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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 124-86
30-23 39-22 24-18 31-23
Position#1
Record33-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#17
Record24-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
18 Jul 2025
MIL92
MIA93
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
13 Jul 2023
MIL72
MIA91
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
109-95
109
95
+14
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
112-96
112
96
+16
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
129-115
129
115
+14
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
121-98
121
98
+23
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
114-102
114
102
+12
H08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
116-109
116
109
+7
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
106-113
106
113
-7
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
133-114
133
114
+19
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
26-22
36-22
25-27
24-28
29-20
34-29
25-19
29-23
42-29
35-34
23-29
35-27
33-25
24-21
29-25
43-14
33-29
42-36
26-33
34-27
23-29
25-35
34-32
32-34
26-28
25-24
31-16
26-29
28-31
38-23
24-26
26-40
21-17
35-28
24-28
35-32
29-23
31-29
38-30
227.7Avg total
120.0Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)118.2108.2226.4+10.072%
Season at home (25)121.2106.4227.6+14.884%
Season away (21)114.7110.3225.0+4.457%
Last 10 (10)120.0107.7227.7+12.380%
Last 5 (5)117.0112.2229.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)105.0109.0214.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)117.2107.7225.0+9.574%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#16
W
115-91
115
91
+24
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
104-106
104
106
-2
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
118-94
118
94
+24
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
104-113
104
113
-9
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
117-92
117
92
+25
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
115-109
115
109
+6
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
99-103
99
103
-4
H09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
115-99
115
99
+16
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
25-27
37-27
25-20
31-23
27-21
21-37
25-25
29-30
27-22
26-17
36-25
19-30
35-25
23-31
27-27
22-23
36-20
35-30
24-19
31-24
30-34
34-28
20-23
16-23
21-15
21-41
24-27
18-24
34-25
24-27
23-27
28-24
33-19
22-29
32-27
30-34
33-27
28-22
21-25
210.2Avg total
108.1Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)107.4106.6214.0+0.951%
Season at home (26)107.2106.1213.3+1.154%
Season away (21)107.7107.1214.9+0.648%
Last 10 (10)108.1102.1210.2+6.060%
Last 5 (5)104.6105.0209.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)100.0104.7204.7-4.750%
vs Similar (18)106.0105.1211.1+0.950%
vs Weaker (6)108.0100.2208.2+7.867%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A13/01
NBA
112.7Avg total
59.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.253.9111.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.454.9114.3+4.553%-
Last 30 away (13)54.452.7107.1+1.769%-
Last 10 (10)59.653.1112.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)56.058.0114.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)53.054.0107.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)57.753.9111.6+3.859%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H12/01
NBA
104.0Avg total
55.3Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.6105.6+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.652.7107.3+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)53.150.2103.3+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)55.348.7104.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)54.849.8104.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)48.053.0101.0-5.017%-
vs Similar (18)55.952.3108.2+3.778%-
vs Weaker (6)53.848.3102.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.733.3
58.7%
51.7%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.7
34.3%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.218.3
75.6%
76.6%18.3
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.229.7
52.8%
51.7%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.7
37.7%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
76.6%13.6
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWWWW
Miami Heat
WWLLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#17
+11.6
Net rating
+6.2
113.7
Offensive rating
111.5
102.0
Defensive rating
105.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
11.8%
Turnover %
12.2%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.3%
3-point %
37.7%
60.4%
Assist %
64.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 111.5Defence102.0 · 105.3Shooting56.0% · 54.2%3-point %34.3% · 37.7%Ball care11.8% · 12.2%Off. rebounds19.0% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19AAtlanta Hawks133-114
12/01/19AWashington Wizards106-113
10/01/19AHouston Rockets116-109
08/01/19HUtah Jazz114-102
06/01/19HToronto Raptors116-123
05/01/19HAtlanta Hawks144-112
02/01/19HDetroit Pistons121-98
29/12/18HBrooklyn Nets129-115
28/12/18HNew York Knicks112-96
25/12/18ANew York Knicks109-95
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-108
11/01/19HBoston Celtics115-99
09/01/19HDenver Nuggets99-103
06/01/19AAtlanta Hawks82-106
05/01/19HWashington Wizards115-109
03/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers117-92
30/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
29/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers118-94
27/12/18HToronto Raptors104-106
23/12/18AOrlando Magic115-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %72%84%57%
Points / game118.2121.2114.7
Allowed / game108.2106.4110.3
Point differential+10.0+14.8+4.4
Avg total226.4227.6225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%68%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayWWWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472621
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game107.4107.2107.7
Allowed / game106.6106.1107.1
Point differential+0.9+1.1+0.6
Avg total214.0213.3214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)56% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors49361373%114.1108.2+6.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks46331372%118.2108.2+10.0
3 Denver Nuggets46321470%110.3105.5+4.9
4 Indiana Pacers47311666%108.5103.1+5.4
5 Philadelphia 76ers48311765%115.5112.5+2.9
6 Golden State Warriors48301862%116.8111.9+4.9
7 Oklahoma City Thunder47291862%112.7107.6+5.1
8 Houston Rockets47281960%111.6108.9+2.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers46271959%115.2113.2+2.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers50292158%111.9109.7+2.2
11 Utah Jazz48272156%108.6104.6+4.0
12 San Antonio Spurs50282256%111.5108.7+2.7
13 Boston Celtics47262155%110.9105.8+5.1
14 Los Angeles Lakers50262452%111.5111.0+0.6
15 Miami Heat47242351%107.4106.6+0.9
16 Charlotte Hornets48242450%112.2111.6+0.7
17 Brooklyn Nets49242549%110.1111.2-1.1
18 Sacramento Kings49242549%113.8115.9-2.1
19 Dallas Mavericks46212546%110.4110.2+0.2
20 Minnesota Timberwolves49222745%111.2113.1-1.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies48212744%101.5104.0-2.5
22 Washington Wizards48212744%113.5116.1-2.6
23 New Orleans Pelicans49212843%116.6115.8+0.8
24 Detroit Pistons47202743%106.4109.1-2.7
25 Orlando Magic47202743%102.7106.5-3.7
26 Atlanta Hawks49163333%110.2117.7-7.5
27 New York Knicks48133527%107.4115.1-7.7
28 Chicago Bulls48123625%101.0110.5-9.4
29 Phoenix Suns49123724%105.3114.4-9.0
30 Cleveland Cavaliers48113723%103.0112.9-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30392431124
Miami Heat2322182386
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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