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Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 124-145
44-37 31-45 17-36 32-27
Position#13
Record38-33
FormWWLLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#18
Record34-37
FormWWWLL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game119.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Atlanta Hawks
30 Jan 2027
MIL v ATL
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
MIL v ATL
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
MIL113
ATL131
30 Mar 2025
MIL124
ATL145
14 Dec 2024
MIL110
ATL102
04 Dec 2024
MIL104
ATL119
02 Dec 2023
MIL132
ATL121
29 Oct 2023
MIL110
ATL127
14 Nov 2022
MIL106
ATL121
29 Oct 2022
MIL123
ATL115
09 Mar 2022
MIL124
ATL115
01 Jul 2021
MIL123
ATL112
25 Jun 2021
MIL125
ATL91
23 Jun 2021
MIL113
ATL116
24 Jan 2021
MIL129
ATL115
12 Apr 2020
MIL v ATL
upcoming
27 Nov 2019
MIL111
ATL102
07 Apr 2019
MIL115
ATL107
04 Jan 2019
MIL144
ATL112
17 Mar 2018
MIL122
ATL117
13 Feb 2018
MIL97
ATL92
24 Mar 2017
MIL100
ATL97
09 Dec 2016
MIL110
ATL114
15 Jan 2016
MIL108
ATL101
22 Feb 2015
MIL86
ATL97
27 Dec 2014
MIL85
ATL90
16 Apr 2014
MIL103
ATL111
25 Jan 2014
MIL87
ATL112
24 Mar 2013
MIL99
ATL104
23 Feb 2013
MIL102
ATL103
27 Mar 2012
MIL108
ATL101
23 Jan 2012
MIL92
ATL97
26 Jan 2011
MIL98
ATL90
27 Dec 2010
MIL80
ATL95
30 Apr 2010
MIL69
ATL83
26 Apr 2010
MIL111
ATL104
24 Apr 2010
MIL107
ATL89
12 Apr 2010
MIL96
ATL104
22 Mar 2010
MIL98
ATL95
08 Apr 2009
MIL105
ATL113
31 Jan 2009
MIL110
ATL107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-115
114
115
-1
115avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
126-106
126
106
+20
125avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
126-119
126
119
+7
130avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-121
105
121
-16
89avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-104
93
104
-11
77avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-89
118
89
+29
110avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
114-108
114
108
+6
106avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
106-108
106
108
-2
94avg 106
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
117-127
117
127
-10
112avg 106
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
101avg 106
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
27-25
33-31
26-27
33-29
38-34
31-19
24-24
38-30
27-30
35-22
26-37
26-24
15-29
33-39
31-29
27-32
17-26
32-20
17-26
34-19
23-27
34-23
27-20
17-25
32-36
37-28
28-19
30-25
28-29
20-27
28-27
27-38
37-29
28-33
25-27
19-25
30-35
24-21
34-35
223.9Avg total
112.6Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)114.4112.5226.9+1.954%
Season at home (35)117.4111.7229.1+5.663%
Season away (36)111.5113.3224.8-1.844%
Last 10 (10)112.6111.3223.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)112.4109.6222.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.3119.3219.7-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.8112.4228.2+3.455%
vs Weaker (7)116.0116.7232.7-0.757%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-118
120
118
+2
110avg 110
H09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
132-123
132
123
+9
131avg 110
H10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-110
123
110
+13
114avg 110
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
98-121
98
121
-23
90avg 110
H14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
114-122
114
122
-8
103avg 110
A16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
134-102
134
102
+32
130avg 110
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
124-115
124
115
+9
130avg 110
H22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
132-119
132
119
+13
133avg 110
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
102avg 110
A26/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
112-122
112
122
-10
107avg 110
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-19
30-33
26-36
25-30
33-31
33-26
31-23
35-43
30-29
22-20
37-29
34-32
26-24
35-29
8-35
29-33
27-33
35-23
30-35
22-31
32-25
38-32
36-23
28-22
40-23
29-34
29-24
26-34
35-24
29-28
41-30
27-37
23-30
25-35
26-29
40-27
32-22
23-38
25-33
32-29
237.6Avg total
120.3Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)117.8119.8237.6-1.948%
Season at home (36)118.0119.2237.2-1.253%
Season away (35)117.7120.4238.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)120.3117.3237.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)123.2115.8239.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)115.3123.1238.4-7.822%
vs Similar ◀ (15)117.3120.5237.7-3.240%
vs Weaker (6)126.7114.5241.2+12.283%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H16/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H29/03
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.3Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.159.2117.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.758.5115.2-1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)59.259.8119.1-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)55.357.9113.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.6113.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.764.3110.0-18.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.458.1116.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker (7)62.760.3123.0+2.471%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H14/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A26/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/03
NBA
117.4Avg total
61.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.860.8120.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.459.5118.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)60.562.6123.1-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)61.655.8117.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)61.258.2119.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)58.762.1120.8-3.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.362.5121.8-3.120%-
vs Weaker (6)62.854.8117.7+8.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.626.3
56.4%
54.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.6
37.8%
35.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
77.8%19.2
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.830.1
57.0%
54.3%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.6
37.9%
35.9%43.8
🏀 Free throws19.616.3
83.2%
77.8%16.3
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWWLLWWL
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWLLWWW
#13
League position
#18
+1.3
Net rating
+2.9
115.3
Offensive rating
117.2
114.0
Defensive rating
114.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
57.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
11.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.8%
3-point %
37.9%
63.7%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 117.2Defence114.0 · 114.2Shooting56.5% · 57.0%3-point %37.8% · 37.9%Ball care11.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds17.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HNew York Knicks107-116
27/03/25ADenver Nuggets117-127
25/03/25APhoenix Suns106-108
23/03/25ASacramento Kings114-108
21/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers118-89
19/03/25AGolden State Warriors93-104
17/03/25HOklahoma City Thunder105-121
16/03/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
13/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers126-106
11/03/25AIndiana Pacers114-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AMiami Heat112-122
26/03/25AHouston Rockets114-121
23/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers132-119
22/03/25HGolden State Warriors124-115
18/03/25ACharlotte Hornets134-102
16/03/25ABrooklyn Nets114-122
14/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers98-121
12/03/25HCharlotte Hornets123-110
10/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers132-123
09/03/25HIndiana Pacers120-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL54%
HomeLWWLL63%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %54%63%44%
Points / game114.4117.4111.5
Allowed / game112.5111.7113.3
Point differential+1.9+5.6-1.8
Avg total226.9229.1224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)20% (5)42% (12)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeWWLWW53%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %48%53%43%
Points / game117.8118.0117.7
Allowed / game119.8119.2120.4
Point differential-1.9-1.2-2.7
Avg total237.6237.2238.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)58% (12)64% (11)
Overtime %6%3%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder72601283%120.2107.1+13.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers75601580%122.3112.3+10.0
3 Boston Celtics74551974%116.9107.8+9.1
4 Houston Rockets72472565%114.3109.4+4.9
5 New York Knicks73472664%116.6112.1+4.5
6 Denver Nuggets75472863%120.9116.7+4.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers74452961%113.2112.4+0.8
8 Memphis Grizzlies74443059%122.2117.1+5.1
9 Golden State Warriors72423058%113.3111.0+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers74433158%117.2115.4+1.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves74423257%113.7109.3+4.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers74423257%112.4108.7+3.7
13 Detroit Pistons74423257%115.7113.0+2.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks71383354%114.4112.5+1.9
15 Dallas Mavericks74373750%115.1115.1+0.0
16 Sacramento Kings74363849%115.9115.8+0.1
17 Orlando Magic74363849%105.1105.7-0.6
18 Atlanta Hawks71343748%117.8119.8-1.9
19 Phoenix Suns74353947%114.4116.0-1.6
20 Miami Heat74334145%109.5110.1-0.6
21 Chicago Bulls74334145%117.4119.7-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers75324343%110.7114.4-3.7
23 San Antonio Spurs73314242%114.3116.4-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors74274736%110.4115.1-4.6
25 Brooklyn Nets75245132%105.1111.9-6.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers74235131%109.8115.7-5.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans74205427%110.4119.1-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets73185525%105.7113.9-8.2
29 Washington Wizards74165822%108.8120.9-12.1
30 Utah Jazz75165921%111.6120.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks44311732124
Atlanta Hawks37453627145
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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