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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-93 (OT)
15-25 26-19 29-25 18-19 13-5
Position#8
Record31-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Position#11
Record30-25
FormWWLWW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game100.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA145
IND125
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 89
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 89
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 89
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
102-115
102
115
-13
99avg 89
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 89
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
85avg 89
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 89
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
95avg 89
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
109avg 89
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
114-94
114
94
+20
111avg 89
H21/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
22-19
30-33
27-29
36-30
30-19
29-25
23-24
32-26
204.2Avg total
103.0Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)96.796.6193.3+0.156%
Season at home (28)99.296.1195.4+3.161%
Season away (27)94.197.0191.1-2.952%
Last 10 (10)103.0101.2204.2+1.870%
Last 5 (5)104.2103.8208.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.7109.7202.3-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)98.496.9195.4+1.561%
vs Weaker (9)96.497.6194.0-1.156%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
111-92
111
92
+19
108avg 92
H29/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
98avg 92
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
90avg 92
H02/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
114-100
114
100
+14
107avg 92
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
96-102
96
102
-6
89avg 92
A06/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 92
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
89-87
89
87
+2
78avg 92
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
95-117
95
117
-22
78avg 92
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
93avg 92
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-102
105
102
+3
101avg 92
A21/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
24-20
31-31
29-17
35-27
24-24
21-32
19-16
26-33
23-27
30-15
17-21
26-23
36-20
25-34
27-23
29-26
22-24
21-23
24-29
34-22
28-26
25-33
25-23
23-22
23-16
18-21
25-28
25-25
18-35
27-29
25-28
24-24
20-27
23-25
34-22
20-22
27-25
33-32
25-23
205.6Avg total
103.8Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)102.6100.3202.9+2.355%
Season at home (26)102.998.5201.4+4.565%
Season away (29)102.2101.9204.2+0.345%
Last 10 (10)103.8101.8205.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)100.4101.6202.0-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)102.2109.2211.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)99.499.7199.1-0.443%
vs Weaker (12)103.9101.5205.4+2.458%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H21/02
NBA
99.3Avg total
50.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.548.697.1-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.547.095.5+1.542%-
Last 30 away (18)48.649.798.2-1.139%-
Last 10 (10)50.548.899.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.698.6+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.751.399.0-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.148.497.5+0.644%-
vs Weaker (9)47.848.095.8-0.244%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H29/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A06/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/02
NBA
100.6Avg total
51.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.648.897.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.250.2100.5+0.054%-
Last 30 away (17)47.447.895.1-0.435%-
Last 10 (10)51.449.2100.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.448.897.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.056.2104.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.648.195.7-0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)49.947.297.2+2.750%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.8 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.235.9
51.9%
49.0%71.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.04.4
29.3%
35.3%13.2
🏀 Free throws24.518.0
73.5%
75.5%18.0
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 103.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.831.6
48.8%
49.0%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.7
76.2%
75.5%15.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWLWWW
Indiana Pacers
WWLWWLWLWW
#8
League position
#11
+1.8
Net rating
+2.0
105.0
Offensive rating
102.4
103.1
Defensive rating
100.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.3%
3-point %
36.7%
55.6%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 102.4Defence103.1 · 100.4Shooting50.5% · 50.4%3-point %29.3% · 36.7%Ball care13.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds23.1% · 25.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/16HWashington Wizards114-94
20/02/16AAtlanta Hawks115-111
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/16AOrlando Magic105-102
20/02/16AOklahoma City Thunder101-98
11/02/16HCharlotte Hornets95-117
09/02/16HLos Angeles Lakers89-87
07/02/16HDetroit Pistons112-104
06/02/16AAtlanta Hawks96-102
04/02/16ABrooklyn Nets114-100
02/02/16HCleveland Cavaliers106-111 OT
31/01/16HDenver Nuggets109-105 OT
29/01/16HAtlanta Hawks111-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWLLW61%
AwayWLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %56%61%52%
Points / game96.799.294.1
Allowed / game96.696.197.0
Point differential+0.1+3.1-2.9
Avg total193.3195.4191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)83% (6)88% (8)
Overtime %5%7%4%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %55%65%45%
Points / game102.6102.9102.2
Allowed / game100.398.5101.9
Point differential+2.3+4.5+0.3
Avg total202.9201.4204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)56% (9)42% (12)
Overtime %11%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5449591%115.3103.8+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5647984%105.292.7+12.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers55401573%102.996.8+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder56401671%109.6102.1+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors54361867%101.897.5+4.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers55361965%104.8100.7+4.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies55322358%98.199.1-1.0
8 Boston Celtics57332458%105.8101.7+4.1
9 Miami Heat55312456%96.796.6+0.1
10 Indiana Pacers55302555%102.6100.3+2.3
11 Atlanta Hawks57312654%102.7100.2+2.4
12 Charlotte Hornets55292653%102.0100.7+1.3
13 Chicago Bulls55292653%101.8102.3-0.5
14 Dallas Mavericks57302753%101.4101.8-0.5
15 Portland Trail Blazers56292752%103.3102.1+1.2
16 Houston Rockets56282850%105.2106.7-1.5
17 Detroit Pistons57282949%101.5100.9+0.6
18 Utah Jazz55272849%98.196.8+1.3
19 Washington Wizards54252946%102.4104.9-2.4
20 Orlando Magic54243044%99.7101.0-1.3
21 Sacramento Kings54233143%107.2109.1-1.9
22 New York Knicks57243342%99.2101.3-2.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks56233341%98.4102.9-4.5
24 New Orleans Pelicans55223340%102.6105.3-2.6
25 Denver Nuggets56223439%100.7104.0-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves56173930%100.4104.1-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets56154127%96.5103.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns56144225%100.7107.1-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers57114619%97.1106.7-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers5584715%95.6106.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat1526291813101
Indiana Pacers25192519593
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