PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#30
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game120.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Atlanta Hawks
30 Jan 2027
MIL v ATL
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
MIL v ATL
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
MIL113
ATL131
30 Mar 2025
MIL124
ATL145
14 Dec 2024
MIL110
ATL102
04 Dec 2024
MIL104
ATL119
02 Dec 2023
MIL132
ATL121
29 Oct 2023
MIL110
ATL127
14 Nov 2022
MIL106
ATL121
29 Oct 2022
MIL123
ATL115
09 Mar 2022
MIL124
ATL115
01 Jul 2021
MIL123
ATL112
25 Jun 2021
MIL125
ATL91
23 Jun 2021
MIL113
ATL116
24 Jan 2021
MIL129
ATL115
12 Apr 2020
MIL v ATL
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
MIL111
ATL102
07 Apr 2019
MIL115
ATL107
04 Jan 2019
MIL144
ATL112
17 Mar 2018
MIL122
ATL117
13 Feb 2018
MIL97
ATL92
24 Mar 2017
MIL100
ATL97
09 Dec 2016
MIL110
ATL114
15 Jan 2016
MIL108
ATL101
22 Feb 2015
MIL86
ATL97
27 Dec 2014
MIL85
ATL90
16 Apr 2014
MIL103
ATL111
25 Jan 2014
MIL87
ATL112
24 Mar 2013
MIL99
ATL104
23 Feb 2013
MIL102
ATL103
27 Mar 2012
MIL108
ATL101
23 Jan 2012
MIL92
ATL97
26 Jan 2011
MIL98
ATL90
27 Dec 2010
MIL80
ATL95
30 Apr 2010
MIL69
ATL83
26 Apr 2010
MIL111
ATL104
24 Apr 2010
MIL107
ATL89
12 Apr 2010
MIL96
ATL104
22 Mar 2010
MIL98
ATL95
08 Apr 2009
MIL105
ATL113
31 Jan 2009
MIL110
ATL107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 98
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 98
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 98
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
94avg 98
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
79avg 98
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
85-117
85
117
-32
62avg 98
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 98
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
99-107
99
107
-8
79avg 98
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
18-29
29-19
29-32
24-32
14-28
27-34
38-25
23-22
29-24
31-27
27-38
20-32
27-25
18-33
29-33
23-26
21-26
13-32
38-27
13-32
28-30
22-31
23-33
39-29
15-23
22-29
35-32
27-23
219.9Avg total
102.3Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.2120.2226.4-14.18%
Season at home (7)108.9123.3232.1-14.414%
Season away (6)103.0116.7219.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)102.3117.6219.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)100.0117.0217.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)104.9122.1227.0-17.39%
vs Similar (7)117.7114.4232.1+3.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 108
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 108
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 108
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 108
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 108
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 108
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
117-125 OT
117
125
-8
103avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
24-33
29-27
30-24
27-26
235.4Avg total
116.2Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2116.8235.0+1.354%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (7)116.3111.6227.9+4.757%
Last 10 (10)116.2119.2235.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)122.8121.4244.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar (7)118.0116.0234.0+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)126.9113.7240.6+13.280%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A14/11
NBA
102.5Avg total
44.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.259.7111.0-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.860.2114.0-6.440%-
Last 30 away (15)48.759.3107.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)44.558.0102.5-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)45.256.0101.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.360.5109.8-11.322%-
vs Similar (7)57.757.1114.9+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A14/11
NBA
120.7Avg total
59.4Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.758.5118.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.158.2114.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)62.858.7121.4+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)59.461.3120.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.063.6125.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (7)61.657.3118.9+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.957.3122.2+7.670%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.4
37.8%
35.1%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
77.3%14.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.430.3
55.7%
54.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.213.1
31.8%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
77.3%16.0
They take 95.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLLLLLW
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWWLWLL
#30
League position
#13
-6.8
Net rating
-8.0
105.9
Offensive rating
109.5
112.7
Defensive rating
117.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
15.2%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.8%
3-point %
31.8%
66.1%
Assist %
69.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 109.5Defence112.7 · 117.6Shooting56.4% · 52.2%3-point %37.8% · 31.8%Ball care15.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds15.2% · 26.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOrlando Magic99-107
12/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-123
11/11/26ANew York Knicks85-117
09/11/26HBoston Celtics97-117
07/11/26HToronto Raptors107-121
05/11/26ABoston Celtics102-109
03/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-112
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChicago Bulls117-125 OT
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.2108.9103.0
Allowed / game120.2123.3116.7
Point differential-14.1-14.4-13.7
Avg total226.4232.1219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game118.2120.3116.3
Allowed / game116.8123.0111.6
Point differential+1.3-2.7+4.7
Avg total235.0243.3227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.