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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 103-100 (OT)
19-29 25-18 22-27 29-21 8-5
Position#9
Record24-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#11
Record24-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Indiana Pacers
06 Mar 2027
MIA v IND
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
MIA v IND
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
MIA142
IND116
28 Feb 2025
MIA125
IND120
02 Jan 2025
MIA115
IND128
02 Dec 2023
MIA129
IND144
30 Nov 2023
MIA142
IND132
08 Feb 2023
MIA116
IND111
23 Dec 2022
MIA108
IND111
21 Dec 2021
MIA125
IND96
21 Mar 2021
MIA106
IND109
19 Mar 2021
MIA110
IND137
24 Aug 2020
MIA99
IND87
22 Aug 2020
MIA124
IND115
10 Aug 2020
MIA114
IND92
27 Dec 2019
MIA113
IND112
02 Feb 2019
MIA88
IND95
09 Nov 2018
MIA102
IND110
19 Nov 2017
MIA95
IND120
21 Oct 2017
MIA112
IND108
25 Feb 2017
MIA113
IND95
14 Dec 2016
MIA95
IND89
22 Feb 2016
MIA101
IND93
04 Jan 2016
MIA103
IND100
23 Jan 2015
MIA89
IND87
12 Nov 2014
MIA75
IND81
10 Jul 2014
MIA74
IND84
30 May 2014
MIA117
IND92
26 May 2014
MIA102
IND90
24 May 2014
MIA99
IND87
11 Apr 2014
MIA98
IND86
18 Dec 2013
MIA97
IND94
03 Jun 2013
MIA99
IND76
30 May 2013
MIA90
IND79
24 May 2013
MIA93
IND97
22 May 2013
MIA103
IND102
10 Mar 2013
MIA105
IND91
22 May 2012
MIA115
IND83
15 May 2012
MIA75
IND78
13 May 2012
MIA95
IND86
10 Mar 2012
MIA93
IND91
04 Jan 2012
MIA118
IND83
08 Feb 2011
MIA117
IND112
22 Nov 2010
MIA77
IND93
19 Jan 2010
MIA113
IND83
27 Dec 2009
MIA114
IND80
22 Nov 2008
MIA109
IND100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-108
94
108
-14
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
92-93
92
93
-1
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
105-111
105
111
-6
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
106-82
106
82
+24
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
33-20
29-28
20-20
25-27
30-23
22-31
17-27
23-32
29-30
30-24
34-23
34-18
18-36
23-18
17-21
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
20-24
24-32
25-20
39-25
26-24
32-20
19-34
28-33
30-26
17-21
15-22
21-14
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
197.0Avg total
100.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)97.094.8191.8+2.259%
Season at home (25)99.095.7194.6+3.364%
Season away (16)94.093.4187.4+0.650%
Last 10 (10)100.696.4197.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)101.293.6194.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.095.0192.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)96.695.7192.2+0.950%
vs Weaker (11)97.292.3189.5+4.973%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-97
104
97
+7
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A20/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
92-106
92
106
-14
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-108
106
108
-2
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
102-88
102
88
+14
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
116-120
116
120
-4
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
25-28
30-17
32-17
23-18
26-29
23-30
32-20
16-21
27-23
23-26
18-26
21-23
27-27
22-29
22-27
27-30
22-34
33-20
24-24
21-21
22-23
23-24
36-20
21-27
31-13
22-28
19-19
21-21
19-29
22-16
29-25
24-33
28-26
25-30
39-31
24-20
17-22
23-17
30-23
196.5Avg total
99.8Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)102.598.5200.9+4.060%
Season at home (21)102.296.3198.5+5.971%
Season away (19)102.7100.8203.6+1.947%
Last 10 (10)99.896.7196.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)101.095.8196.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)107.5118.5226.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)101.796.2197.9+5.565%
vs Weaker (8)106.997.2204.1+9.675%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.9+4.9
Miami HeatIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
99.0Avg total
51.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.048.097.0+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)50.148.498.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (11)47.147.594.5-0.455%-
Last 10 (10)51.347.799.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.444.696.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.249.899.0-0.644%-
vs Weaker (11)48.544.993.4+3.573%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H03/01
NBA
94.9Avg total
46.2Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.249.9100.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.750.0100.7+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)49.749.799.5+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.248.794.9-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.092.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.064.5118.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)49.850.099.8-0.245%-
vs Weaker (8)50.446.096.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.530.0
52.2%
49.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.6
37.9%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
75.5%14.8
They take 80.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.529.3
49.2%
49.0%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.5
32.9%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
75.5%15.7
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWLWLW
Indiana Pacers
WLLWWLLLWW
#9
League position
#11
+4.5
Net rating
+3.1
108.8
Offensive rating
101.3
104.2
Defensive rating
98.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
32.9%
54.1%
Assist %
49.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 101.3Defence104.2 · 98.1Shooting53.5% · 49.3%3-point %37.9% · 32.9%Ball care12.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Indiana Pacers wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
30/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies90-99 OT
29/12/15HBrooklyn Nets105-111
27/12/15AOrlando Magic108-101
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT
23/12/15HDetroit Pistons92-93
20/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
19/12/15HToronto Raptors94-108
17/12/15ABrooklyn Nets104-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/16HDetroit Pistons94-82
31/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks116-120
31/12/15AChicago Bulls100-102 OT
29/12/15HAtlanta Hawks93-87
27/12/15AMinnesota Timberwolves102-88
24/12/15HSacramento Kings106-108
22/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs92-106
20/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies84-96
19/12/15HBrooklyn Nets104-97
17/12/15HDallas Mavericks107-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412516
Win %59%64%50%
Points / game97.099.094.0
Allowed / game94.895.793.4
Point differential+2.2+3.3+0.6
Avg total191.8194.6187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%28%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %7%4%12%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %60%71%47%
Points / game102.5102.2102.7
Allowed / game98.596.3100.8
Point differential+4.0+5.9+1.9
Avg total200.9198.5203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4034685%112.1102.6+9.5
2 San Antonio Spurs41311076%101.390.0+11.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder39281172%108.299.7+8.5
4 Cleveland Cavaliers39241562%99.495.8+3.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers41251661%102.8100.7+2.0
6 Toronto Raptors43261760%99.496.2+3.2
7 Indiana Pacers40241660%102.598.5+4.0
8 Chicago Bulls40241660%101.7100.8+0.8
9 Atlanta Hawks42251760%100.499.3+1.1
10 Charlotte Hornets41241759%101.398.0+3.3
11 Miami Heat41241759%97.094.8+2.2
12 Orlando Magic41241759%100.298.8+1.4
13 Boston Celtics38221658%102.498.2+4.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies41231856%94.996.4-1.5
15 Detroit Pistons42212150%101.299.0+2.2
16 New York Knicks40192148%97.899.2-1.4
17 Washington Wizards38182047%101.9104.0-2.0
18 Dallas Mavericks41192246%99.5101.0-1.5
19 Utah Jazz39182146%97.097.0+0.0
20 Sacramento Kings39182146%104.7106.2-1.4
21 Houston Rockets43192444%104.8106.6-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers43182542%101.9102.3-0.4
23 Milwaukee Bucks41162539%98.2103.3-5.1
24 Denver Nuggets42162638%99.5103.0-3.5
25 Phoenix Suns43162737%102.6105.3-2.7
26 New Orleans Pelicans40142635%102.0106.5-4.5
27 Minnesota Timberwolves42142833%98.9103.4-4.5
28 Brooklyn Nets38122632%97.3102.5-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers42103224%96.5105.4-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers4463814%93.3104.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat192522298103
Indiana Pacers291827215100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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