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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-99
28-30 28-28 29-24 22-17
Position#28
Record5-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#21
Record13-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
104-109
104
109
-5
90avg 92
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
99-115
99
115
-16
81avg 92
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
74avg 92
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
96-120
96
120
-24
82avg 92
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
105-122
105
122
-17
98avg 92
H05/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
70avg 92
A07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
98-115
98
115
-17
95avg 92
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
112avg 92
H11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
86-111
86
111
-25
74avg 92
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-89
99
89
+10
82avg 92
H14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
28-35
23-20
27-28
22-26
27-23
25-40
25-26
25-21
23-30
23-24
14-24
31-21
15-40
28-34
22-25
9-36
31-32
27-31
38-23
9-34
32-28
18-25
27-21
36-34
14-26
23-29
25-26
29-21
27-37
30-30
25-23
20-29
26-30
18-29
22-23
25-21
25-19
28-27
21-22
208.8Avg total
97.7Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)102.1113.2215.3-11.117%
Season at home (15)102.7109.4212.1-6.727%
Season away (14)101.4117.3218.7-15.97%
Last 10 (10)97.7111.1208.8-13.410%
Last 5 (5)97.6109.2206.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)102.4112.3214.7-9.921%
vs Similar (1)116.0124.0240.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
112-102
112
102
+10
101avg 100
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
111-96
111
96
+15
99avg 100
H25/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
102-95
102
95
+7
88avg 100
A27/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
128-89
128
89
+39
124avg 100
H29/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
109-118
109
118
-9
97avg 100
H02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
93avg 100
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
121-104
121
104
+17
124avg 100
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
105-113
105
113
-8
93avg 100
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
108-116
108
116
-8
103avg 100
A11/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
130-141
130
141
-11
123avg 100
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
32-23
35-23
23-30
20-22
29-28
35-29
27-17
29-26
25-21
21-24
27-24
28-25
29-9
35-24
36-31
26-29
22-28
29-27
32-34
24-24
24-38
38-20
17-9
31-31
31-33
24-22
35-18
27-30
24-23
29-28
25-32
24-30
33-33
20-28
31-25
31-35
19-28
42-33
38-45
219.4Avg total
112.9Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)110.5111.0221.4-0.546%
Season at home (15)111.9106.3218.1+5.673%
Season away (13)108.8116.4225.2-7.515%
Last 10 (10)112.9106.5219.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.0226.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)103.6111.3214.9-7.629%
vs Similar (13)115.5113.5229.1+2.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)114.7104.7219.3+10.0100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
40-68
40
68
-28
H05/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A12/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H14/12
NBA
104.9Avg total
48.0Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.157.5107.6-7.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.553.7103.2-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)50.761.3112.0-10.520%-
Last 10 (10)48.056.9104.9-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)48.655.8104.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)49.457.3106.7-7.824%-
vs Similar (1)69.064.0133.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H29/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A11/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A13/12
NBA
107.2Avg total
53.0Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.455.9111.3-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.953.2108.2+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)56.058.9114.9-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)53.054.2107.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)53.661.0114.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)51.955.7107.6-3.836%-
vs Similar (13)58.657.4116.0+1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)58.050.3108.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.228.1
48.3%
51.7%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.6
31.9%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
76.6%12.7
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.732.8
51.5%
51.7%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.7
36.9%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.418.2
77.8%
76.6%18.2
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLLLLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLWWWW
#28
League position
#21
-13.2
Net rating
+6.4
96.2
Offensive rating
112.2
109.4
Defensive rating
105.8
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
11.9%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
36.9%
61.0%
Assist %
60.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 112.2Defence109.4 · 105.8Shooting48.1% · 52.6%3-point %31.9% · 36.9%Ball care15.1% · 11.9%Off. rebounds19.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/18HDallas Mavericks99-89
12/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs86-111
11/12/18HLos Angeles Clippers119-123 OT
08/12/18HMiami Heat98-115
07/12/18APortland Trail Blazers86-108
05/12/18HSacramento Kings105-122
02/12/18ALos Angeles Lakers96-120
01/12/18HOrlando Magic85-99
29/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers99-115
28/11/18HIndiana Pacers104-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/18ASacramento Kings130-141
11/12/18AGolden State Warriors108-116
09/12/18APortland Trail Blazers105-113
06/12/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104
04/12/18HHouston Rockets103-91
02/12/18HBoston Celtics109-118
29/11/18HSan Antonio Spurs128-89
27/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers102-95
25/11/18HChicago Bulls111-96
23/11/18ABrooklyn Nets112-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %17%27%7%
Points / game102.1102.7101.4
Allowed / game113.2109.4117.3
Point differential-11.1-6.7-15.9
Avg total215.3212.1218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%73%15%
Points / game110.5111.9108.8
Allowed / game111.0106.3116.4
Point differential-0.5+5.6-7.5
Avg total221.4218.1225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors3123874%115.8107.7+8.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks2819968%118.0109.0+9.0
3 Denver Nuggets2819968%109.9103.5+6.5
4 Golden State Warriors30201067%116.1111.1+5.0
5 Indiana Pacers29191066%106.6101.3+5.3
6 Philadelphia 76ers30191163%113.8112.0+1.8
7 Oklahoma City Thunder27171063%111.1105.4+5.8
8 Boston Celtics29181162%111.5104.1+7.4
9 Los Angeles Lakers29181162%113.5111.0+2.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers28171161%114.3113.6+0.7
11 Dallas Mavericks27151256%109.4107.6+1.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers29161355%111.6110.2+1.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies29161355%102.5102.1+0.4
14 Sacramento Kings28151354%115.6116.0-0.4
15 Detroit Pistons27141352%109.1110.0-0.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans30151550%117.4115.5+1.9
17 Houston Rockets28141450%108.9109.1-0.2
18 San Antonio Spurs30151550%110.2111.0-0.8
19 Charlotte Hornets29141548%113.8111.8+2.0
20 Orlando Magic29141548%104.0106.7-2.7
21 Utah Jazz30141647%106.8106.6+0.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves28131546%110.5111.0-0.5
23 Miami Heat28121643%107.0108.1-1.2
24 Brooklyn Nets30121840%109.9111.3-1.5
25 Washington Wizards29111838%112.3117.2-4.9
26 New York Knicks3092130%108.9115.2-6.3
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2972224%103.3111.3-7.9
28 Chicago Bulls3072323%101.3111.7-10.3
29 Atlanta Hawks2862221%107.9118.4-10.6
30 Phoenix Suns2952417%102.1113.2-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns28282922107
Minnesota Timberwolves3028241799
← all games of the day
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