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Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-117
30-30 21-26 22-32 27-29
Position#16
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game105.2
vs
Position#14
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game96.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
15 Feb 2027
MIA v SAS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
MIA111
SAS136
08 Oct 2025
MIA107
SAS112
05 Jul 2025
MIA82
SAS69
19 Jan 2025
MIA128
SAS107
15 Oct 2024
MIA120
SAS117
07 Feb 2024
MIA116
SAS104
10 Dec 2022
MIA111
SAS115
26 Feb 2022
MIA133
SAS129
28 Apr 2021
MIA116
SAS111
15 Jan 2020
MIA106
SAS100
08 Oct 2019
MIA107
SAS89
07 Nov 2018
MIA95
SAS88
25 Oct 2017
MIA100
SAS117
08 Jul 2017
MIA75
SAS74
30 Oct 2016
MIA99
SAS106
09 Feb 2016
MIA101
SAS119
12 Oct 2015
MIA97
SAS94
31 Mar 2015
MIA81
SAS95
12 Jun 2014
MIA86
SAS107
10 Jun 2014
MIA92
SAS111
26 Jan 2014
MIA113
SAS101
19 Oct 2013
MIA121
SAS96
20 Jun 2013
MIA95
SAS88
18 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS100
09 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS84
06 Jun 2013
MIA88
SAS92
29 Nov 2012
MIA105
SAS100
20 Oct 2012
MIA104
SAS101
17 Jan 2012
MIA120
SAS98
14 Mar 2011
MIA110
SAS80
16 Mar 2010
MIA76
SAS88
11 Oct 2009
MIA93
SAS95
05 Jan 2009
MIA84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-107
88
107
-19
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
109-106
109
106
+3
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-115
117
115
+2
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
95-119
95
119
-24
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H23/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-18
21-22
30-27
19-25
20-17
35-24
22-24
23-33
22-26
25-24
18-24
22-28
32-21
21-19
15-25
36-29
18-33
31-27
24-17
19-30
31-23
33-34
34-28
29-34
25-35
21-28
20-22
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
26-31
37-19
28-26
21-32
26-23
36-21
15-29
27-20
206.0Avg total
101.5Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)102.2105.2207.4-3.056%
Season at home (5)107.6102.4210.0+5.2100%
Season away (4)95.5108.8204.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)101.5104.5206.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)107.4110.2217.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.098.5182.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)103.9103.8207.6+0.157%
vs Weaker (7)98.791.6190.3+7.186%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A03/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-93
113
93
+20
H07/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
122-100
122
100
+22
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
98-103
98
103
-5
H11/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A14/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H19/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A22/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
101-97
101
97
+4
H24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
15-20
15-25
31-16
24-22
16-25
25-18
22-29
26-32
27-26
31-25
16-23
15-24
36-24
28-22
34-23
35-32
31-22
17-28
39-18
29-30
27-25
29-22
13-26
25-24
29-27
27-25
25-21
32-25
21-24
34-28
20-22
19-21
22-17
24-17
22-22
21-23
29-27
25-24
26-23
195.4Avg total
100.7Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.296.5200.8+7.875%
Season at home (5)108.298.4206.6+9.880%
Season away (3)97.793.3191.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)100.794.7195.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)99.894.6194.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)102.3113.7216.0-11.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.695.4195.9+5.264%
vs Weaker (10)100.696.9197.5+3.760%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
Miami HeatSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H23/10
NBA
104.2Avg total
51.5Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.550.7101.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.051.0103.0+1.041%-
Last 30 away (13)48.650.298.8-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)51.552.7104.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)56.854.8111.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.552.1103.7-0.643%-
vs Weaker (7)49.946.496.3+3.443%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A03/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H11/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A14/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H19/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A22/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H24/10
NBA
99.4Avg total
50.4Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.150.0100.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.651.8103.4-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)48.648.296.8+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)50.449.099.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.848.699.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.556.5107.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.648.098.6+2.657%-
vs Weaker (10)49.148.998.0+0.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.6
53.0%
51.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.7
31.4%
36.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.014.7
66.8%
76.5%14.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.833.2
52.0%
51.0%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
36.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
76.5%15.9
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWLLWL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#14
-1.8
Net rating
+3.6
99.2
Offensive rating
105.4
101.0
Defensive rating
101.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
33.9%
55.2%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 105.4Defence101.0 · 101.8Shooting50.9% · 51.7%3-point %31.4% · 33.9%Ball care16.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds20.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/17HAtlanta Hawks104-93
22/10/17HIndiana Pacers112-108
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116
14/10/17APhiladelphia 76ers95-119
11/10/17HWashington Wizards117-115
09/10/17HCharlotte Hornets109-106
07/10/17AOrlando Magic90-93
05/10/17ABrooklyn Nets88-107
01/10/17HAtlanta Hawks96-90
15/07/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/17HToronto Raptors101-97
22/10/17AChicago Bulls87-77
19/10/17HMinnesota Timberwolves107-99
14/10/17AHouston Rockets106-97
11/10/17HOrlando Magic98-103
08/10/17HDenver Nuggets122-100
07/10/17HSacramento Kings113-93
03/10/17ASacramento Kings100-106
15/07/17APortland Trail Blazers87-94
13/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%100%0%
Points / game102.2107.695.5
Allowed / game105.2102.4108.8
Point differential-3.0+5.2-13.2
Avg total207.4210.0204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game104.2108.297.7
Allowed / game96.598.493.3
Point differential+7.8+9.8+4.3
Avg total200.8206.6191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington Wizards76186%110.7106.4+4.3
2 Portland Trail Blazers97278%112.698.4+14.1
3 Houston Rockets97278%105.3100.1+5.2
4 Memphis Grizzlies86275%104.194.5+9.6
5 Boston Celtics86275%104.596.4+8.1
6 San Antonio Spurs86275%104.296.5+7.8
7 Utah Jazz75271%102.998.1+4.7
8 Brooklyn Nets96367%117.7112.0+5.7
9 Toronto Raptors85362%111.1101.2+9.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers85362%108.1100.1+8.0
11 Orlando Magic106460%107.0103.0+4.0
12 Indiana Pacers74357%111.6108.4+3.1
13 Miami Heat95456%102.2105.2-3.0
14 Golden State Warriors84450%117.4111.4+6.0
15 Oklahoma City Thunder63350%100.096.0+4.0
16 Detroit Pistons105550%105.1102.5+2.6
17 Milwaukee Bucks84450%102.4105.9-3.5
18 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%106.4113.1-6.8
19 Charlotte Hornets94544%101.1100.2+0.9
20 Denver Nuggets94544%102.0103.9-1.9
21 Dallas Mavericks104640%100.9103.8-2.9
22 Cleveland Cavaliers104640%103.4106.5-3.1
23 Los Angeles Lakers93633%103.4108.7-5.2
24 Atlanta Hawks93633%98.2103.8-5.6
25 Chicago Bulls93633%99.3108.7-9.3
26 Philadelphia 76ers103730%104.1108.3-4.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82625%104.0112.2-8.2
28 Phoenix Suns82625%104.0119.8-15.8
29 Sacramento Kings102820%93.1101.2-8.1
30 New York Knicks8080%96.0111.1-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30212227100
San Antonio Spurs30263229117
← all games of the day
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