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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-98
33-23 21-25 33-28 29-22
Position#10
Record43-32
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#22
Record32-43
FormWWWLL
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-109 OT
105
109
-4
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
106-77
106
77
+29
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
107-97
107
97
+10
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
118-114
118
114
+4
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
25-23
28-23
24-21
25-9
21-23
22-25
19-19
26-32
22-27
22-16
27-22
26-19
28-17
20-23
32-18
25-37
25-18
30-24
27-18
16-27
25-15
25-15
25-27
21-20
27-32
27-30
21-22
18-22
31-19
22-17
24-25
30-17
22-21
37-18
15-19
30-32
31-30
26-26
31-26
191.9Avg total
101.2Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)101.498.4199.8+3.157%
Season at home (36)101.996.6198.5+5.361%
Season away (39)101.0100.0201.1+1.054%
Last 10 (10)101.290.7191.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)100.892.0192.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.5105.5204.0-7.00%
vs Similar (13)97.497.5194.8-0.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)105.494.7200.1+10.760%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
116-122 OT
116
122
-6
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
96-103
96
103
-7
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
116-100
116
100
+16
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
119-124
119
124
-5
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
28-24
24-32
28-32
19-22
28-26
24-23
25-32
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
22-19
35-31
20-29
29-27
31-25
29-24
22-19
28-26
25-18
30-23
27-33
34-24
27-23
25-27
23-33
41-17
33-36
29-28
29-26
28-34
25-32
21-29
33-24
31-31
223.5Avg total
113.6Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)102.3103.9206.2-1.643%
Season at home (37)104.9105.0209.9-0.149%
Season away (38)99.7102.8202.5-3.237%
Last 10 (10)113.6109.9223.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)114.2106.4220.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)104.4107.2211.7-2.833%
vs Similar (15)109.4106.1215.5+3.360%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A16/03
NBA
96.1Avg total
50.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.846.995.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.845.194.8+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)48.048.396.3-0.335%-
Last 10 (10)50.046.196.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.097.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.558.5102.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (13)46.747.293.8-0.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)51.345.196.4+6.173%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A15/03
NBA
107.9Avg total
54.9Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.6108.1-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.755.0108.7-1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)53.453.9107.3-0.542%-
Last 10 (10)54.953.0107.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.053.0108.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)53.354.9108.2-1.642%-
vs Similar (15)53.653.3106.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.027.5
50.9%
49.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
35.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
75.5%15.3
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.634.4
53.3%
49.0%68.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.7
35.4%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.018.7
77.9%
75.5%18.7
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#22
+8.4
Net rating
+3.7
102.7
Offensive rating
112.4
94.2
Defensive rating
108.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.5%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
35.4%
65.3%
Assist %
56.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 112.4Defence94.2 · 108.7Shooting51.9% · 53.2%3-point %35.8% · 35.4%Ball care14.5% · 13.5%Off. rebounds17.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/16ADetroit Pistons118-114
13/03/16HIndiana Pacers104-75
13/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies95-83
11/03/16AToronto Raptors96-104
09/03/16AUtah Jazz91-84
06/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers107-97
05/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers106-77
02/03/16AGolden State Warriors105-109 OT
28/02/16HCharlotte Hornets87-76
27/02/16HChicago Bulls103-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/16AOrlando Magic110-116
14/03/16AMiami Heat119-124
13/03/16HWashington Wizards116-100
11/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-98
09/03/16HNew York Knicks110-94
06/03/16HDallas Mavericks116-114 OT
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107
01/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-103
27/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-122 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %57%61%54%
Points / game101.4101.9101.0
Allowed / game98.496.6100.0
Point differential+3.1+5.3+1.0
Avg total199.8198.5201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)20% (5)45% (11)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWWWW49%
AwayLWLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %43%49%37%
Points / game102.3104.999.7
Allowed / game103.9105.0102.8
Point differential-1.6-0.1-3.2
Avg total206.2209.9202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)60% (15)50% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors74641086%114.5104.3+10.2
2 San Antonio Spurs73591481%103.792.5+11.2
3 Toronto Raptors74512369%102.297.4+4.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder73502368%109.7102.5+7.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers74492566%102.797.7+4.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%104.1100.9+3.2
7 Charlotte Hornets76463061%102.899.8+3.1
8 Memphis Grizzlies74443059%98.199.0-0.8
9 Boston Celtics73433059%105.5101.7+3.9
10 Atlanta Hawks75433257%101.498.4+3.1
11 Miami Heat76433357%98.797.7+1.0
12 Indiana Pacers75413455%101.9100.3+1.6
13 Portland Trail Blazers75383751%104.0103.3+0.8
14 Chicago Bulls74373750%101.5103.3-1.8
15 Detroit Pistons76373949%102.0100.9+1.1
16 Houston Rockets76373949%106.3107.0-0.7
17 Washington Wizards74363849%103.5104.3-0.8
18 Utah Jazz74353947%97.997.1+0.8
19 Orlando Magic74344046%100.8102.6-1.7
20 Dallas Mavericks75344145%101.2102.5-1.3
21 Denver Nuggets75324343%102.3103.9-1.6
22 Sacramento Kings73314242%106.3108.6-2.2
23 New York Knicks74314342%98.8101.3-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks74314342%99.6103.3-3.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans74284638%103.1106.4-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%101.0105.6-4.6
27 Phoenix Suns73225130%100.9107.3-6.3
28 Brooklyn Nets72215129%98.2104.0-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers75165921%97.6106.5-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers75116415%96.9107.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks33213329116
Denver Nuggets2325282298
← all games of the day
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