PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mogi vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-70
18-16 21-19 24-19 21-16
Position#8
Record20-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.2
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record23-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Paulistano
22 Nov 2026
MOGI v PAUL
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
MOGI84
PAUL70
12 Oct 2024
MOGI72
PAUL67
09 Apr 2024
MOGI64
PAUL61
28 Oct 2021
MOGI77
PAUL72
09 Mar 2021
MOGI62
PAUL69
03 Mar 2020
MOGI83
PAUL94
15 Feb 2019
MOGI89
PAUL91
02 Jun 2018
MOGI76
PAUL82
19 May 2018
MOGI82
PAUL99
03 Jan 2018
MOGI80
PAUL84
13 Nov 2016
MOGI86
PAUL55
17 Mar 2016
MOGI80
PAUL83
19 Mar 2015
MOGI88
PAUL77
13 Feb 2014
MOGI66
PAUL79
20 Dec 2012
MOGI77
PAUL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 68
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 68
H22/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 68
H05/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 68
A09/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 68
A13/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 68
A20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
56avg 68
A23/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
86avg 68
H01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 68
H03/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 68
A10/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-20
20-21
24-20
31-15
15-19
15-25
17-9
25-21
20-22
11-27
17-10
24-20
10-15
22-9
16-23
26-13
19-22
19-17
16-20
22-21
25-27
6-12
30-17
11-17
20-12
18-13
13-20
17-13
16-16
14-20
21-19
21-19
19-22
25-18
10-20
24-18
21-19
18-17
24-28
153.7Avg total
77.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.471.2147.6+5.256%
Season at home (17)78.666.9145.6+11.765%
Season away (19)74.474.9149.3-0.647%
Last 10 (10)77.975.8153.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)80.277.8158.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.681.8152.4-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.572.5143.0-2.136%
vs Weaker (14)81.568.4149.9+13.186%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 73
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 73
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 73
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
75avg 73
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 73
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
91-77
91
77
+14
83avg 73
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 73
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
96-69
96
69
+27
95avg 73
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 73
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
64avg 73
A09/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
24-24
23-24
23-18
21-11
21-26
21-16
11-18
26-24
21-17
21-16
32-23
22-13
18-22
27-11
18-17
23-22
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
172.8Avg total
90.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.478.2161.6+5.264%
Season at home (18)86.076.4162.4+9.678%
Season away (18)80.879.9160.7+0.850%
Last 10 (10)90.582.3172.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)87.276.4163.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.583.8163.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.084.4169.4+0.670%
vs Weaker (16)87.374.9162.2+12.475%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
MogiPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A09/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A23/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H03/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A10/04
NBB
76.9Avg total
39.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.675.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.134.575.6+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)36.838.475.1-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.276.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.443.879.2-8.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.735.069.7-0.364%-
vs Weaker (14)43.235.278.4+8.079%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
87.1Avg total
45.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.084.4+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.339.580.8+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.787.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.881.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.843.081.8-4.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.840.484.2+3.450%-
vs Weaker (16)43.138.581.6+4.669%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.4
47.2%
52.2%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.7
32.4%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.0
67.6%
72.8%15.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.5
55.0%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.7
35.9%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
72.8%14.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLWLWWWLWL
Paulistano
WWWLWWLWWL
#8
League position
#7
+2.4
Net rating
+8.7
89.3
Offensive rating
102.7
86.9
Defensive rating
94.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
35.9%
64.0%
Assist %
46.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 102.7Defence86.9 · 94.1Shooting47.9% · 54.5%3-point %32.4% · 35.9%Ball care15.1% · 12.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Paulistano v Mogi81-66
10/01/25Paulistano v Mogi76-63
12/10/24Mogi v Paulistano72-67
09/04/24Mogi v Paulistano64-61
27/12/23Paulistano v Mogi92-78
28/01/22Paulistano v Mogi69-62
28/10/21Mogi v Paulistano77-72
09/03/21Mogi v Paulistano62-69
04/12/20Paulistano v Mogi69-62
03/03/20Mogi v Paulistano83-94
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26AUniao Corinthians87-82
03/04/26HFranca75-79
01/04/26HBauru87-79 OT
23/03/26ABrasilia69-72 OT
20/03/26ARio Claro83-77
13/03/26APato80-72
09/03/26ACaxias do Sul72-67
05/03/26HPinheiros73-80
22/02/26HSao Jose78-68
18/02/26ACorinthians Paulista75-82
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80
03/04/26ABotafogo86-72
01/04/26AVasco96-69
23/03/26AFlamengo79-84
19/03/26HCearense91-77
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeLWLWL65%
AwayWWWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game76.478.674.4
Allowed / game71.266.974.9
Point differential+5.2+11.7-0.6
Avg total147.6145.6149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%53%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%5%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%78%50%
Points / game83.486.080.8
Allowed / game78.276.479.9
Point differential+5.2+9.6+0.8
Avg total161.6162.4160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
5 Brasilia37271073%81.372.2+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista37261170%85.079.4+5.6
7 Paulistano36231364%83.478.2+5.2
8 Sao Jose37221559%81.980.1+1.8
9 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
10 Mogi36201656%76.471.2+5.2
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians37181949%79.781.7-2.0
13 Caxias do Sul37172046%73.876.4-2.5
14 Cruzeiro37122532%80.185.6-5.6
15 Rio Claro37112630%78.285.9-7.8
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3773019%76.289.0-12.8
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1821242184
Paulistano1619191670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.