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Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Oct 2012
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 104-101
30-26 32-31 15-28 27-16
Position#1
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game101.0
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
15 Feb 2027
MIA v SAS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
MIA111
SAS136
08 Oct 2025
MIA107
SAS112
05 Jul 2025
MIA82
SAS69
19 Jan 2025
MIA128
SAS107
15 Oct 2024
MIA120
SAS117
07 Feb 2024
MIA116
SAS104
10 Dec 2022
MIA111
SAS115
26 Feb 2022
MIA133
SAS129
28 Apr 2021
MIA116
SAS111
15 Jan 2020
MIA106
SAS100
08 Oct 2019
MIA107
SAS89
07 Nov 2018
MIA95
SAS88
25 Oct 2017
MIA100
SAS117
08 Jul 2017
MIA75
SAS74
30 Oct 2016
MIA99
SAS106
09 Feb 2016
MIA101
SAS119
12 Oct 2015
MIA97
SAS94
31 Mar 2015
MIA81
SAS95
12 Jun 2014
MIA86
SAS107
10 Jun 2014
MIA92
SAS111
26 Jan 2014
MIA113
SAS101
19 Oct 2013
MIA121
SAS96
20 Jun 2013
MIA95
SAS88
18 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS100
09 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS84
06 Jun 2013
MIA88
SAS92
29 Nov 2012
MIA105
SAS100
20 Oct 2012
MIA104
SAS101
17 Jan 2012
MIA120
SAS98
14 Mar 2011
MIA110
SAS80
16 Mar 2010
MIA76
SAS88
11 Oct 2009
MIA93
SAS95
05 Jan 2009
MIA84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H10/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
100-96
100
96
+4
A15/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H18/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
121-106
121
106
+15
H22/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A07/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
105-78
105
78
+27
H18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
23-26
27-20
28-15
29-22
25-25
19-27
21-31
27-15
28-28
23-24
22-29
26-20
21-26
22-21
22-18
19-33
27-16
33-26
25-23
31-26
28-23
36-22
26-35
26-19
19-28
21-23
13-22
29-18
24-17
23-25
18-20
22-32
21-25
24-27
22-15
27-11
34-23
34-26
10-18
190.5Avg total
97.8Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.887.2179.0+4.550%
Season at home (2)97.088.5185.5+8.550%
Season away (2)86.586.0172.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)97.892.7190.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)97.691.0188.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)96.892.0188.8+4.869%
vs Weaker (17)92.988.2181.1+4.859%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
H28/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
120-111
120
111
+9
H30/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A01/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
103-109
103
109
-6
A03/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H05/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A07/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
101-99
101
99
+2
H11/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H13/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
116-107
116
107
+9
A14/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
25-26
23-28
28-24
24-18
22-29
16-24
39-27
28-22
27-22
37-32
28-35
24-22
17-32
19-24
22-24
26-26
17-29
28-20
32-34
21-26
23-26
28-29
31-27
34-20
29-28
18-32
18-27
28-27
27-26
16-20
30-26
22-19
23-26
21-24
25-28
27-16
25-28
30-27
34-36
205.5Avg total
101.8Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.7101.0203.7+1.767%
Season at home (2)96.098.0194.0-2.050%
Season away (1)116.0107.0223.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.8103.7205.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)102.0103.6205.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)101.9104.9206.8-3.038%
vs Weaker (22)106.894.2201.0+12.691%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
Miami HeatSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H10/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A15/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H22/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H14/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H18/10
NBA
96.9Avg total
50.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.045.292.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.244.692.9+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)45.545.991.4-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.946.096.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.496.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.245.994.1+2.254%-
vs Weaker (17)46.144.790.8+1.453%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H30/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A01/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A03/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A07/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H11/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/10
NBA
98.4Avg total
49.5Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.348.2101.5+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.144.997.0+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)54.651.9106.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)49.548.998.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)51.848.4100.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.648.697.2+0.038%-
vs Weaker (22)55.048.0103.0+6.977%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/12HDetroit Pistons105-78
14/10/12HLos Angeles Clippers89-99
11/10/12ALos Angeles Clippers94-80
07/10/12AAtlanta Hawks79-92
22/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder121-106
20/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder104-98
18/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder91-85
15/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder100-96
13/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder94-105
10/06/12HBoston Celtics101-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/12AHouston Rockets116-107
13/10/12HDenver Nuggets91-97
11/10/12HAtlanta Hawks101-99
07/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder99-107
05/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder103-108
03/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder103-109
01/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder82-102
30/05/12HOklahoma City Thunder120-111
28/05/12HOklahoma City Thunder101-98
21/05/12ALos Angeles Clippers102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.897.086.5
Allowed / game87.288.586.0
Point differential+4.5+8.5+0.5
Avg total179.0185.5172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game102.796.0116.0
Allowed / game101.098.0107.0
Point differential+1.7-2.0+9.0
Avg total203.7194.0223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers54180%106.694.6+12.0
2 Golden State Warriors54180%98.090.4+7.6
3 Toronto Raptors43175%98.091.2+6.8
4 Sacramento Kings43175%102.598.0+4.5
5 Denver Nuggets43175%96.897.5-0.8
6 San Antonio Spurs32167%102.7101.0+1.7
7 New York Knicks32167%98.0101.0-3.0
8 Utah Jazz53260%96.885.0+11.8
9 Chicago Bulls53260%88.486.2+2.2
10 Houston Rockets53260%104.4104.2+0.2
11 Brooklyn Nets53260%96.8102.0-5.2
12 New Orleans Pelicans53260%83.088.2-5.2
13 Dallas Mavericks21150%108.5102.0+6.5
14 Milwaukee Bucks42250%98.292.0+6.2
15 Miami Heat42250%91.887.2+4.5
16 Oklahoma City Thunder42250%103.299.8+3.5
17 Minnesota Timberwolves42250%84.583.2+1.2
18 Phoenix Suns42250%99.299.0+0.2
19 Memphis Grizzlies42250%99.299.2+0.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers42250%94.595.8-1.2
21 Indiana Pacers42250%91.096.2-5.2
22 Atlanta Hawks52340%97.692.0+5.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers52340%96.095.4+0.6
24 Detroit Pistons52340%91.496.0-4.6
25 Cleveland Cavaliers52340%94.8100.6-5.8
26 Boston Celtics41325%95.296.8-1.5
27 Charlotte Hornets41325%91.898.8-7.0
28 Orlando Magic51420%96.8101.8-5.0
29 Washington Wizards51420%95.4101.0-5.6
30 Los Angeles Lakers5050%84.4103.8-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30321527104
San Antonio Spurs26312816101
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