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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-108
26-31 37-19 28-26 21-32
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA v IND
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
10 Jul 2014
MIA74
IND84
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-107
88
107
-19
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
109-106
109
106
+3
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-115
117
115
+2
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
95-119
95
119
-24
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-23
25-14
23-25
14-24
26-19
26-20
25-21
16-23
23-18
21-22
30-27
19-25
20-17
35-24
22-24
23-33
22-26
25-24
18-24
22-28
32-21
21-19
15-25
36-29
18-33
31-27
24-17
19-30
31-23
33-34
34-28
29-34
25-35
21-28
20-22
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
199.5Avg total
97.9Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)100.6106.6207.1-6.043%
Season at home (3)107.3103.7211.0+3.7100%
Season away (4)95.5108.8204.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)97.9101.6199.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)104.0109.8213.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.098.5182.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.2102.8206.0+0.455%
vs Weaker (6)97.891.3189.2+6.583%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H13/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
108-109
108
109
-1
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
111-117
111
117
-6
A17/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H20/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
102-106
102
106
-4
H23/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A05/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A06/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
97-107
97
107
-10
A09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
140-131
140
131
+9
H18/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
96-114
96
114
-18
H20/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
28-28
34-25
20-18
29-34
30-32
25-26
24-17
29-32
29-31
20-33
33-21
37-27
37-22
17-35
23-35
24-22
28-36
25-30
25-18
24-18
27-25
30-14
23-29
21-33
27-26
30-27
28-16
27-22
23-18
24-36
23-31
29-30
36-33
41-35
34-33
25-31
27-31
21-29
23-23
215.9Avg total
108.2Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)108.6108.0216.6+0.660%
Season at home (2)118.0122.5240.5-4.550%
Season away (3)102.398.3200.7+4.067%
Last 10 (10)108.2107.7215.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)108.6108.0216.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)102.9103.9206.8-1.038%
vs Weaker (4)123.5112.0235.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
99.6Avg total
47.1Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.150.9101.0-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.150.9102.0+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)48.950.999.9-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)47.152.599.6-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)53.458.2111.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.452.1103.5-0.741%-
vs Weaker (6)47.846.894.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A17/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
74-49
74
49
+25
H20/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H23/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A05/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A06/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H18/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/10
NBA
110.5Avg total
55.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.053.4106.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.452.5106.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)51.854.2106.0-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)55.954.6110.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.4106.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)51.653.2104.7-1.642%-
vs Weaker (4)62.055.2117.2+6.8100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.130.2
52.0%
51.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.8
30.4%
36.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.817.6
68.2%
76.5%17.6
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.733.4
55.0%
51.0%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
36.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.0
76.3%
76.5%18.0
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWLLWLWW
Indiana Pacers
LWLWWLLLLW
#16
League position
#9
-2.7
Net rating
+3.0
99.5
Offensive rating
113.7
102.2
Defensive rating
110.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
36.2%
57.2%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 113.7Defence102.2 · 110.7Shooting49.9% · 54.8%3-point %30.4% · 36.2%Ball care15.7% · 13.2%Off. rebounds20.6% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116
14/10/17APhiladelphia 76ers95-119
11/10/17HWashington Wizards117-115
09/10/17HCharlotte Hornets109-106
07/10/17AOrlando Magic90-93
05/10/17ABrooklyn Nets88-107
01/10/17HAtlanta Hawks96-90
15/07/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-98 OT
13/07/17ALos Angeles Clippers91-84
12/07/17HWashington Wizards89-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/17HPortland Trail Blazers96-114
18/10/17HBrooklyn Nets140-131
09/10/17ADetroit Pistons97-107
06/10/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-102
05/10/17AMilwaukee Bucks104-86
23/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers102-106
20/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers114-119
17/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers111-117
15/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers108-109
13/04/17HAtlanta Hawks104-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game100.6107.395.5
Allowed / game106.6103.7108.8
Point differential-6.0+3.7-13.2
Avg total207.1211.0204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game108.6118.0102.3
Allowed / game108.0122.598.3
Point differential+0.6-4.5+4.0
Avg total216.6240.5200.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland Trail Blazers76186%114.397.1+17.1
2 Houston Rockets65183%107.7101.3+6.3
3 Washington Wizards65183%111.0106.8+4.2
4 Utah Jazz54180%108.099.6+8.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder43175%100.091.2+8.8
6 Toronto Raptors75271%113.1101.3+11.9
7 Boston Celtics75271%103.797.4+6.3
8 Memphis Grizzlies64267%104.094.2+9.8
9 San Antonio Spurs64267%107.799.7+8.0
10 Brooklyn Nets64267%118.3112.0+6.3
11 Indiana Pacers53260%108.6108.0+0.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves53260%105.6108.0-2.4
13 Golden State Warriors63350%117.5112.8+4.7
14 Dallas Mavericks84450%101.999.8+2.1
15 Orlando Magic84450%103.9102.0+1.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers63350%105.5104.8+0.7
17 Denver Nuggets63350%104.2106.2-2.0
18 Detroit Pistons73443%104.6102.9+1.7
19 Charlotte Hornets73443%100.9100.9+0.0
20 Cleveland Cavaliers73443%102.1103.9-1.7
21 Atlanta Hawks73443%98.1102.0-3.9
22 Miami Heat73443%100.6106.6-6.0
23 Chicago Bulls73443%100.7110.3-9.6
24 Los Angeles Lakers83538%102.4107.4-5.0
25 Milwaukee Bucks62433%100.5107.2-6.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers82625%105.0111.5-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings82625%92.199.9-7.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans61517%103.3113.8-10.5
29 Phoenix Suns61517%104.5118.8-14.3
30 New York Knicks6060%95.3111.3-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26372821112
Indiana Pacers31192632108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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