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Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 123-112
36-22 29-34 26-22 32-34
Position#5
Record56-34
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game112.6
vs
Position#10
Record53-39
FormWWLLW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game110.7
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Atlanta Hawks
30 Jan 2027
MIL v ATL
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
MIL v ATL
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
MIL113
ATL131
30 Mar 2025
MIL124
ATL145
14 Dec 2024
MIL110
ATL102
04 Dec 2024
MIL104
ATL119
02 Dec 2023
MIL132
ATL121
29 Oct 2023
MIL110
ATL127
14 Nov 2022
MIL106
ATL121
29 Oct 2022
MIL123
ATL115
09 Mar 2022
MIL124
ATL115
01 Jul 2021
MIL123
ATL112
25 Jun 2021
MIL125
ATL91
23 Jun 2021
MIL113
ATL116
24 Jan 2021
MIL129
ATL115
12 Apr 2020
MIL v ATL
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
MIL111
ATL102
07 Apr 2019
MIL115
ATL107
04 Jan 2019
MIL144
ATL112
17 Mar 2018
MIL122
ATL117
13 Feb 2018
MIL97
ATL92
24 Mar 2017
MIL100
ATL97
09 Dec 2016
MIL110
ATL114
15 Jan 2016
MIL108
ATL101
22 Feb 2015
MIL86
ATL97
27 Dec 2014
MIL85
ATL90
16 Apr 2014
MIL103
ATL111
25 Jan 2014
MIL87
ATL112
24 Mar 2013
MIL99
ATL104
23 Feb 2013
MIL102
ATL103
27 Mar 2012
MIL108
ATL101
23 Jan 2012
MIL92
ATL97
26 Jan 2011
MIL98
ATL90
27 Dec 2010
MIL80
ATL95
30 Apr 2010
MIL69
ATL83
26 Apr 2010
MIL111
ATL104
24 Apr 2010
MIL107
ATL89
12 Apr 2010
MIL96
ATL104
22 Mar 2010
MIL98
ATL95
08 Apr 2009
MIL105
ATL113
31 Jan 2009
MIL110
ATL107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
86-125
86
125
-39
no box
A07/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
70avg 110
H10/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
107-96
107
96
+11
98avg 110
H13/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
108-114
108
114
-6
no box
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
no box
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
101avg 110
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
125-91
125
91
+34
119avg 110
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
110avg 110
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-110
88
110
-22
75avg 110
A30/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
22-29
24-30
21-30
30-11
15-31
22-23
19-18
23-26
30-22
28-21
26-27
29-15
30-28
28-38
21-33
26-19
33-29
19-19
26-22
25-28
22-25
35-28
27-28
28-25
31-29
26-34
28-28
34-28
43-17
26-18
22-28
27-32
29-24
27-29
30-17
22-25
16-26
24-36
26-23
208.2Avg total
104.5Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)117.8112.6230.4+5.262%
Season at home (45)118.6110.9229.5+7.771%
Season away (45)117.0114.3231.3+2.653%
Last 10 (10)104.5103.7208.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)110.8106.0216.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.6106.6216.2+2.962%
vs Weaker (14)123.1115.1238.1+8.079%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
102-118
102
118
-16
94avg 105
A08/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
111-127
111
127
-16
96avg 105
H11/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
103-100
103
100
+3
87avg 105
H14/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
109-106
109
106
+3
no box
A16/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
82avg 105
H18/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
103-96
103
96
+7
95avg 105
A21/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
116-113
116
113
+3
106avg 105
A24/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
91-125
91
125
-34
72avg 105
A26/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
88avg 105
H28/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
110-88
110
88
+22
107avg 105
H30/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
35-24
29-34
18-27
20-28
36-33
19-34
36-32
20-28
29-34
31-20
23-18
24-38
16-24
29-25
40-19
29-22
22-25
25-33
23-24
25-28
23-18
28-25
27-25
25-28
29-31
34-26
28-28
28-34
17-43
18-26
28-22
32-27
24-29
29-27
17-30
25-22
26-16
36-24
23-26
213.6Avg total
104.6Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)112.3110.7223.0+1.658%
Season at home (45)113.9108.3222.2+5.667%
Season away (47)110.7113.0223.8-2.349%
Last 10 (10)104.6109.0213.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)104.4107.0211.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7114.2218.9-9.644%
vs Similar ◀ (18)112.9108.6221.5+4.372%
vs Weaker (3)108.796.0204.7+12.767%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A07/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H10/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H13/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A16/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A30/06
NBA
103.9Avg total
53.4Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.254.1113.3+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.952.5115.4+10.393%-
Last 30 away (15)55.555.7111.3-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)53.450.5103.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.451.8107.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.351.8108.1+4.669%-
vs Weaker (14)62.556.9119.4+5.671%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A08/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H11/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H14/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A16/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/06
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A21/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A24/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
45-77
45
77
-32
A26/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H28/06
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/06
NBA
107.0Avg total
50.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.056.6111.6-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.454.7112.1+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)52.458.7111.1-6.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.556.5107.0-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)50.855.2106.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.957.9108.8-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.457.0113.4-0.656%-
vs Weaker (3)59.050.0109.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.330.8
55.7%
52.8%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.59.8
28.4%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.3
67.6%
77.7%12.3
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.028.9
52.5%
52.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.0
31.2%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
77.7%16.6
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jul 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWLWWL
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#10
-0.6
Net rating
-4.7
104.4
Offensive rating
105.7
105.0
Defensive rating
110.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.9%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.4%
3-point %
31.2%
51.2%
Assist %
49.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.7Defence105.0 · 110.3Shooting50.7% · 50.5%3-point %28.4% · 31.2%Ball care12.9% · 11.9%Off. rebounds24.2% · 21.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/21AAtlanta Hawks88-110
28/06/21AAtlanta Hawks113-102
26/06/21HAtlanta Hawks125-91
24/06/21HAtlanta Hawks113-116
20/06/21ABrooklyn Nets115-111 OT
18/06/21HBrooklyn Nets104-89
16/06/21ABrooklyn Nets108-114
13/06/21HBrooklyn Nets107-96
10/06/21HBrooklyn Nets86-83
07/06/21ABrooklyn Nets86-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/21HMilwaukee Bucks110-88
28/06/21HMilwaukee Bucks102-113
26/06/21AMilwaukee Bucks91-125
24/06/21AMilwaukee Bucks116-113
21/06/21APhiladelphia 76ers103-96
18/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers99-104
16/06/21APhiladelphia 76ers109-106
14/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers103-100
11/06/21HPhiladelphia 76ers111-127
08/06/21APhiladelphia 76ers102-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904545
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game117.8118.6117.0
Allowed / game112.6110.9114.3
Point differential+5.2+7.7+2.6
Avg total230.4229.5231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)80% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLWWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924547
Win %58%67%49%
Points / game112.3113.9110.7
Allowed / game110.7108.3113.0
Point differential+1.6+5.6-2.3
Avg total223.0222.2223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)38% (8)73% (15)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz86612571%116.5108.3+8.3
2 Phoenix Suns92632968%113.7108.3+5.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%113.9108.0+5.9
4 Brooklyn Nets86572966%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets85533262%115.2110.9+4.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks90563462%117.8112.6+5.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers94573761%113.0108.0+5.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Atlanta Hawks92533958%112.3110.7+1.6
10 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks36292632123
Atlanta Hawks22342234112
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