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Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 129-111
36-30 29-32 30-20 34-29
Position#8
Record33-26
FormWWLLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#13
Record30-28
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Chicago Bulls
23 Dec 2026
MIA v CHI
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIA v CHI
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MIA134
CHI91
31 Jan 2026
MIA118
CHI125
08 Mar 2025
MIA109
CHI114
19 Apr 2024
MIA112
CHI91
16 Dec 2023
MIA118
CHI116
14 Dec 2023
MIA116
CHI124
14 Apr 2023
MIA102
CHI91
20 Dec 2022
MIA103
CHI113
19 Oct 2022
MIA108
CHI116
28 Feb 2022
MIA112
CHI99
11 Dec 2021
MIA118
CHI92
26 Apr 2021
MIA102
CHI110
24 Apr 2021
MIA106
CHI101
14 Mar 2020
MIA v CHI
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
MIA110
CHI105
30 Jan 2019
MIA89
CHI105
29 Mar 2018
MIA103
CHI92
01 Nov 2017
MIA97
CHI91
10 Nov 2016
MIA95
CHI98
07 Apr 2016
MIA106
CHI98
01 Mar 2016
MIA129
CHI111
09 Apr 2015
MIA78
CHI89
14 Dec 2014
MIA75
CHI93
23 Feb 2014
MIA93
CHI79
29 Oct 2013
MIA107
CHI95
15 May 2013
MIA94
CHI91
08 May 2013
MIA115
CHI78
06 May 2013
MIA86
CHI93
14 Apr 2013
MIA105
CHI93
04 Jan 2013
MIA89
CHI96
19 Apr 2012
MIA83
CHI72
29 Jan 2012
MIA97
CHI93
24 May 2011
MIA101
CHI93
22 May 2011
MIA96
CHI85
06 Mar 2011
MIA86
CHI87
12 Mar 2010
MIA108
CHI95
01 Nov 2009
MIA95
CHI87
09 Mar 2009
MIA130
CHI127
26 Dec 2008
MIA90
CHI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago Bulls winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 89
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
85avg 89
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 89
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
95avg 89
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
109avg 89
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
114-94
114
94
+20
111avg 89
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
88avg 89
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-118
112
118
-6
102avg 89
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
89-101
89
101
-12
80avg 89
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 89
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
22-19
30-33
27-29
36-30
30-19
29-25
23-24
32-26
15-25
26-19
29-25
18-19
30-21
25-30
28-29
29-38
26-18
23-28
21-26
19-29
23-19
21-20
25-26
29-16
201.6Avg total
101.4Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)96.996.7193.6+0.356%
Season at home (30)99.796.8196.5+2.960%
Season away (29)94.196.6190.7-2.552%
Last 10 (10)101.4100.2201.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)102.897.4200.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)97.5111.8209.2-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)96.896.2193.1+0.659%
vs Weaker (9)96.996.8193.7+0.156%
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulls
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
110-115
110
115
-5
94avg 93
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
105-112
105
112
-7
95avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
91-108
91
108
-17
79avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
90-113
90
113
-23
81avg 93
H11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
95-106
95
106
-11
74avg 93
A19/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
116-106
116
106
+10
114avg 93
H20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
126-115
126
115
+11
128avg 93
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
109-104
109
104
+5
107avg 93
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-103
88
103
-15
76avg 93
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
92avg 93
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
31-25
32-18
21-42
21-26
34-23
29-35
21-28
20-38
22-19
23-30
26-21
29-28
19-25
25-38
17-22
19-26
23-22
22-30
31-28
24-35
28-23
37-23
27-25
31-30
31-28
35-23
29-34
28-31
29-24
32-24
20-25
21-26
23-25
23-28
21-24
21-21
20-30
32-28
22-24
211.0Avg total
102.5Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)101.6102.3203.9-0.852%
Season at home (30)101.299.8200.9+1.463%
Season away (28)102.0105.1207.1-3.139%
Last 10 (10)102.5108.5211.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)106.8106.2213.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)99.8107.3207.2-7.542%
vs Similar ◀ (15)100.9101.9202.8-1.140%
vs Weaker (3)118.3105.7224.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
Miami HeatChicago Bulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/02
NBA
95.5Avg total
48.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.547.696.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (11)48.445.994.3+2.545%-
Last 30 away (19)48.648.697.2+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)48.646.995.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.894.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.551.2100.8-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.546.595.0+2.153%-
vs Weaker (9)48.048.196.1-0.144%-
This opponent (Chicago Bulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago BullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A07/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A19/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H28/02
NBA
103.5Avg total
50.0Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.552.6103.1-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.152.5103.6-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)50.152.7102.8-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)50.053.5103.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.254.6105.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)47.254.2101.3-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.351.2103.5+1.173%-
vs Weaker (3)55.353.3108.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀72%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers73.0 pts a game · 72% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.9 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers74.236.5
49.2%
49.0%73.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.43.3
24.6%
35.3%9.9
🏀 Free throws25.918.5
71.4%
75.5%18.5
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 15% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chicago Bullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chicago Bulls: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.732.4
46.5%
49.0%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.27.6
39.6%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
75.5%14.9
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWWWLLWW
Chicago Bulls
LLWWWLLLLL
#8
League position
#13
+1.2
Net rating
-6.1
101.7
Offensive rating
104.0
100.5
Defensive rating
110.1
47.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
24.6%
3-point %
39.6%
51.5%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 104.0Defence100.5 · 110.1Shooting47.3% · 49.3%3-point %24.6% · 39.6%Ball care12.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Chicago Bulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Chicago Bulls wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/16ANew York Knicks98-81
27/02/16ABoston Celtics89-101
25/02/16HGolden State Warriors112-118
23/02/16HIndiana Pacers101-93 OT
21/02/16HWashington Wizards114-94
20/02/16AAtlanta Hawks115-111
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/16HPortland Trail Blazers95-103
27/02/16AAtlanta Hawks88-103
25/02/16HWashington Wizards109-104
22/02/16HLos Angeles Lakers126-115
20/02/16HToronto Raptors116-106
19/02/16ACleveland Cavaliers95-106
11/02/16HAtlanta Hawks90-113
09/02/16ACharlotte Hornets91-108
07/02/16AMinnesota Timberwolves105-112
06/02/16ADenver Nuggets110-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayWWWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %56%60%52%
Points / game96.999.794.1
Allowed / game96.796.896.6
Point differential+0.3+2.9-2.5
Avg total193.6196.5190.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)83% (6)88% (8)
Overtime %7%10%3%
Chicago Bulls
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeLWWWL63%
AwayLLLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %52%63%39%
Points / game101.6101.2102.0
Allowed / game102.399.8105.1
Point differential-0.8+1.4-3.1
Avg total203.9200.9207.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)69% (13)50% (8)
Overtime %10%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5853591%115.4104.1+11.3
2 San Antonio Spurs5950985%105.092.5+12.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers59421771%102.997.2+5.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder60421870%110.3103.0+7.3
5 Toronto Raptors58391967%102.397.9+4.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers59392066%105.0100.2+4.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies59352459%99.199.5-0.5
8 Boston Celtics61362559%106.0101.8+4.1
9 Miami Heat59332656%96.996.7+0.3
10 Atlanta Hawks60332755%102.299.7+2.6
11 Portland Trail Blazers60322853%103.6102.3+1.3
12 Dallas Mavericks60322853%102.2102.3-0.1
13 Charlotte Hornets59312853%101.9100.5+1.4
14 Chicago Bulls58302852%101.6102.3-0.8
15 Indiana Pacers60312952%102.2100.5+1.8
16 Detroit Pistons60312952%101.8100.5+1.3
17 Washington Wizards59293049%103.0104.4-1.4
18 Houston Rockets60293148%105.7107.1-1.5
19 Utah Jazz59283147%98.097.2+0.8
20 Orlando Magic58263245%100.8102.1-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks60253542%99.1103.3-4.2
22 Sacramento Kings58243441%107.2109.6-2.4
23 New York Knicks61253641%99.1101.6-2.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%102.9105.7-2.8
25 Denver Nuggets60233738%100.8104.0-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves60194132%101.1105.1-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets60174328%97.0103.6-6.6
28 Phoenix Suns60154525%100.5107.9-7.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers60114918%97.5107.2-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers6085213%96.4107.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat36293034129
Chicago Bulls30322029111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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