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Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#76
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#311
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Ball State
19 Dec 2026
MIAM v BALL
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
MIAM79
BALL66
17 Feb 2024
MIAM80
BALL59
19 Jan 2021
MIAM81
BALL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-22
31-42
26-30
43-37
40-35
34-37
54-48
46-52
39-37
44-50
43-34
46-45
32-51
24-27
35-41
51-36
36-31
44-42
43-45
43-33
159.0Avg total
80.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)86.077.5163.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.778.3159.0+2.480%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.077.5165.6+10.593%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-43
79
43
+36
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-32
42-37
36-40
29-38
21-34
40-27
36-29
43-14
25-22
36-39
42-26
43-43
22-37
33-30
37-32
29-37
45-26
44-38
17-51
48-39
140.2Avg total
70.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.872.5141.2-3.825%
Season at home (2)77.566.5144.0+11.050%
Season away (2)60.078.5138.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.969.3140.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.071.8143.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.777.7144.5-11.09%
vs Similar (13)66.371.2137.5-4.838%
vs Weaker (4)65.557.0122.5+8.575%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
Miami (Ohio)Ball State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A07/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/03
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
39.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.135.878.9+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.836.380.1+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)42.635.477.9+7.276%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.476.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)43.435.879.2+7.779%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A14/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.563.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.867.4+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)26.833.159.9-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.962.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.138.768.8-8.618%-
vs Similar (13)28.531.159.5-2.631%-
vs Weaker (4)33.227.861.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami (Ohio) wins
2
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AEvansville86-78
07/11/26HBellarmine80-73
03/11/26AJames Madison86-77
20/03/26ATennessee56-78
19/03/26ASMU Mustangs89-79
12/03/26HUMass83-87
07/03/26AOhio110-108 OT
04/03/26HToledo74-72
27/02/26AWestern Michigan69-67
24/02/26AEastern Michigan74-64
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASMU Mustangs65-90
10/11/26HBrescia89-64
07/11/26HIndiana State66-69
03/11/26AGeorgia Southern55-67
07/03/26HCentral Michigan85-69
04/03/26AWestern Michigan74-71 OT
28/02/26ANorthern Illinois79-43
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.080.086.0
Allowed / game76.073.077.5
Point differential+8.0+7.0+8.5
Avg total160.0153.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.877.560.0
Allowed / game72.566.578.5
Point differential-3.8+11.0-18.5
Avg total141.2144.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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