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Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 144-112
43-14 33-29 42-36 26-33
Position#1
Record26-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#26
Record11-26
FormLWWLL
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game117.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Atlanta Hawks
30 Jan 2027
MIL v ATL
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
MIL v ATL
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
MIL113
ATL131
30 Mar 2025
MIL124
ATL145
14 Dec 2024
MIL110
ATL102
04 Dec 2024
MIL104
ATL119
02 Dec 2023
MIL132
ATL121
29 Oct 2023
MIL110
ATL127
14 Nov 2022
MIL106
ATL121
29 Oct 2022
MIL123
ATL115
09 Mar 2022
MIL124
ATL115
01 Jul 2021
MIL123
ATL112
25 Jun 2021
MIL125
ATL91
23 Jun 2021
MIL113
ATL116
24 Jan 2021
MIL129
ATL115
12 Apr 2020
MIL v ATL
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
MIL111
ATL102
07 Apr 2019
MIL115
ATL107
04 Jan 2019
MIL144
ATL112
17 Mar 2018
MIL122
ATL117
13 Feb 2018
MIL97
ATL92
24 Mar 2017
MIL100
ATL97
09 Dec 2016
MIL110
ATL114
15 Jan 2016
MIL108
ATL101
22 Feb 2015
MIL86
ATL97
27 Dec 2014
MIL85
ATL90
16 Apr 2014
MIL103
ATL111
25 Jan 2014
MIL87
ATL112
24 Mar 2013
MIL99
ATL104
23 Feb 2013
MIL102
ATL103
27 Mar 2012
MIL108
ATL101
23 Jan 2012
MIL92
ATL97
26 Jan 2011
MIL98
ATL90
27 Dec 2010
MIL80
ATL95
30 Apr 2010
MIL69
ATL83
26 Apr 2010
MIL111
ATL104
24 Apr 2010
MIL107
ATL89
12 Apr 2010
MIL96
ATL104
22 Mar 2010
MIL98
ATL95
08 Apr 2009
MIL105
ATL113
31 Jan 2009
MIL110
ATL107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
97-113
97
113
-16
83avg 104
A13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 104
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 104
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
123-115
123
115
+8
120avg 104
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
120-107
120
107
+13
124avg 104
A22/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 104
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
109-95
109
95
+14
99avg 104
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 104
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
129-115
129
115
+14
120avg 104
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-98
121
98
+23
122avg 104
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
20-29
27-27
27-28
27-16
34-31
30-30
23-25
25-27
30-16
26-34
26-27
33-31
29-35
28-24
33-25
35-22
30-26
28-30
27-29
8-21
30-16
20-35
29-22
22-24
26-22
36-22
25-27
24-28
29-20
34-29
25-19
29-23
42-29
35-34
23-29
35-27
33-25
24-21
29-25
215.8Avg total
111.9Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)117.0107.6224.6+9.372%
Season at home (20)119.8106.0225.8+13.885%
Season away (16)113.4109.7223.1+3.756%
Last 10 (10)111.9103.9215.8+8.080%
Last 5 (5)111.699.6211.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)114.2106.0220.2+8.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)116.8108.9225.7+8.065%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
108-129
108
129
-21
98avg 97
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
127-144
127
144
-17
127avg 97
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
118-110
118
110
+8
115avg 97
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 97
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
98-95
98
95
+3
90avg 97
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
121-129
121
129
-8
119avg 97
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
123-120 OT
123
120
+3
120avg 97
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
111-108
111
108
+3
100avg 97
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
108-116
108
116
-8
99avg 97
A31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
98-114
98
114
-16
89avg 97
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-42
37-25
26-41
26-21
23-42
43-30
30-39
31-33
35-24
23-30
24-28
36-28
28-39
32-30
27-20
27-18
28-21
29-22
22-23
19-29
31-32
36-32
21-31
33-34
42-27
29-32
18-30
23-23
23-26
34-25
27-23
27-34
25-33
35-30
21-34
27-19
29-35
24-29
31-24
14-26
229.8Avg total
112.6Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)109.1117.8226.9-8.730%
Season at home (16)111.3118.3229.6-7.038%
Season away (21)107.5117.4224.9-10.024%
Last 10 (10)112.6117.2229.8-4.650%
Last 5 (5)112.2117.4229.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)108.9119.1228.0-10.225%
vs Similar (6)110.8113.7224.5-2.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A22/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H02/01
NBA
106.1Avg total
56.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.653.8111.3+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.654.7114.2+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)55.352.7108.0+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)56.449.7106.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)55.647.0102.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)57.052.5109.5+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)57.754.0111.6+3.762%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/01
NBA
121.1Avg total
60.5Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.759.9116.6-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.561.7118.2-5.243%-
Last 30 away (16)56.958.3115.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)60.560.6121.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)61.660.2121.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)57.059.8116.8-2.846%-
vs Similar (6)55.360.3115.7-5.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.129.5
57.7%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.711.8
32.2%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.517.5
74.5%
76.6%17.5
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.729.1
49.6%
51.7%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.4
38.5%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.2
71.7%
76.6%17.2
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWWWL
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWLWWWLL
#1
League position
#26
+7.8
Net rating
-4.4
109.1
Offensive rating
107.5
101.3
Defensive rating
111.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
38.5%
61.3%
Assist %
68.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 107.5Defence101.3 · 111.9Shooting53.8% · 52.5%3-point %32.2% · 38.5%Ball care12.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds18.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/19HDetroit Pistons121-98
29/12/18HBrooklyn Nets129-115
28/12/18HNew York Knicks112-96
25/12/18ANew York Knicks109-95
23/12/18AMiami Heat87-94
22/12/18ABoston Celtics120-107
20/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans123-115
18/12/18ADetroit Pistons107-104
15/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers114-102
13/12/18AIndiana Pacers97-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19AWashington Wizards98-114
31/12/18AIndiana Pacers108-116
30/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers111-108
29/12/18AMinnesota Timberwolves123-120 OT
27/12/18HIndiana Pacers121-129
23/12/18ADetroit Pistons98-95
22/12/18ANew York Knicks114-107
19/12/18HWashington Wizards118-110
16/12/18ABrooklyn Nets127-144
15/12/18ABoston Celtics108-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %72%85%56%
Points / game117.0119.8113.4
Allowed / game107.6106.0109.7
Point differential+9.3+13.8+3.7
Avg total224.6225.8223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%65%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWWWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371621
Win %30%38%24%
Points / game109.1111.3107.5
Allowed / game117.8118.3117.4
Point differential-8.7-7.0-10.0
Avg total226.9229.6224.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks36261072%117.0107.6+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors40281270%113.0107.9+5.0
3 Denver Nuggets36251169%110.2105.1+5.2
4 Indiana Pacers38261268%107.8101.4+6.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder37241365%111.9105.4+6.5
6 Golden State Warriors39251464%116.3111.9+4.4
7 Philadelphia 76ers39251464%114.6112.5+2.1
8 Boston Celtics38231561%111.8105.6+6.2
9 Houston Rockets37221559%110.5109.0+1.5
10 Portland Trail Blazers38221658%111.3110.4+0.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers37211657%115.8114.8+0.9
12 San Antonio Spurs39221756%111.8109.2+2.7
13 Los Angeles Lakers38211755%113.0111.3+1.7
14 Miami Heat37191851%107.2105.8+1.4
15 Sacramento Kings38191950%115.0116.7-1.7
16 Utah Jazz39192049%107.9105.7+2.3
17 Charlotte Hornets37181949%112.9111.4+1.6
18 Brooklyn Nets40192148%111.0111.7-0.8
19 Dallas Mavericks38182047%110.4109.8+0.6
20 Memphis Grizzlies38182047%101.5102.4-0.9
21 Detroit Pistons36171947%107.2109.4-2.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves39182146%111.5111.4+0.0
23 Orlando Magic38172145%103.6107.2-3.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans39172244%116.3115.5+0.7
25 Washington Wizards39152438%112.6116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks37112630%109.1117.8-8.7
27 Chicago Bulls39102926%100.4109.6-9.3
28 New York Knicks3892924%107.6115.9-8.3
29 Phoenix Suns3993023%106.0114.8-8.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3983121%101.7111.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks43334226144
Atlanta Hawks14293633112
← all games of the day
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