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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-97
24-28 22-22 20-22 22-25
Position#22
Record35-46
FormWLWWL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#19
Record35-45
FormLWLLL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game103.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
116-100
116
100
+16
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
119-124
119
124
-5
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
98-116
98
116
-18
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
91-124
91
124
-33
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
30-23
27-33
34-24
27-23
25-27
23-33
41-17
33-36
29-28
29-26
28-34
25-32
21-29
33-24
31-31
23-33
25-21
28-33
22-29
28-22
29-18
21-22
23-31
23-38
25-18
24-31
19-37
24-35
29-10
22-28
29-30
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
214.5Avg total
106.1Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)102.1104.2206.3-2.143%
Season at home (38)104.9104.9209.8-0.050%
Season away (43)99.6103.5203.1-3.937%
Last 10 (10)106.1108.4214.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)100.4106.0206.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)99.4106.8206.2-7.325%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.5106.8217.2+3.762%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H08/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-130
112
130
-18
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
132-120 OT
132
120
+12
H20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-109
103
109
-6
A24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
120-128
120
128
-8
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
111-133
111
133
-22
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
28-27
16-33
22-26
28-26
24-28
22-22
22-26
23-26
28-29
24-28
30-29
22-18
30-15
19-32
36-31
28-31
23-26
17-27
30-15
36-42
31-31
18-21
27-36
25-36
33-19
32-27
23-31
26-28
27-29
20-26
30-26
33-40
25-32
31-30
31-26
20-25
26-38
33-39
32-31
221.2Avg total
107.4Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)102.1103.8205.9-1.744%
Season at home (40)104.0102.5206.6+1.550%
Season away (40)100.1105.1205.2-5.038%
Last 10 (10)107.4113.8221.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)115.6124.0239.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)103.0114.2217.2-11.210%
vs Similar ◀ (17)109.5108.4217.8+1.141%
vs Weaker (3)104.090.7194.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
103.6Avg total
52.7Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.3106.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.054.1108.1-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)52.952.6105.6+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)52.750.9103.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.847.8100.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.453.2104.6-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.753.2107.8+1.554%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A27/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
54.0Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.754.2106.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.253.4106.6-0.250%-
Last 30 away (12)51.955.3107.2-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)54.056.9110.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)56.464.0120.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.756.2106.9-5.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.953.6106.6-0.741%-
vs Weaker (3)57.750.3108.0+7.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.331.6
49.9%
49.0%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.3
36.1%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.418.0
76.9%
75.5%18.0
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.0
51.0%
49.0%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.6
35.3%
35.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.916.6
83.4%
75.5%16.6
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWLLWLLL
#22
League position
#19
-2.3
Net rating
-6.4
107.1
Offensive rating
107.0
109.4
Defensive rating
113.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
35.3%
57.4%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.0Defence109.4 · 113.4Shooting51.0% · 51.6%3-point %36.1% · 35.3%Ball care14.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds26.4% · 21.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105
24/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers104-103
21/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers91-124
19/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-93
18/03/16AAtlanta Hawks98-116
15/03/16AOrlando Magic110-116
14/03/16AMiami Heat119-124
13/03/16HWashington Wizards116-100
11/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/16ASacramento Kings111-133
26/03/16AGolden State Warriors120-128
24/03/16APortland Trail Blazers103-109
20/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120 OT
19/03/16HGolden State Warriors112-130
16/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers98-99
14/03/16ACharlotte Hornets107-96
12/03/16HIndiana Pacers105-112
10/03/16HDetroit Pistons96-102
08/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers90-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayLWLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games813843
Win %43%50%37%
Points / game102.1104.999.6
Allowed / game104.2104.9103.5
Point differential-2.1-0.0-3.9
Avg total206.3209.8203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (26)62% (16)50% (10)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game102.1104.0100.1
Allowed / game103.8102.5105.1
Point differential-1.7+1.5-5.0
Avg total205.9206.6205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (22)20% (10)42% (12)
Overtime %15%18%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors80691186%114.4104.3+10.1
2 San Antonio Spurs80641680%103.592.8+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder79562371%110.0102.3+7.7
4 Toronto Raptors80542668%102.297.7+4.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers80532766%103.198.1+5.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers78483062%103.9101.1+2.8
7 Charlotte Hornets81493260%102.899.7+3.1
8 Boston Celtics78473160%105.3101.3+4.0
9 Atlanta Hawks82493360%102.198.5+3.6
10 Miami Heat81473458%99.398.0+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies80463457%98.299.2-1.0
12 Indiana Pacers80443655%101.8100.2+1.7
13 Detroit Pistons82424051%102.4101.1+1.3
14 Portland Trail Blazers81414051%104.5103.8+0.6
15 Chicago Bulls81404149%101.5103.3-1.8
16 Washington Wizards79394049%103.8104.4-0.6
17 Utah Jazz80394149%97.596.5+1.1
18 Houston Rockets82394348%106.0106.9-0.8
19 Dallas Mavericks80354544%102.1103.8-1.7
20 Orlando Magic80354544%100.9102.8-1.9
21 Denver Nuggets81354643%102.1104.2-2.1
22 Sacramento Kings79344543%106.5108.2-1.7
23 New York Knicks80334741%98.6101.1-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks80324840%99.1103.0-4.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans80305038%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves81275433%101.7106.0-4.3
27 Phoenix Suns80245630%100.7107.2-6.4
28 Brooklyn Nets78235529%98.7104.4-5.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers80176321%97.7106.5-8.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers81117014%97.0107.4-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2422202288
Dallas Mavericks2822222597
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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