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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-98
25-35 26-21 35-21 20-21
Position#26
Record7-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game118.5
vs
Position#4
Record20-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
119-127
119
127
-8
H20/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
108-124
108
124
-16
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
96-114
96
114
-18
H24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
124-123
124
123
+1
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
115-113
115
113
+2
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
94-108
94
108
-14
A29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
109-124
109
124
-15
A01/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
111-128
111
128
-17
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
117-131
117
131
-14
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
32-22
16-26
17-24
34-29
30-32
32-28
23-38
24-29
20-26
29-31
35-38
23-45
22-16
19-21
32-32
32-43
33-23
35-31
24-26
35-38
33-14
32-34
15-27
28-24
21-31
26-31
19-22
26-28
20-38
30-25
33-33
17-34
30-27
30-36
34-31
25-33
24-39
45-31
23-28
227.1Avg total
108.2Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)108.7118.5227.3-9.823%
Season at home (14)112.2119.8232.0-7.636%
Season away (16)105.7117.4223.1-11.812%
Last 10 (10)108.2118.9227.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)109.2120.8230.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)107.4118.6226.0-11.124%
vs Similar (9)111.8118.4230.2-6.722%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
115-125
115
125
-10
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
112-87
112
87
+25
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
124-118 OT
124
118
+6
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
29-25
27-21
21-32
21-26
23-25
27-31
35-18
18-27
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
31-28
25-26
32-32
24-26
25-24
28-40
26-23
28-26
214.6Avg total
110.0Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)110.5103.9214.4+6.669%
Season at home (12)114.1101.2215.2+12.975%
Season away (17)107.9105.9213.8+2.165%
Last 10 (10)110.0104.6214.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)113.4106.2219.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)94.3102.7197.0-8.30%
vs Similar (11)107.9102.5210.4+5.582%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)112.8103.9216.7+8.969%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H20/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A01/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
49-72
49
72
-23
H06/12
NBA
112.9Avg total
53.3Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.959.7114.6-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.561.4115.9-6.929%-
Last 30 away (16)55.258.3113.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)53.359.6112.9-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)51.861.2113.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)55.459.0114.4-3.738%-
vs Similar (9)53.861.3115.1-7.633%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/12
NBA
110.7Avg total
58.4Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.652.3108.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.051.2107.2+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)57.153.1110.2+4.065%-
Last 10 (10)58.452.3110.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)58.853.6112.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.751.3104.0+1.333%-
vs Similar (11)56.950.6107.5+6.382%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)57.253.6110.8+3.656%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.529.8
53.7%
51.7%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.210.3
29.3%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
76.6%17.7
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.230.8
50.3%
51.7%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.3
36.5%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
76.6%14.3
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWWLL
#26
League position
#4
-9.5
Net rating
+5.2
100.0
Offensive rating
109.2
109.5
Defensive rating
104.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
12.8%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.3%
3-point %
36.5%
61.8%
Assist %
69.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 109.2Defence109.5 · 104.0Shooting49.9% · 51.8%3-point %29.3% · 36.5%Ball care16.2% · 12.8%Off. rebounds21.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/18HWashington Wizards117-131
04/12/18HGolden State Warriors111-128
01/12/18AOklahoma City Thunder109-124
29/11/18ACharlotte Hornets94-108
28/11/18AMiami Heat115-113
25/11/18HCharlotte Hornets124-123
24/11/18HBoston Celtics96-114
22/11/18HToronto Raptors108-124
20/11/18HLos Angeles Clippers119-127
18/11/18AIndiana Pacers89-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18ACharlotte Hornets107-113
06/12/18AOrlando Magic124-118 OT
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
22/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
20/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks98-104
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%36%12%
Points / game108.7112.2105.7
Allowed / game118.5119.8117.4
Point differential-9.8-7.6-11.8
Avg total227.3232.0223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %69%75%65%
Points / game110.5114.1107.9
Allowed / game103.9101.2105.9
Point differential+6.6+12.9+2.1
Avg total214.4215.2213.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors3124777%116.0107.5+8.5
2 Los Angeles Clippers2719870%116.0110.5+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets2920969%110.5103.9+6.6
4 Milwaukee Bucks2819968%120.7109.8+10.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2819968%110.8104.0+6.8
6 Philadelphia 76ers30201067%114.2112.1+2.1
7 Indiana Pacers30181260%105.7101.8+3.9
8 Golden State Warriors32191359%115.7111.1+4.6
9 Memphis Grizzlies29171259%104.6104.3+0.3
10 Los Angeles Lakers31181358%113.2112.3+0.9
11 Portland Trail Blazers30171357%112.4110.1+2.4
12 Utah Jazz29161355%108.7106.3+2.4
13 Boston Celtics28151354%108.3104.5+3.8
14 Detroit Pistons28151354%108.6109.1-0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets30161453%114.0110.7+3.3
16 Dallas Mavericks27141352%111.0110.3+0.7
17 San Antonio Spurs31151648%110.0112.1-2.1
18 Houston Rockets29141548%109.2109.1+0.1
19 Washington Wizards29141548%112.6115.6-3.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves30141647%109.8111.9-2.1
21 Sacramento Kings30141647%113.1116.7-3.6
22 Miami Heat30131743%108.7109.7-1.0
23 Orlando Magic30131743%104.4107.0-2.5
24 New Orleans Pelicans32131941%117.3117.3-0.0
25 Brooklyn Nets31112035%108.0110.8-2.8
26 New York Knicks31112035%108.5114.0-5.5
27 Chicago Bulls3182326%103.1111.2-8.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers2972224%103.5111.6-8.1
29 Atlanta Hawks3072323%108.7118.5-9.8
30 Phoenix Suns3052517%101.7113.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks25263520106
Denver Nuggets3521212198
← all games of the day
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