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Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-74
12-20 24-25 23-18 16-11
Position#6
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Meetings · Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
15 Feb 2027
MIA v SAS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
MIA111
SAS136
08 Oct 2025
MIA107
SAS112
05 Jul 2025
MIA82
SAS69
19 Jan 2025
MIA128
SAS107
15 Oct 2024
MIA120
SAS117
07 Feb 2024
MIA116
SAS104
10 Dec 2022
MIA111
SAS115
26 Feb 2022
MIA133
SAS129
28 Apr 2021
MIA116
SAS111
15 Jan 2020
MIA106
SAS100
08 Oct 2019
MIA107
SAS89
07 Nov 2018
MIA95
SAS88
25 Oct 2017
MIA100
SAS117
08 Jul 2017
MIA75
SAS74
30 Oct 2016
MIA99
SAS106
09 Feb 2016
MIA101
SAS119
12 Oct 2015
MIA97
SAS94
31 Mar 2015
MIA81
SAS95
12 Jun 2014
MIA86
SAS107
10 Jun 2014
MIA92
SAS111
26 Jan 2014
MIA113
SAS101
19 Oct 2013
MIA121
SAS96
20 Jun 2013
MIA95
SAS88
18 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS100
09 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS84
06 Jun 2013
MIA88
SAS92
29 Nov 2012
MIA105
SAS100
20 Oct 2012
MIA104
SAS101
17 Jan 2012
MIA120
SAS98
14 Mar 2011
MIA110
SAS80
16 Mar 2010
MIA76
SAS88
11 Oct 2009
MIA93
SAS95
05 Jan 2009
MIA84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
105-88
105
88
+17
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
94-98
94
98
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
113-116
113
116
-3
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
209.4Avg total
106.3Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.3103.1209.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)109.2104.2213.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)108.3102.0210.3+6.371%
vs Weaker (9)105.3102.1207.4+3.244%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-125
104
125
-21
A08/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
H10/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
114-75
114
75
+39
A12/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
111-113
111
113
-2
A14/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
100-136
100
136
-36
A17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-120
108
120
-12
H21/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
115-129
115
129
-14
H23/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A04/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
31-23
23-34
28-34
32-29
26-31
28-25
15-16
31-24
30-18
26-22
27-11
30-16
32-26
28-39
21-32
16-33
28-39
31-34
25-30
33-29
22-35
33-36
20-20
19-31
32-34
27-31
37-33
19-26
18-19
18-23
19-19
23-18
20-16
25-15
13-21
21-23
18-16
31-29
16-26
205.9Avg total
100.3Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)100.3105.6205.9-5.330%
Last 5 (5)92.8100.0192.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0115.8216.8-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)101.296.8197.9+4.458%
vs Weaker (12)102.095.8197.8+6.267%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
Miami HeatSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
107.1Avg total
53.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.351.9107.2+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.952.3109.3+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)53.651.5105.1+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)53.453.7107.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.853.2105.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)55.751.7107.4+4.062%-
vs Weaker (9)54.252.4106.7+1.833%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A08/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H10/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A12/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A14/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-72
44
72
-28
A17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H21/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H23/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
102.3Avg total
50.3Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.650.6100.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.950.0100.9+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)47.851.399.2-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)50.352.0102.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.494.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.057.0108.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.749.3100.0+1.350%-
vs Weaker (12)47.848.696.4-0.833%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.129.2
50.3%
-58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
-17.6
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.533.9
50.2%
-67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
-23.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.3
73.9%
-17.3
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jul 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWLLWWL
San Antonio Spurs
LWLLLLLWWL
#6
League position
#10
+3.3
Net rating
-3.4
108.9
Offensive rating
107.7
105.6
Defensive rating
111.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
31.6%
52.7%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
San Antonio Spurs wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/17HPhiladelphia 76ers86-94
05/07/17HBoston Celtics81-70
04/07/17AUtah Jazz74-87
23/05/17HGolden State Warriors115-129
21/05/17HGolden State Warriors108-120
17/05/17AGolden State Warriors100-136
14/05/17AGolden State Warriors111-113
12/05/17AHouston Rockets114-75
10/05/17HHouston Rockets110-107 OT
08/05/17AHouston Rockets104-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
San Antonio Spurs
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers110100%82.053.0+29.0
2 Dallas Mavericks110100%91.075.0+16.0
3 Toronto Raptors220100%96.582.5+14.0
4 Portland Trail Blazers110100%72.063.0+9.0
5 Phoenix Suns110100%89.085.0+4.0
6 Brooklyn Nets110100%75.072.0+3.0
7 Houston Rockets110100%102.099.0+3.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers110100%96.093.0+3.0
9 Memphis Grizzlies110100%91.088.0+3.0
10 Atlanta Hawks1010%72.075.0-3.0
11 Denver Nuggets1010%99.0102.0-3.0
12 Los Angeles Lakers1010%93.096.0-3.0
13 New Orleans Pelicans1010%93.096.0-3.0
14 Washington Wizards1010%88.091.0-3.0
15 Sacramento Kings1010%85.089.0-4.0
16 Utah Jazz1010%63.072.0-9.0
17 Chicago Bulls1010%75.091.0-16.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves1010%72.097.0-25.0
19 Milwaukee Bucks1010%53.082.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1224231675
San Antonio Spurs2025181174
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