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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 109-120
29-33 23-31 30-30 27-26
Position#10
Record32-27
FormWLWWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#5
Record34-23
FormLLLWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game113.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
102-126
102
126
-24
90avg 106
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
110-117
110
117
-7
104avg 106
A31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
134-129 OT
134
129
+5
130avg 106
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
126-103
126
103
+23
121avg 106
A03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
117-111
117
111
+6
108avg 106
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
123-107
123
107
+16
114avg 106
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
113-131
113
131
-18
99avg 106
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
120-108
120
108
+12
116avg 106
H10/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
105-101
105
101
+4
99avg 106
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
108-103
108
103
+5
97avg 106
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
20-34
24-32
23-29
27-30
25-34
33-25
25-28
32-22
22-26
30-32
26-30
28-34
27-20
39-25
32-24
24-24
33-35
22-23
38-29
25-29
36-32
46-29
16-17
34-29
30-38
23-43
26-21
25-33
28-33
33-18
34-24
33-20
19-25
23-32
30-24
28-27
38-27
24-24
18-25
229.4Avg total
115.8Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)113.2111.5224.8+1.754%
Season at home (26)113.6110.3223.9+3.358%
Season away (33)113.0112.5225.5+0.552%
Last 10 (10)115.8113.6229.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)113.8110.0223.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.1112.5226.7+1.664%
vs Weaker (8)112.4105.0217.4+7.462%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-129
105
129
-24
91avg 111
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-109
127
109
+18
125avg 111
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
129-128
129
128
+1
no box
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
121-122
121
122
-1
115avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
101-116
101
116
-15
82avg 111
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
119-127
119
127
-8
106avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
124-87
124
87
+37
123avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
130-105
130
105
+25
122avg 111
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
29-25
23-24
19-21
38-26
17-31
31-39
19-33
24-30
33-19
32-26
23-22
34-21
26-32
37-20
30-36
31-28
30-29
38-34
30-37
26-28
24-25
38-30
33-39
31-29
25-26
28-25
17-36
27-32
28-34
26-34
38-27
32-19
25-19
28-29
39-20
24-19
37-25
45-35
24-26
228.6Avg total
116.4Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)118.7113.2231.9+5.460%
Season at home (28)118.2112.0230.2+6.364%
Season away (29)119.1114.4233.5+4.655%
Last 10 (10)116.4112.2228.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)119.0111.4230.4+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)109.8113.2223.0-3.440%
vs Weaker (20)121.3114.1235.4+7.270%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H10/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A13/04
NBA
115.2Avg total
56.9Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.355.9113.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (10)60.055.8115.8+4.250%-
Last 30 away (20)56.055.9111.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)56.958.3115.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)59.258.6117.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.556.4114.0+1.150%-
vs Weaker (8)56.654.4111.0+2.250%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A14/04
NBA
109.5Avg total
56.6Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.755.6114.2+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.957.7118.6+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)56.453.5109.9+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.9109.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.851.2107.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)54.755.4110.1-0.750%-
vs Weaker (20)60.655.6116.3+5.065%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.5
52.3%
52.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.613.0
42.5%
36.6%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
76.7%
77.7%17.8
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.2
52.0%
52.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.514.0
40.6%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.8
81.9%
77.7%15.8
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWLWWWWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#5
+2.2
Net rating
+3.8
114.5
Offensive rating
111.7
112.3
Defensive rating
107.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
11.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
42.5%
3-point %
40.6%
57.2%
Assist %
54.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.7Defence112.3 · 107.9Shooting56.3% · 55.4%3-point %42.5% · 40.6%Ball care11.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds18.0% · 22.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Atlanta Hawks wins
9
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/21AToronto Raptors108-103
11/04/21ACharlotte Hornets105-101
10/04/21HChicago Bulls120-108
08/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies113-131
06/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans123-107
04/04/21HGolden State Warriors117-111
03/04/21ANew Orleans Pelicans126-103
02/04/21ASan Antonio Spurs134-129 OT
31/03/21APhoenix Suns110-117
29/03/21ADenver Nuggets102-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves130-105
11/04/21AOrlando Magic124-87
10/04/21HCharlotte Hornets119-127
09/04/21ADallas Mavericks101-116
07/04/21AGolden State Warriors121-122
04/04/21ASacramento Kings129-128
03/04/21APortland Trail Blazers127-109
01/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-97
30/03/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-129
28/03/21HNew York Knicks96-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayLWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592633
Win %54%58%52%
Points / game113.2113.6113.0
Allowed / game111.5110.3112.5
Point differential+1.7+3.3+0.5
Avg total224.8223.9225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)0% (4)64% (11)
Overtime %5%8%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %60%64%55%
Points / game118.7118.2119.1
Allowed / game113.2112.0114.4
Point differential+5.4+6.3+4.6
Avg total231.9230.2233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)100% (4)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz58441476%117.1107.2+9.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers57401770%113.8108.3+5.5
3 Brooklyn Nets57391868%118.7113.8+4.9
4 Phoenix Suns58391967%114.1108.1+6.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers60392165%114.2108.5+5.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers59382164%109.9105.4+4.5
7 Denver Nuggets58372164%115.3109.5+5.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks57342360%118.7113.2+5.4
9 Dallas Mavericks57322556%111.9109.9+2.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers58322655%114.1115.2-1.1
11 Atlanta Hawks59322754%113.2111.5+1.7
12 New York Knicks60322853%105.2103.3+2.0
13 Memphis Grizzlies57302753%113.3111.3+1.9
14 Boston Celtics57292851%111.8110.4+1.3
15 Miami Heat57292851%106.2107.5-1.4
16 Golden State Warriors58292950%112.8113.4-0.7
17 Charlotte Hornets58283048%110.3111.5-1.2
18 New Orleans Pelicans57273047%114.7114.5+0.2
19 San Antonio Spurs56263046%110.4112.4-2.0
20 Indiana Pacers57263146%113.4114.0-0.6
21 Chicago Bulls58253343%112.0113.0-1.0
22 Toronto Raptors59243541%111.8111.4+0.4
23 Sacramento Kings59243541%113.9118.5-4.5
24 Washington Wizards57223539%113.0117.9-4.9
25 Cleveland Cavaliers58223638%103.7110.7-7.1
26 Oklahoma City Thunder58213736%105.5114.2-8.7
27 Orlando Magic59203934%105.0112.3-7.3
28 Detroit Pistons59184131%106.7110.0-3.3
29 Houston Rockets59174229%108.6114.0-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves59154425%110.3118.2-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks29233027109
Milwaukee Bucks33313026120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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