT
06/03/16HIndiana Pacers99-100
05/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers83-108
03/03/16AMinnesota Timberwolves104-98
01/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers116-108
28/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers113-99
27/02/16APhiladelphia 76ers103-94
25/02/16AChicago Bulls104-109
24/02/16HNew Orleans Pelicans109-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWLWWW44%
AwayLWLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653431
Win %42%44%39%
Points / game101.9104.499.3
Allowed / game104.2106.1102.2
Point differential-2.3-1.8-2.9
Avg total206.2210.5201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)60% (15)56% (9)
Overtime %9%9%10%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWWWL48%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %47%48%45%
Points / game102.6104.1101.0
Allowed / game104.7103.8105.6
Point differential-2.1+0.3-4.6
Avg total207.2207.8206.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)38% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6458691%115.3104.4+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs66561085%104.692.3+12.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers64461872%103.897.6+6.2
4 Toronto Raptors64442069%102.998.4+4.5
5 Oklahoma City Thunder66442267%109.5103.0+6.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers64422266%104.9100.4+4.5
7 Boston Celtics66392759%106.1101.9+4.2
8 Memphis Grizzlies66392759%99.299.9-0.7
9 Miami Heat66382858%98.597.4+1.1
10 Charlotte Hornets65372857%103.3100.9+2.4
11 Atlanta Hawks66372956%102.099.0+3.0
12 Indiana Pacers65353054%102.3100.5+1.8
13 Detroit Pistons66343252%102.0100.9+1.1
14 Portland Trail Blazers66343252%103.9103.3+0.6
15 Dallas Mavericks66333350%102.4102.9-0.5
16 Houston Rockets66333350%105.8107.0-1.3
17 Chicago Bulls64323250%101.5102.9-1.4
18 Washington Wizards64303447%102.6104.7-2.1
19 Utah Jazz65303546%97.997.3+0.6
20 Orlando Magic64283644%100.9102.5-1.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks66283842%99.4103.1-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets65273842%101.9104.2-2.3
23 New York Knicks67274040%99.3101.6-2.3
24 Sacramento Kings64253939%106.8109.5-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans65244137%102.7106.0-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves66214532%101.3105.5-4.2
27 Brooklyn Nets65184728%97.6104.2-6.6
28 Phoenix Suns65174826%100.5107.8-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers66145221%98.0107.1-9.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers6695714%96.8107.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27252341116
Washington Wizards23273317100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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