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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-112
30-30 24-27 30-24 37-31
Position#13
Record30-25
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#9
Record38-20
FormWWWLW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
96-125
96
125
-29
77avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
112-102
112
102
+10
112avg 105
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
110-115
110
115
-5
100avg 105
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
135-127
135
127
+8
126avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
111-125
111
125
-14
100avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
103-101
103
101
+2
97avg 105
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-110
116
110
+6
110avg 105
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-113
120
113
+7
113avg 105
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
97-100
97
100
-3
80avg 105
A26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-39
22-39
31-38
21-9
38-26
28-30
20-21
26-25
26-36
47-19
17-37
20-23
40-39
25-24
38-28
32-36
27-29
24-29
32-31
28-36
36-24
15-26
19-19
33-32
28-29
29-21
23-39
36-21
19-32
31-24
34-19
20-26
23-37
32-28
30-28
35-20
25-30
34-27
26-28
12-15
222.3Avg total
110.4Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)114.0112.7226.7+1.355%
Season at home (27)117.7111.4229.0+6.367%
Season away (28)110.5113.9224.4-3.443%
Last 10 (10)110.4111.9222.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)108.0105.0213.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0125.0221.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.2112.0226.2+2.256%
vs Weaker (13)117.3112.9230.2+4.462%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 113
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
120avg 113
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
144-119
144
119
+25
150avg 113
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
112-90
112
90
+22
117avg 113
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 113
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
146-117
146
117
+29
155avg 113
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
125avg 113
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
129-115
129
115
+14
126avg 113
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-123
100
123
-23
94avg 113
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
130avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
27-26
36-35
17-23
33-23
35-27
25-35
32-28
36-36
32-32
45-27
31-24
25-26
34-24
33-17
20-23
37-32
26-23
35-26
24-24
38-27
32-28
42-37
34-25
40-27
35-29
32-35
25-30
38-30
28-28
33-38
30-19
31-38
23-25
33-33
13-27
36-28
28-30
36-25
25-33
236.5Avg total
124.2Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)121.3116.0237.3+5.466%
Season at home (29)122.8115.7238.5+7.169%
Season away (29)119.9116.2236.1+3.662%
Last 10 (10)124.2112.3236.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)126.4118.4244.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5133.5254.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)117.6113.2230.8+4.469%
vs Weaker (15)128.9115.7244.7+13.287%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
44-78
44
78
-34
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A26/02
NBA
115.9Avg total
57.1Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.257.1117.3+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.054.7115.7+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)59.559.2118.7+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)57.158.8115.9-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.6110.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.078.0122.0-34.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.756.0115.7+3.762%-
vs Weaker (13)62.156.8118.9+5.269%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
68-68
68
68
+0
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A25/02
NBA
120.0Avg total
64.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.659.3123.0+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)65.060.4125.4+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)61.858.0119.8+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)64.155.9120.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)65.858.0123.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.068.5129.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)61.257.5118.7+3.862%-
vs Weaker (15)66.159.7125.8+6.373%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.7
52.3%
54.3%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.014.8
37.0%
35.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
77.8%16.6
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 124.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.334.9
60.9%
54.3%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.9
37.3%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws19.415.7
80.9%
77.8%15.7
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWLWLWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#9
-1.5
Net rating
+11.8
108.7
Offensive rating
123.6
110.2
Defensive rating
111.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
59.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.0%
3-point %
37.3%
60.5%
Assist %
67.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 123.6Defence110.2 · 111.8Shooting53.8% · 59.0%3-point %37.0% · 37.3%Ball care13.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds18.0% · 30.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AHouston Rockets97-100
23/02/25HMiami Heat120-113
22/02/25AWashington Wizards104-101
21/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
13/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
11/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-125
09/02/25HPhiladelphia 76ers135-127
08/02/25AAtlanta Hawks110-115
06/02/25ACharlotte Hornets112-102
04/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder96-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25AIndiana Pacers125-116
23/02/25HLos Angeles Lakers100-123
21/02/25HCharlotte Hornets129-115
13/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers132-121
11/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers146-117
09/02/25APhoenix Suns122-105
07/02/25HOrlando Magic112-90
06/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans144-119
04/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
02/02/25ACharlotte Hornets107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game114.0117.7110.5
Allowed / game112.7111.4113.9
Point differential+1.3+6.3-3.4
Avg total226.7229.0224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)25% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %66%69%62%
Points / game121.3122.8119.9
Allowed / game116.0115.7116.2
Point differential+5.4+7.1+3.6
Avg total237.3238.5236.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers58481083%122.9111.2+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder56451180%118.8106.2+12.6
3 Boston Celtics59421771%116.9108.1+8.8
4 New York Knicks57381967%118.0113.0+5.0
5 Memphis Grizzlies58382066%123.3116.6+6.7
6 Denver Nuggets58382066%121.3116.0+5.4
7 Houston Rockets57362163%113.5109.1+4.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers56352162%113.0111.6+1.4
9 Indiana Pacers57332458%116.4115.2+1.1
10 Detroit Pistons59332656%114.3113.0+1.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers58322655%110.9108.6+2.3
12 Golden State Warriors58322655%113.3111.5+1.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks55302555%114.0112.7+1.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves59322754%112.1109.0+3.1
15 Dallas Mavericks58312753%115.3113.3+2.0
16 Sacramento Kings58302852%116.9115.6+1.3
17 Orlando Magic60293148%104.0105.6-1.6
18 Miami Heat57273047%110.0110.6-0.6
19 Phoenix Suns58273147%113.8115.9-2.1
20 Atlanta Hawks57263146%117.0119.7-2.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers59263344%110.0114.3-4.3
22 San Antonio Spurs57243342%112.4114.5-2.1
23 Chicago Bulls59233639%116.4120.4-4.0
24 Brooklyn Nets58213736%105.1111.1-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers58203834%108.9113.4-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors59184131%110.4116.3-5.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans58154326%110.5118.6-8.1
28 Charlotte Hornets57144325%105.4112.9-7.5
29 Utah Jazz58144424%112.2119.4-7.2
30 Washington Wizards58104817%108.3121.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30243037121
Denver Nuggets30272431112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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