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Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 89-105
21-31 27-19 20-28 21-27
Position#17
Record24-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#27
Record11-40
FormWLLLL
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Chicago Bulls
23 Dec 2026
MIA v CHI
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIA v CHI
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MIA134
CHI91
31 Jan 2026
MIA118
CHI125
08 Mar 2025
MIA109
CHI114
19 Apr 2024
MIA112
CHI91
16 Dec 2023
MIA118
CHI116
14 Dec 2023
MIA116
CHI124
14 Apr 2023
MIA102
CHI91
20 Dec 2022
MIA103
CHI113
19 Oct 2022
MIA108
CHI116
28 Feb 2022
MIA112
CHI99
11 Dec 2021
MIA118
CHI92
26 Apr 2021
MIA102
CHI110
24 Apr 2021
MIA106
CHI101
14 Mar 2020
MIA v CHI
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
MIA110
CHI105
30 Jan 2019
MIA89
CHI105
29 Mar 2018
MIA103
CHI92
01 Nov 2017
MIA97
CHI91
10 Nov 2016
MIA95
CHI98
07 Apr 2016
MIA106
CHI98
01 Mar 2016
MIA129
CHI111
09 Apr 2015
MIA78
CHI89
14 Dec 2014
MIA75
CHI93
23 Feb 2014
MIA93
CHI79
29 Oct 2013
MIA107
CHI95
15 May 2013
MIA94
CHI91
08 May 2013
MIA115
CHI78
06 May 2013
MIA86
CHI93
14 Apr 2013
MIA105
CHI93
04 Jan 2013
MIA89
CHI96
19 Apr 2012
MIA83
CHI72
29 Jan 2012
MIA97
CHI93
24 May 2011
MIA101
CHI93
22 May 2011
MIA96
CHI85
06 Mar 2011
MIA86
CHI87
12 Mar 2010
MIA108
CHI95
01 Nov 2009
MIA95
CHI87
09 Mar 2009
MIA130
CHI127
26 Dec 2008
MIA90
CHI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
99-103
99
103
-4
88avg 98
H09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-99
115
99
+16
114avg 98
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-108
112
108
+4
106avg 98
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
86-124
86
124
-38
80avg 98
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 98
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
118avg 98
A20/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
99-107
99
107
-8
89avg 98
A21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 98
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
100-94
100
94
+6
93avg 98
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
106-97
106
97
+9
104avg 98
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
34-25
24-27
23-27
28-24
33-19
22-29
32-27
30-34
33-27
28-22
21-25
23-30
22-39
18-24
23-31
17-30
22-23
30-12
24-33
31-30
24-27
28-19
34-27
23-33
27-17
18-37
31-20
31-27
23-27
18-23
27-34
27-23
21-30
32-17
20-24
25-26
27-32
29-12
25-27
207.0Avg total
102.6Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)105.7105.5211.2+0.250%
Season at home (24)105.7105.8211.5-0.146%
Season away (24)105.7105.2210.9+0.454%
Last 10 (10)102.6104.4207.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)104.2102.4206.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.0106.4206.4-6.444%
vs Similar (13)104.7102.9207.6+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)108.599.9208.4+8.675%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-146
109
146
-37
92avg 90
A12/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
102-110
102
110
-8
90avg 90
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
100-107
100
107
-7
85avg 90
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
105-135
105
135
-30
97avg 90
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
103-117
103
117
-14
88avg 90
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
104-88
104
88
+16
105avg 90
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
101-121
101
121
-20
91avg 90
H24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
101-106
101
106
-5
84avg 90
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
101-104
101
104
-3
93avg 90
H27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
117-122
117
122
-5
105avg 90
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-43
38-33
21-40
33-30
19-29
34-22
29-30
20-29
18-19
25-25
25-32
32-31
30-28
17-33
26-42
32-32
30-31
27-24
19-28
27-34
31-18
17-24
28-25
28-21
25-42
35-24
23-32
18-23
20-27
36-25
26-28
19-26
29-27
24-24
26-28
22-25
19-20
35-30
25-33
38-39
219.9Avg total
104.3Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)101.4111.2212.6-9.922%
Season at home (25)100.9111.3212.2-10.420%
Season away (26)101.8111.2213.0-9.323%
Last 10 (10)104.3115.6219.9-11.310%
Last 5 (5)104.8108.2213.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)99.1111.6210.7-12.515%
vs Similar (4)104.5101.2205.8+3.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
Miami HeatChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A20/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A28/01
NBA
106.6Avg total
51.9Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.752.6105.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.651.6106.2+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)50.953.4104.4-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)51.954.7106.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)51.854.4106.2-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.353.3102.7-4.022%-
vs Similar (13)55.252.2107.4+3.177%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)52.252.4104.6-0.138%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A12/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H26/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A30/01
NBA
107.4Avg total
52.6Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.554.0103.5-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.954.2106.2-2.354%-
Last 30 away (17)47.653.8101.5-6.224%-
Last 10 (10)52.654.8107.4-2.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.252.2106.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)48.853.9102.8-5.135%-
vs Similar (4)53.854.5108.2-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.3
54.5%
51.7%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.012.4
65.3%
76.6%12.4
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.229.0
47.4%
51.7%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
76.6%16.9
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWLLWWL
Chicago Bulls
LLLLWLLLLL
#17
League position
#27
-1.9
Net rating
-11.1
105.5
Offensive rating
102.6
107.3
Defensive rating
113.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
35.5%
64.3%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 102.6Defence107.3 · 113.7Shooting54.1% · 49.2%3-point %35.6% · 35.5%Ball care14.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds21.3% · 20.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Chicago Bulls wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/19ANew York Knicks106-97
26/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers100-94
24/01/19HLos Angeles Clippers99-111
21/01/19ABoston Celtics99-107
20/01/19AChicago Bulls117-103
19/01/19ADetroit Pistons93-98
16/01/19AMilwaukee Bucks86-124
12/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-108
11/01/19HBoston Celtics115-99
09/01/19HDenver Nuggets99-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19ABrooklyn Nets117-122
27/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers101-104
26/01/19HLos Angeles Clippers101-106
24/01/19HAtlanta Hawks101-121
21/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers104-88
20/01/19HMiami Heat103-117
18/01/19ADenver Nuggets105-135
16/01/19ALos Angeles Lakers100-107
13/01/19AUtah Jazz102-110
12/01/19AGolden State Warriors109-146

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game105.7105.7105.7
Allowed / game105.5105.8105.2
Point differential+0.2-0.1+0.4
Avg total211.2211.5210.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %22%20%23%
Points / game101.4100.9101.8
Allowed / game111.2111.3111.2
Point differential-9.9-10.4-9.3
Avg total212.6212.2213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%4%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (16)25% (12)50% (4)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks49361373%117.2107.6+9.7
2 Golden State Warriors50361472%119.1111.8+7.3
3 Toronto Raptors52371571%114.1108.7+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets49341569%111.6105.9+5.7
5 Indiana Pacers49321765%108.7103.8+4.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers51331865%115.7112.1+3.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder50321864%114.5109.5+5.0
8 Boston Celtics50311962%112.2105.9+6.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers51312061%112.8110.1+2.6
10 Houston Rockets50292158%112.3110.9+1.4
11 San Antonio Spurs52302258%112.6110.0+2.5
12 Utah Jazz51292257%108.7105.1+3.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers51282355%114.1113.5+0.6
14 Brooklyn Nets52282454%111.8111.5+0.3
15 Los Angeles Lakers51262551%112.1111.9+0.2
16 Miami Heat48242450%105.7105.5+0.2
17 Sacramento Kings50252550%113.0115.1-2.1
18 Charlotte Hornets49242549%111.8111.1+0.7
19 Minnesota Timberwolves50242648%111.7111.6+0.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans51232845%116.7115.1+1.5
21 Dallas Mavericks49222745%109.6109.6+0.0
22 Detroit Pistons49212843%105.9108.7-2.8
23 Washington Wizards50212942%112.8115.9-3.0
24 Memphis Grizzlies51203139%100.6103.9-3.3
25 Orlando Magic51203139%104.3107.9-3.6
26 Atlanta Hawks49163333%110.2117.5-7.3
27 Chicago Bulls51114022%101.4111.2-9.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers52114121%102.6113.3-10.7
29 Phoenix Suns53114221%106.1115.7-9.6
30 New York Knicks49103920%106.5115.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2127202189
Chicago Bulls31192827105
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