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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-95
18-23 35-31 30-25 30-16
Position#13
Record26-32
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game102.3
vs
Position#16
Record30-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA145
IND125
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
114avg 93
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
102avg 93
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
213.8Avg total
111.5Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)101.6102.3203.8-0.745%
Season at home (27)104.1102.3206.4+1.948%
Season away (31)99.4102.3201.6-2.942%
Last 10 (10)111.5102.3213.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)109.8106.2216.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)102.599.5202.1+3.053%
vs Weaker (11)109.5109.7219.2-0.355%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
106-97
106
97
+9
96avg 95
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-84
105
84
+21
93avg 95
H05/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 95
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
117-132
117
132
-15
110avg 95
H09/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
101avg 95
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
100-116
100
116
-16
93avg 95
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-110
106
110
-4
96avg 95
H14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
104-113
104
113
-9
102avg 95
A16/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
98-111
98
111
-13
89avg 95
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
102-92
102
92
+10
104avg 95
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
29-30
24-28
26-23
30-32
26-26
26-14
23-12
20-25
21-27
32-18
20-20
36-25
27-32
18-40
36-35
27-33
32-26
22-27
26-26
22-29
30-33
22-26
26-28
31-26
18-23
30-34
27-27
32-28
22-29
26-26
24-30
27-34
25-28
25-28
21-21
25-26
36-23
28-19
13-24
209.5Avg total
103.8Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)105.4106.2211.6-0.752%
Season at home (31)106.7103.1209.8+3.568%
Season away (27)104.0109.6213.6-5.633%
Last 10 (10)103.8105.7209.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)102.0108.4210.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8114.0225.8-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (21)105.4106.2211.6-0.952%
vs Weaker (5)107.4101.2208.6+6.280%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
109.6Avg total
58.3Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.753.5108.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.254.2110.3+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)53.653.1106.6+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)58.351.3109.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)55.052.2107.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.152.0106.1+2.160%-
vs Weaker (11)56.257.0113.2-0.836%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H05/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H09/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H14/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A16/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H25/02
NBA
109.4Avg total
54.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.3108.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.353.8109.1+1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)53.255.1108.2-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.1109.4-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.851.5107.2+4.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.456.0109.5-2.633%-
vs Weaker (5)57.249.4106.6+7.8100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.031.0
52.5%
50.2%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.1
39.4%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
77.0%16.2
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 103.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.7
50.6%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
77.0%16.6
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWWWWW
Indiana Pacers
WLLLLLLWWW
#13
League position
#16
+9.3
Net rating
-2.0
112.3
Offensive rating
108.9
103.0
Defensive rating
110.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.4%
3-point %
38.1%
53.4%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.9Defence103.0 · 110.9Shooting54.6% · 52.3%3-point %39.4% · 38.1%Ball care14.6% · 12.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 21.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
17/02/17HWashington Wizards98-111
16/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers104-113
14/02/17HSan Antonio Spurs106-110
12/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks100-116
11/02/17AWashington Wizards107-112
09/02/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-132
07/02/17HOklahoma City Thunder93-90
05/02/17HDetroit Pistons105-84
04/02/17ABrooklyn Nets106-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWWWL48%
AwayWWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582731
Win %45%48%42%
Points / game101.6104.199.4
Allowed / game102.3102.3102.3
Point differential-0.7+1.9-2.9
Avg total203.8206.4201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeLLLLW68%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583127
Win %52%68%33%
Points / game105.4106.7104.0
Allowed / game106.2103.1109.6
Point differential-0.7+3.5-5.6
Avg total211.6209.8213.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %9%10%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5748984%118.3105.5+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs57441377%106.798.3+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers56401671%111.5105.9+5.6
4 Houston Rockets59411869%114.7107.8+6.8
5 Boston Celtics58372164%108.2105.7+2.5
6 Utah Jazz58362262%100.495.7+4.7
7 Washington Wizards56342261%108.1105.5+2.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers58352360%107.8104.5+3.4
9 Toronto Raptors58342459%108.4104.2+4.2
10 Memphis Grizzlies59342558%100.799.6+1.1
11 Oklahoma City Thunder58332557%106.0105.8+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks58322655%103.2104.3-1.1
13 Indiana Pacers58302852%105.4106.2-0.7
14 Chicago Bulls58292950%102.6103.1-0.5
15 Detroit Pistons58283048%101.5101.8-0.3
16 Miami Heat58263245%101.6102.3-0.7
17 Denver Nuggets58263245%110.8111.8-1.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks56253145%105.5105.5+0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets58253343%104.4104.1+0.4
20 Sacramento Kings59253442%102.9105.5-2.6
21 Portland Trail Blazers57243342%107.4110.0-2.6
22 New York Knicks59243541%106.1109.4-3.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves58233540%104.7105.3-0.7
24 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%103.3106.9-3.6
25 Dallas Mavericks57223539%97.8100.3-2.5
26 Philadelphia 76ers58223638%101.6106.9-5.3
27 Orlando Magic60223837%99.7105.8-6.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers59194032%104.3110.7-6.5
29 Phoenix Suns58184031%107.2112.7-5.5
30 Brooklyn Nets5794816%105.5114.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat18353030113
Indiana Pacers2331251695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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