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Missouri State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-70
32-35 36-35
Position#334
Record9-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game70.9
Missouri State
USA
vs
Illinois State 🏆
USA
Position#141
Record16-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Illinois State
22 Feb 2025
MISS68
ILLI70
20 Jan 2024
MISS60
ILLI69
19 Jan 2022
MISS88
ILLI63
23 Jan 2021
MISS v ILLI
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
MISS80
ILLI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
43-19
34-37
30-34
31-32
44-45
24-40
36-26
35-28
30-35
28-28
30-26
34-40
134.8Avg total
66.4Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.970.9139.8-2.132%
Season at home (14)71.269.0140.2+2.250%
Season away (14)66.572.9139.4-6.414%
Last 10 (10)66.468.4134.8-2.020%
Last 5 (5)64.466.8131.2-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.569.8134.3-5.423%
vs Similar (15)70.571.9142.4-1.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-31
49-37
40-40
45-41
26-28
31-33
35-31
46-47
45-38
41-40
45-37
36-42
36-32
29-36
32-40
45-44
33-40
43-45
35-27
47-44
151.7Avg total
76.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.772.7149.4+4.057%
Season at home (16)81.071.7152.7+9.375%
Season away (12)71.074.0145.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)76.475.3151.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)76.277.4153.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.271.6140.8-2.420%
vs Similar (18)76.976.2153.2+0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.462.7140.1+14.771%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
Missouri StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A20/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
33.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.131.462.5-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.531.462.9+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)30.831.462.2-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)33.630.764.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.532.463.9-0.831%-
vs Similar (15)30.531.261.7-0.740%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.033.969.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.532.068.5+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)35.336.571.8-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.469.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.834.466.2-2.620%-
vs Similar (18)37.735.272.9+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.730.365.0+4.457%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Missouri State wins
5
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Illinois State v Missouri State74-68
29/02/24Illinois State v Missouri State75-74
20/01/24Missouri State v Illinois State60-69
12/01/23Illinois State v Missouri State76-66 OT
20/01/22Missouri State v Illinois State88-63
02/12/21Illinois State v Missouri State79-74 OT
07/02/21Illinois State v Missouri State62-72
06/02/21Illinois State v Missouri State67-74
06/02/20Missouri State v Illinois State80-60
08/01/20Illinois State v Missouri State63-67
Missouri Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AValparaiso64-66
16/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)58-63
13/02/25HEvansville71-54
08/02/25ABelmont68-85
06/02/25HNorthern Iowa61-66
01/02/25HMurray State77-56
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HBradley82-71
15/02/25AIndiana State76-85
13/02/25HDrake77-84
08/02/25ANorthern Iowa65-68
06/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)81-79
01/02/25HValparaiso86-78
30/01/25HBelmont81-78
25/01/25ABradley57-61
22/01/25HIndiana State85-81
18/01/25HMissouri State74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%50%14%
Points / game68.971.266.5
Allowed / game70.969.072.9
Point differential-2.1+2.2-6.4
Avg total139.8140.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game76.781.071.0
Allowed / game72.771.774.0
Point differential+4.0+9.3-3.0
Avg total149.4152.7145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2722581%75.861.1+14.7
2 Jacksonville State2819968%75.068.5+6.5
3 Louisiana Tech2718967%74.368.7+5.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.2718967%76.171.4+4.6
5 UTEP27171063%72.669.2+3.4
6 Kennesaw State28161257%76.772.6+4.1
7 New Mexico State27151256%69.866.0+3.9
8 Western Kentucky26141254%77.275.8+1.4
9 Delaware29121741%76.777.8-1.1
10 Sam Houston St.28111739%75.575.3+0.2
11 Missouri State2891932%68.970.9-2.1
12 Florida International2781930%69.972.4-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2724389%71.359.2+12.1
2 Bradley2922776%78.469.9+8.5
3 Northern Iowa2819968%75.167.8+7.4
4 Belmont29191066%81.078.8+2.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)29171259%78.274.1+4.2
6 Illinois State28161257%76.772.7+4.0
7 Murray State29141548%72.169.4+2.6
8 Valparaiso29131645%76.075.1+1.0
9 Indiana State29131645%79.679.2+0.4
10 Southern Illinois29121741%72.473.4-1.0
11 Evansville29111838%67.171.1-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State323668
Illinois State353570
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