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Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-100
22-27 25-17 26-32 32-24
Position#1
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#2
Record16-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game96.2
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
15 Feb 2027
MIA v SAS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
MIA111
SAS136
08 Oct 2025
MIA107
SAS112
05 Jul 2025
MIA82
SAS69
19 Jan 2025
MIA128
SAS107
15 Oct 2024
MIA120
SAS117
07 Feb 2024
MIA116
SAS104
10 Dec 2022
MIA111
SAS115
26 Feb 2022
MIA133
SAS129
28 Apr 2021
MIA116
SAS111
15 Jan 2020
MIA106
SAS100
08 Oct 2019
MIA107
SAS89
07 Nov 2018
MIA95
SAS88
25 Oct 2017
MIA100
SAS117
08 Jul 2017
MIA75
SAS74
30 Oct 2016
MIA99
SAS106
09 Feb 2016
MIA101
SAS119
12 Oct 2015
MIA97
SAS94
31 Mar 2015
MIA81
SAS95
12 Jun 2014
MIA86
SAS107
10 Jun 2014
MIA92
SAS111
26 Jan 2014
MIA113
SAS101
19 Oct 2013
MIA121
SAS96
20 Jun 2013
MIA95
SAS88
18 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS100
09 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS84
06 Jun 2013
MIA88
SAS92
29 Nov 2012
MIA105
SAS100
20 Oct 2012
MIA104
SAS101
17 Jan 2012
MIA120
SAS98
14 Mar 2011
MIA110
SAS80
16 Mar 2010
MIA76
SAS88
11 Oct 2009
MIA93
SAS95
05 Jan 2009
MIA84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
124-99
124
99
+25
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
113-110
113
110
+3
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
113-106 OT
113
106
+7
H22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
110-108
110
108
+2
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
31-28
33-21
26-25
26-22
24-19
29-15
24-17
25-25
17-21
30-25
23-18
21-22
20-34
25-20
20-28
25-19
31-33
26-33
31-25
24-25
30-27
20-33
26-22
28-20
26-22
25-24
19-27
23-23
29-29
23-19
22-17
29-15
17-29
25-29
27-25
26-29
22-30
29-20
33-29
201.6Avg total
103.9Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)100.797.3198.0+3.467%
Season at home (11)106.498.5204.9+7.873%
Season away (10)94.495.9190.3-1.560%
Last 10 (10)103.997.7201.6+6.280%
Last 5 (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)98.899.5198.3-0.862%
vs Weaker (17)101.293.7194.9+7.571%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
100-104
100
104
-4
H16/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
126-100
126
100
+26
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H20/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
112-100
112
100
+12
A22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
A25/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
118-92
118
92
+26
A27/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
110-89
110
89
+21
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
17-26
30-27
39-30
18-24
20-19
22-16
24-23
31-33
26-22
19-17
24-32
33-15
27-25
30-28
36-32
28-18
14-29
21-24
24-21
30-27
26-21
26-26
30-26
28-25
20-27
25-25
31-20
24-25
25-24
20-21
19-18
29-25
31-23
32-22
26-22
29-18
26-23
26-23
29-25
203.5Avg total
106.4Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)102.396.2198.5+6.073%
Season at home (9)100.293.3193.6+6.967%
Season away (13)103.798.2201.9+5.577%
Last 10 (10)106.497.1203.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)111.096.8207.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)100.2100.3200.6-0.144%
vs Weaker (14)103.795.1198.9+8.693%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Miami HeatSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/11
NBA
100.5Avg total
50.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.749.0100.7+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.149.8102.8+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)50.148.198.2+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)50.849.7100.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.8100.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.050.3102.3+1.762%-
vs Weaker (17)51.448.099.4+3.459%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H16/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A25/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A29/11
NBA
98.3Avg total
50.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.247.997.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.446.296.7+4.258%-
Last 30 away (18)48.449.097.4-0.639%-
Last 10 (10)50.847.598.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.647.6101.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.148.197.2+1.044%-
vs Weaker (14)49.347.696.9+1.650%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/12HCleveland Cavaliers110-108
22/11/12HMilwaukee Bucks113-106 OT
18/11/12APhoenix Suns97-88
16/11/12ADenver Nuggets98-93
15/11/12ALos Angeles Clippers100-107
13/11/12AHouston Rockets113-110
11/11/12AMemphis Grizzlies86-104
10/11/12AAtlanta Hawks95-89
08/11/12HBrooklyn Nets103-73
06/11/12HPhoenix Suns124-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/12AOrlando Magic110-89
27/11/12AWashington Wizards118-92
25/11/12AToronto Raptors111-106 OT
24/11/12AIndiana Pacers104-97
22/11/12ABoston Celtics112-100
20/11/12HLos Angeles Clippers87-92
18/11/12HDenver Nuggets126-100
16/11/12HNew York Knicks100-104
14/11/12ALos Angeles Lakers84-82
11/11/12APortland Trail Blazers112-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game100.7106.494.4
Allowed / game97.398.595.9
Point differential+3.4+7.8-1.5
Avg total198.0204.9190.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %73%67%77%
Points / game102.3100.2103.7
Allowed / game96.293.398.2
Point differential+6.0+6.9+5.5
Avg total198.5193.6201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs2216673%102.396.2+6.0
2 Memphis Grizzlies2014670%99.794.2+5.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2316770%103.796.2+7.5
4 Philadelphia 76ers2215768%95.993.1+2.8
5 Miami Heat2114767%100.797.3+3.4
6 New York Knicks2013765%100.596.7+3.9
7 Brooklyn Nets2013765%95.893.8+2.0
8 Golden State Warriors2113862%97.196.0+1.2
9 Los Angeles Clippers2314961%98.094.4+3.6
10 Atlanta Hawks2012860%96.192.7+3.4
11 Utah Jazz24141058%98.995.3+3.6
12 Chicago Bulls2112957%93.190.6+2.6
13 Houston Rockets22121055%102.7101.2+1.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves20101050%91.289.5+1.8
15 Indiana Pacers22111150%90.691.5-0.9
16 Denver Nuggets22111150%97.598.5-1.0
17 Phoenix Suns23111248%98.0100.2-2.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks21101148%97.097.4-0.4
19 Boston Celtics21101148%97.298.5-1.3
20 Dallas Mavericks22101245%98.299.2-1.0
21 Sacramento Kings2191243%96.098.3-2.3
22 Portland Trail Blazers2291341%97.9100.2-2.4
23 Detroit Pistons2491538%93.596.0-2.4
24 Toronto Raptors2281436%97.899.5-1.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans2281436%90.495.8-5.5
26 Charlotte Hornets2281436%92.699.1-6.5
27 Orlando Magic2271532%93.799.1-5.4
28 Los Angeles Lakers2371630%94.597.4-2.9
29 Cleveland Cavaliers2151624%94.0100.3-6.3
30 Washington Wizards2141719%91.997.8-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat22252632105
San Antonio Spurs27173224100
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