PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 120-98
26-35 23-28 39-12 32-23
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game98.6
vs
Position#1
Record10-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game95.6
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
15 Feb 2027
MIA v SAS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
MIA111
SAS136
08 Oct 2025
MIA107
SAS112
05 Jul 2025
MIA82
SAS69
19 Jan 2025
MIA128
SAS107
15 Oct 2024
MIA120
SAS117
07 Feb 2024
MIA116
SAS104
10 Dec 2022
MIA111
SAS115
26 Feb 2022
MIA133
SAS129
28 Apr 2021
MIA116
SAS111
15 Jan 2020
MIA106
SAS100
08 Oct 2019
MIA107
SAS89
07 Nov 2018
MIA95
SAS88
25 Oct 2017
MIA100
SAS117
08 Jul 2017
MIA75
SAS74
30 Oct 2016
MIA99
SAS106
09 Feb 2016
MIA101
SAS119
12 Oct 2015
MIA97
SAS94
31 Mar 2015
MIA81
SAS95
12 Jun 2014
MIA86
SAS107
10 Jun 2014
MIA92
SAS111
26 Jan 2014
MIA113
SAS101
19 Oct 2013
MIA121
SAS96
20 Jun 2013
MIA95
SAS88
18 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS100
09 Jun 2013
MIA103
SAS84
06 Jun 2013
MIA88
SAS92
29 Nov 2012
MIA105
SAS100
20 Oct 2012
MIA104
SAS101
17 Jan 2012
MIA120
SAS98
14 Mar 2011
MIA110
SAS80
16 Mar 2010
MIA76
SAS88
11 Oct 2009
MIA93
SAS95
05 Jan 2009
MIA84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
129-90
129
90
+39
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
118-83
118
83
+35
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
104-117
104
117
-13
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
25-28
24-10
27-25
31-20
20-33
31-22
21-26
33-15
32-22
27-27
37-26
23-19
27-28
21-20
21-33
29-27
33-12
26-27
30-17
22-19
32-30
14-21
25-23
31-18
26-17
21-29
23-26
22-27
35-26
27-19
12-24
24-21
24-22
21-27
17-16
21-30
32-25
28-31
23-31
204.5Avg total
105.4Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)106.698.6205.2+7.964%
Season at home (5)114.493.0207.4+21.480%
Season away (9)102.2101.8204.0+0.456%
Last 10 (10)105.499.1204.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)103.2104.4207.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)95.493.4188.8+2.060%
vs Weaker (10)106.297.2203.4+9.070%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H01/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
96-106
96
106
-10
A03/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H05/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
121-117
121
117
+4
H08/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
96-108
96
108
-12
A09/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A11/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
31-21
29-21
21-29
25-35
34-31
21-28
16-12
20-26
25-27
25-22
31-20
31-17
24-12
11-13
27-29
37-25
25-30
32-30
27-32
22-24
26-30
21-37
27-17
33-25
26-34
22-20
22-27
23-27
24-23
25-18
18-22
27-31
23-16
15-18
34-18
30-26
26-16
22-26
24-23
197.7Avg total
101.6Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)99.795.6195.3+4.167%
Season at home (10)102.890.8193.6+12.0100%
Season away (5)93.4105.2198.6-11.80%
Last 10 (10)101.696.1197.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)100.296.6196.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)98.2103.2201.4-4.925%
vs Weaker (18)101.594.2195.7+7.372%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Miami HeatSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
65-37
65
37
+28
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A14/01
NBA
101.3Avg total
54.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.346.697.9+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.044.996.9+7.162%-
Last 30 away (17)50.847.998.7+2.959%-
Last 10 (10)54.247.1101.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.847.0100.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)48.946.795.6+2.150%-
vs Weaker (10)56.346.4102.7+9.980%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H01/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A03/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H05/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H08/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A09/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H16/01
NBA
102.9Avg total
53.5Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.149.799.7+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.846.998.8+4.956%-
Last 30 away (12)47.453.8101.2-6.38%-
Last 10 (10)53.549.4102.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)52.050.4102.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)48.350.298.5-1.825%-
vs Weaker (18)51.249.3100.6+1.944%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
6
San Antonio Spurs wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/12ADenver Nuggets104-117
12/01/12ALos Angeles Clippers89-95 OT
11/01/12AGolden State Warriors106-111 OT
08/01/12ABrooklyn Nets101-90
06/01/12AAtlanta Hawks116-109 OT
05/01/12HIndiana Pacers118-83
03/01/12HAtlanta Hawks92-100
01/01/12HCharlotte Hornets129-90
31/12/11AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
29/12/11ACharlotte Hornets96-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/12HPhoenix Suns102-91
14/01/12HPortland Trail Blazers99-83
12/01/12HHouston Rockets101-95 OT
11/01/12AMilwaukee Bucks103-106
09/01/12AOklahoma City Thunder96-108
08/01/12HDenver Nuggets121-117
06/01/12HDallas Mavericks93-71
05/01/12HGolden State Warriors101-95
03/01/12AMinnesota Timberwolves96-106
01/01/12HUtah Jazz104-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %64%80%56%
Points / game106.6114.4102.2
Allowed / game98.693.0101.8
Point differential+7.9+21.4+0.4
Avg total205.2207.4204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %21%0%33%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game99.7102.893.4
Allowed / game95.690.8105.2
Point differential+4.1+12.0-11.8
Avg total195.3193.6198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1614288%99.694.1+5.5
2 Chicago Bulls1714382%93.685.1+8.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers1512380%100.985.9+15.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers129375%101.296.2+5.0
5 Orlando Magic1511473%97.995.1+2.8
6 Atlanta Hawks1611569%96.689.2+7.4
7 Denver Nuggets1510567%106.098.5+7.5
8 San Antonio Spurs1510567%99.795.6+4.1
9 Miami Heat149564%106.698.6+7.9
10 Indiana Pacers149564%92.189.6+2.4
11 Utah Jazz149564%94.195.4-1.2
12 Portland Trail Blazers159660%98.194.3+3.8
13 Los Angeles Lakers1710759%93.991.9+2.0
14 New York Knicks158753%93.493.5-0.1
15 Dallas Mavericks168850%91.989.5+2.4
16 Minnesota Timberwolves157847%95.592.7+2.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers157847%95.595.1+0.4
18 Houston Rockets157847%97.598.2-0.7
19 Memphis Grizzlies146843%92.494.0-1.6
20 Boston Celtics146843%88.189.9-1.7
21 Golden State Warriors156940%96.198.7-2.7
22 New Orleans Pelicans1551033%87.990.9-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings1651131%90.8101.4-10.6
24 Phoenix Suns1441029%94.498.6-4.3
25 Milwaukee Bucks1441029%91.496.1-4.8
26 Detroit Pistons1541127%85.894.0-8.2
27 Toronto Raptors1641225%84.590.2-5.7
28 Charlotte Hornets1741324%89.499.7-10.3
29 Brooklyn Nets1631319%90.399.4-9.1
30 Washington Wizards151147%86.298.6-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26233932120
San Antonio Spurs3528122398
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.