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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 116-110
32-25 29-21 24-33 31-31
Position#20
Record33-39
FormLLLWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game102.4
vs
Position#22
Record32-42
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
114-130
114
130
-16
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
95-108
95
108
-13
A27/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
130-116
130
116
+14
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
108-121
108
121
-13
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
84-102
84
102
-18
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
113-119
113
119
-6
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
98-107
98
107
-9
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
107-100
107
100
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
84-121
84
121
-37
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
33-26
28-40
23-31
23-32
21-30
25-20
26-26
40-26
37-25
25-36
28-29
27-35
34-34
20-27
27-25
33-23
27-27
24-17
18-22
29-29
21-29
16-26
18-18
18-31
28-28
31-35
36-25
26-20
25-25
26-39
21-23
27-21
23-28
30-26
27-25
24-31
18-32
23-27
19-31
214.8Avg total
103.5Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)100.7102.4203.1-1.846%
Season at home (37)101.8100.9202.7+0.854%
Season away (35)99.5104.0203.5-4.537%
Last 10 (10)103.5111.3214.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)97.2109.8207.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)102.7109.4212.1-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)100.9106.9207.8-6.025%
vs Weaker (6)101.0102.2203.2-1.250%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
116-122 OT
116
122
-6
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
96-103
96
103
-7
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
116-100
116
100
+16
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
119-124
119
124
-5
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
30-20
18-23
16-19
28-20
28-24
24-32
28-32
19-22
28-26
24-23
25-32
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
22-19
35-31
20-29
29-27
31-25
29-24
22-19
28-26
25-18
30-23
27-33
34-24
27-23
25-27
23-33
41-17
33-36
29-28
29-26
28-34
217.7Avg total
111.3Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)102.2103.7205.9-1.643%
Season at home (37)104.9105.0209.9-0.149%
Season away (37)99.4102.5201.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)111.3106.4217.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)115.4106.0221.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)103.7106.1209.8-2.438%
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.4105.4214.7+4.064%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A27/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A13/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
54.4Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.654.0105.6-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.751.7104.5+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)50.556.3106.8-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)54.456.5110.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.854.8102.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)49.255.0104.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)52.455.0107.4-2.658%-
vs Weaker (6)54.750.2104.8+4.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NBA
106.4Avg total
55.6Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.854.4108.2-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (19)53.655.1108.7-1.437%-
Last 30 away (11)54.153.3107.4+0.845%-
Last 10 (10)55.650.8106.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.8108.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)53.355.0108.3-1.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.152.8106.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.632.6
48.9%
49.0%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
35.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
75.5%17.3
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.634.1
52.0%
49.0%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
75.5%17.9
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLLWLWLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWLLW
#20
League position
#22
-7.6
Net rating
+4.8
100.7
Offensive rating
110.1
108.2
Defensive rating
105.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.7%
3-point %
34.1%
58.8%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 110.1Defence108.2 · 105.3Shooting48.2% · 51.8%3-point %30.7% · 34.1%Ball care13.4% · 13.5%Off. rebounds22.3% · 28.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlando Magic wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/16APortland Trail Blazers84-121
12/03/16ASacramento Kings107-100
09/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers98-107
08/03/16AGolden State Warriors113-119
05/03/16HPhoenix Suns84-102
03/03/16HChicago Bulls102-89
02/03/16ADallas Mavericks108-121
28/02/16HPhiladelphia 76ers130-116
27/02/16ANew York Knicks95-108
26/02/16HGolden State Warriors114-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/16AMiami Heat119-124
13/03/16HWashington Wizards116-100
11/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-98
09/03/16HNew York Knicks110-94
06/03/16HDallas Mavericks116-114 OT
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107
01/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-103
27/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-122 OT
25/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %46%54%37%
Points / game100.7101.899.5
Allowed / game102.4100.9104.0
Point differential-1.8+0.8-4.5
Avg total203.1202.7203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)53% (15)33% (9)
Overtime %14%19%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeLWWWW49%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %43%49%38%
Points / game102.2104.999.4
Allowed / game103.7105.0102.5
Point differential-1.6-0.1-3.1
Avg total205.9209.9201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)60% (15)50% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors73631086%114.4104.6+9.8
2 San Antonio Spurs72581481%103.792.6+11.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder72492368%109.4102.4+7.0
4 Toronto Raptors72492368%102.197.6+4.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73482566%102.797.7+5.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers71452663%104.0100.7+3.4
7 Boston Celtics71432861%105.6101.2+4.4
8 Memphis Grizzlies73442960%98.098.8-0.7
9 Charlotte Hornets74443059%102.799.7+3.0
10 Miami Heat75433257%98.697.6+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks74423257%101.298.2+3.0
12 Indiana Pacers73403355%102.0100.3+1.7
13 Chicago Bulls73373651%101.6103.2-1.5
14 Portland Trail Blazers75383751%104.0103.3+0.8
15 Detroit Pistons75373849%101.9100.7+1.1
16 Houston Rockets75373849%106.3106.8-0.5
17 Utah Jazz74353947%97.997.1+0.8
18 Washington Wizards72343847%103.3104.5-1.2
19 Dallas Mavericks74344046%101.2102.5-1.3
20 Orlando Magic72333946%100.7102.4-1.8
21 Denver Nuggets74324243%102.2103.7-1.6
22 New York Knicks73314242%99.0101.0-2.0
23 Milwaukee Bucks73314242%99.7103.2-3.5
24 Sacramento Kings71304142%106.3108.5-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans73274637%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves74235131%100.8105.5-4.7
27 Phoenix Suns73225130%100.9107.3-6.3
28 Brooklyn Nets71205128%97.7103.8-6.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers74165822%97.6106.5-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers73116215%96.7107.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic32292431116
Denver Nuggets25213331110
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