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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 95-120
27-29 28-29 13-32 27-30
Position#16
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#8
Record8-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA145
IND125
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
110avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
97-91
97
91
+6
90avg 94
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
94-95
94
95
-1
90avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
104-101
104
101
+3
93avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
67avg 94
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
126-115
126
115
+11
125avg 94
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
72avg 94
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 94
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
93-102
93
102
-9
82avg 94
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
91-88
91
88
+3
85avg 94
A18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
30-37
20-19
28-31
27-17
22-30
18-17
30-27
37-28
21-23
13-25
23-19
34-20
28-29
27-17
15-35
21-22
16-28
20-25
23-22
36-27
33-27
25-32
32-29
25-22
12-27
20-8
27-17
29-31
29-24
23-28
22-29
19-30
30-31
25-10
19-31
26-17
24-12
16-28
25-31
199.4Avg total
99.4Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)100.6102.0202.6-1.447%
Season at home (7)102.6104.6207.1-2.043%
Season away (8)98.999.8198.6-0.950%
Last 10 (10)99.4100.0199.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)99.498.2197.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)104.0104.4208.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (7)106.799.7206.4+7.071%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 97
H31/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
124-107
124
107
+17
125avg 97
A01/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
110-121
110
121
-11
95avg 97
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
101-108
101
108
-7
94avg 97
A06/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
112-117
112
117
-5
97avg 97
H08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
97-114
97
114
-17
83avg 97
A09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
105-87
105
87
+18
106avg 97
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
95-118
95
118
-23
82avg 97
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
116-113
116
113
+3
111avg 97
A16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 97
H18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
31-17
14-18
32-35
30-28
32-33
30-24
32-22
28-30
35-26
26-36
21-29
33-25
29-24
22-23
17-36
37-34
38-27
19-35
18-21
30-22
22-37
23-23
22-32
27-16
18-19
35-26
25-26
18-35
33-28
20-24
24-31
34-25
33-28
30-31
19-29
23-32
24-26
24-23
36-19
213.6Avg total
106.8Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)108.4108.8217.2-0.350%
Season at home (7)106.9108.1215.0-1.357%
Season away (9)109.7109.2218.9+0.444%
Last 10 (10)106.8106.8213.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)104.0106.4210.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)110.0117.3227.3-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.5106.3212.8+0.244%
vs Weaker (8)114.6104.9219.5+9.888%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/11
NBA
103.6Avg total
53.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.4105.2+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.152.9107.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)52.549.6102.1+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)53.150.5103.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.6102.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.050.087.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.751.9105.6+1.859%-
vs Weaker (7)56.949.9106.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H31/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A01/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A03/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A06/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H18/11
NBA
110.4Avg total
57.9Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.455.0111.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.652.9108.4+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)57.156.9114.0+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)57.952.5110.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)52.453.6106.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.859.8117.7-2.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.256.5110.7-2.344%-
vs Weaker (8)59.648.5108.1+11.1100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.525.0
48.5%
51.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.4
36.3%
36.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.2
77.2%
76.5%15.2
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.430.0
48.9%
51.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.911.1
42.9%
36.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
76.5%13.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWWLWLWL
Indiana Pacers
WWLWLLLLWW
#16
League position
#8
-0.6
Net rating
+0.0
100.0
Offensive rating
107.2
100.6
Defensive rating
107.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
12.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.3%
3-point %
42.9%
53.6%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 107.2Defence100.6 · 107.2Shooting50.8% · 53.4%3-point %36.3% · 42.9%Ball care16.9% · 12.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 19.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/17AWashington Wizards91-88
16/11/17HWashington Wizards93-102
12/11/17ADetroit Pistons103-112
11/11/17AUtah Jazz84-74
09/11/17APhoenix Suns126-115
07/11/17AGolden State Warriors80-97
05/11/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
04/11/17ADenver Nuggets94-95
01/11/17HChicago Bulls97-91
30/10/17HMinnesota Timberwolves122-125 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/17HDetroit Pistons107-100
16/11/17AMemphis Grizzlies116-113
12/11/17HHouston Rockets95-118
11/11/17AChicago Bulls105-87
09/11/17ADetroit Pistons97-114
08/11/17HNew Orleans Pelicans112-117
06/11/17ANew York Knicks101-108
03/11/17APhiladelphia 76ers110-121
01/11/17ACleveland Cavaliers124-107
31/10/17HSacramento Kings101-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game100.6102.698.9
Allowed / game102.0104.699.8
Point differential-1.4-2.0-0.9
Avg total202.6207.1198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game108.4106.9109.7
Allowed / game108.8108.1109.2
Point differential-0.3-1.3+0.4
Avg total217.2215.0218.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1715288%102.594.4+8.1
2 Houston Rockets1713476%112.6104.0+8.6
3 Golden State Warriors1612475%117.9107.2+10.6
4 Toronto Raptors1611569%110.4103.5+6.9
5 Detroit Pistons1510567%105.3101.5+3.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves1510567%108.2107.5+0.7
7 San Antonio Spurs1610662%101.699.1+2.6
8 Denver Nuggets159660%108.5105.4+3.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers169756%103.097.5+5.5
10 Washington Wizards169756%108.1103.8+4.2
11 Cleveland Cavaliers169756%110.6112.2-1.6
12 New York Knicks158753%104.5104.8-0.3
13 Philadelphia 76ers158753%109.0110.4-1.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks158753%102.3104.9-2.6
15 Indiana Pacers168850%108.4108.8-0.3
16 Orlando Magic168850%107.2108.3-1.1
17 New Orleans Pelicans168850%108.4110.6-2.2
18 Oklahoma City Thunder157847%102.997.5+5.4
19 Memphis Grizzlies157847%100.7101.3-0.6
20 Miami Heat157847%100.6102.0-1.4
21 Utah Jazz1771041%100.5100.8-0.2
22 Charlotte Hornets156940%104.7105.6-0.9
23 Brooklyn Nets156940%110.5113.7-3.1
24 Los Angeles Lakers1661038%104.2107.4-3.2
25 Phoenix Suns1761135%107.6116.6-9.0
26 Los Angeles Clippers1551033%106.3106.5-0.3
27 Sacramento Kings1641225%92.9105.2-12.4
28 Chicago Bulls1331023%94.8104.2-9.5
29 Atlanta Hawks1631319%103.9108.5-4.6
30 Dallas Mavericks1731418%98.9105.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2728132795
Indiana Pacers29293230120
← all games of the day
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