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Mogi vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-80
11-22 15-22 20-18 16-18
Position#16
Record9-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Bauru
01 Apr 2026
MOGI87
BAUR79
08 Feb 2025
MOGI62
BAUR80
18 Dec 2023
MOGI87
BAUR88
20 Dec 2021
MOGI76
BAUR79
13 Nov 2020
MOGI85
BAUR90
18 Mar 2020
MOGI v BAUR
upcoming
15 Nov 2018
MOGI73
BAUR67
16 Dec 2017
MOGI72
BAUR69
10 Jan 2017
MOGI89
BAUR66
27 Feb 2016
MOGI85
BAUR79
20 Feb 2016
MOGI75
BAUR66
17 May 2015
MOGI91
BAUR98
15 May 2015
MOGI85
BAUR78
06 Jan 2015
MOGI80
BAUR99
27 Nov 2014
MOGI53
BAUR79
13 Nov 2014
MOGI78
BAUR91
05 Jan 2014
MOGI75
BAUR74
26 Nov 2012
MOGI73
BAUR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 64
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 64
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
81avg 64
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
50avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 64
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 64
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
79avg 64
A17/01
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 64
H22/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
82avg 64
H04/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
16-25
15-22
25-22
29-28
11-19
17-21
17-23
15-18
9-25
17-14
17-19
20-18
28-17
17-25
27-14
17-15
26-14
19-20
24-15
11-20
13-23
21-19
20-17
14-20
20-20
24-22
18-22
18-16
158.2Avg total
78.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.879.2153.1-5.438%
Season at home (12)73.878.0151.8-4.250%
Season away (12)73.980.5154.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)78.879.4158.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.477.6157.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.379.0151.3-6.738%
vs Similar (4)74.579.0153.5-4.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
164.1Avg total
79.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.580.2158.7-1.755%
Season at home (10)78.675.7154.3+2.980%
Season away (12)78.484.0162.4-5.633%
Last 10 (10)79.085.1164.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)76.481.8158.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar (15)77.478.9156.3-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.678.6159.2+2.075%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
MogiBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBB
Minas
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H22/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/02
NBB
76.6Avg total
37.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.273.8-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.572.8-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)33.940.974.8-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.676.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.839.374.2-4.531%-
vs Similar (4)33.238.071.2-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
79.6Avg total
36.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.177.7-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.376.6-1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.878.6-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.879.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar (15)37.937.675.5+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.038.177.1+0.938%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.3
47.0%
50.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
33.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
72.7%13.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.5
49.7%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.2
30.1%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.813.0
62.5%
72.7%13.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLWWLLLWLW
Bauru
WLWLLLLLWL
#16
League position
#4
-1.3
Net rating
-8.9
103.8
Offensive rating
99.8
105.2
Defensive rating
108.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
30.1%
65.4%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 99.8Defence105.2 · 108.7Shooting51.4% · 47.6%3-point %38.0% · 30.1%Ball care18.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mogi   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Bauru v Mogi68-66
13/04/24Bauru v Mogi80-68
18/12/23Mogi v Bauru87-88 OT
24/03/22Bauru v Mogi107-103 OT
20/12/21Mogi v Bauru76-79
10/04/21Bauru v Mogi82-91
13/11/20Mogi v Bauru85-90
09/11/19Bauru v Mogi87-75
26/03/19Bauru v Mogi81-96
15/11/18Mogi v Bauru73-67
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HSao Jose97-93 OT
22/01/25HMinas68-79
17/01/25ASao Paulo80-69
13/01/25HBrasilia89-71
10/01/25APaulistano63-76
29/12/24AFlamengo60-81
27/12/24ABotafogo85-97
21/12/24APato106-90
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW38%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game73.873.873.9
Allowed / game79.278.080.5
Point differential-5.4-4.2-6.6
Avg total153.1151.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game78.578.678.4
Allowed / game80.275.784.0
Point differential-1.7+2.9-5.6
Avg total158.7154.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2415962%82.080.5+1.5
4 Uniao Corinthians2314961%78.978.2+0.7
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Paulistano22121055%78.074.7+3.4
8 Bauru22121055%78.580.2-1.7
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Unifacisa23121152%75.975.1+0.8
11 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo24101442%76.779.2-2.5
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2371630%73.078.6-5.6
17 Cearense2361726%70.277.3-7.2
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1115201662
Bauru2222181880
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