PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 124-91
38-23 18-25 31-24 37-19
Position#3
Record49-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#22
Record29-41
FormWLLLW
Points / game102.4
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
100avg 94
H05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
120-103
120
103
+17
119avg 94
H06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
100avg 94
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-111
120
111
+9
108avg 94
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-108
120
108
+12
110avg 94
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 94
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
68avg 94
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
99-98
99
98
+1
91avg 94
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
109-103
109
103
+6
105avg 94
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
101-122
101
122
-21
89avg 94
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
32-19
24-21
25-20
22-35
33-19
36-29
29-20
25-33
24-25
25-24
29-24
28-25
26-35
35-24
31-27
33-31
31-24
31-27
25-26
21-19
37-22
33-27
23-22
26-28
18-20
22-18
19-28
31-28
26-23
27-17
15-30
27-29
36-25
20-32
26-17
19-31
25-34
26-33
31-24
209.7Avg total
107.9Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)103.697.9201.5+5.771%
Season at home (34)105.898.1203.9+7.682%
Season away (35)101.597.6199.1+3.960%
Last 10 (10)107.9101.8209.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)101.6101.4203.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)111.699.0210.6+12.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)105.0100.7205.7+4.470%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 93
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
115avg 93
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
103avg 93
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 93
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-98
116
98
+18
112avg 93
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 93
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
119-124
119
124
-5
106avg 93
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
103avg 93
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
98-116
98
116
-18
86avg 93
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
91avg 93
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
22-19
35-31
20-29
29-27
31-25
29-24
22-19
28-26
25-18
30-23
27-33
34-24
27-23
25-27
23-33
41-17
33-36
29-28
29-26
28-34
25-32
21-29
33-24
31-31
23-33
25-21
28-33
22-29
28-22
29-18
21-22
23-31
220.6Avg total
112.3Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)102.4104.6207.1-2.241%
Season at home (35)104.7106.0210.7-1.346%
Season away (35)100.1103.3203.5-3.237%
Last 10 (10)112.3108.3220.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)108.8109.8218.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)103.8107.3211.1-3.633%
vs Similar (15)109.4106.1215.5+3.360%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A19/03
NBA
107.5Avg total
54.7Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.250.1105.3+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.748.5103.2+6.282%-
Last 30 away (13)55.952.2108.1+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.8107.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.8105.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)56.947.9104.7+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)54.750.7105.5+4.070%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A19/03
NBA
108.3Avg total
55.1Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.254.4107.5-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.155.6108.7-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)53.352.9106.2+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)55.153.2108.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)53.053.8106.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)52.354.4106.8-2.133%-
vs Similar (15)53.653.3106.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.9
54.3%
49.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.8
36.9%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.218.2
78.4%
75.5%18.2
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.634.0
51.1%
49.0%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.918.8
78.7%
75.5%18.8
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#22
+7.7
Net rating
+4.0
113.6
Offensive rating
111.4
105.9
Defensive rating
107.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.9%
3-point %
36.6%
55.7%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 111.4Defence105.9 · 107.4Shooting54.7% · 52.1%3-point %36.9% · 36.6%Ball care14.2% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16AMiami Heat101-122
18/03/16AOrlando Magic109-103
16/03/16HDallas Mavericks99-98
15/03/16AUtah Jazz85-94
13/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers114-90
11/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers120-108
10/03/16ASacramento Kings120-111
08/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies103-106
06/03/16HBoston Celtics120-103
05/03/16HWashington Wizards108-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-93
18/03/16AAtlanta Hawks98-116
15/03/16AOrlando Magic110-116
14/03/16AMiami Heat119-124
13/03/16HWashington Wizards116-100
11/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-98
09/03/16HNew York Knicks110-94
06/03/16HDallas Mavericks116-114 OT
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game103.6105.8101.5
Allowed / game97.998.197.6
Point differential+5.7+7.6+3.9
Avg total201.5203.9199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)78% (9)40% (10)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLLLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %41%46%37%
Points / game102.4104.7100.1
Allowed / game104.6106.0103.3
Point differential-2.2-1.3-3.2
Avg total207.1210.7203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)60% (15)50% (10)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6962790%115.4104.2+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs69591086%104.692.3+12.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers69492071%103.697.9+5.7
4 Toronto Raptors69482170%103.098.3+4.8
5 Oklahoma City Thunder70482269%110.2103.0+7.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers69432662%104.6101.1+3.5
7 Atlanta Hawks70412959%102.698.8+3.8
8 Miami Heat69402958%99.397.9+1.4
9 Boston Celtics70403057%106.0102.4+3.6
10 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%99.1100.5-1.4
11 Charlotte Hornets69393057%103.1101.0+2.1
12 Indiana Pacers69363352%101.9100.7+1.2
13 Chicago Bulls68353351%101.6102.9-1.2
14 Detroit Pistons70363451%102.3101.6+0.7
15 Portland Trail Blazers71363551%104.5104.1+0.4
16 Dallas Mavericks70353550%102.9103.3-0.4
17 Houston Rockets70353550%106.1107.0-0.8
18 Washington Wizards69343549%103.0104.0-1.0
19 Utah Jazz70343649%97.896.5+1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks70304043%99.2102.8-3.6
21 Orlando Magic69294042%100.9103.1-2.2
22 Denver Nuggets70294141%102.4104.6-2.2
23 New York Knicks71284339%98.5101.4-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings69274239%106.5109.2-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans69264338%103.3106.4-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves69224732%101.7105.7-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets69195028%98.3104.8-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns69195028%100.2107.7-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers69145520%97.7106.6-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers7096113%97.2107.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers38183137124
Denver Nuggets2325241991
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.