Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	85.6	75.6	161.2	+10.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	77.0	166.6	+12.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	86.5	80.0	166.5	+6.5	70%
vs Weaker (20)	86.5	73.2	159.8	+13.2	90%

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Manresa

#14

103-92

103

+11

99avg 77

H15/01

ACB

Partizan

89-81

88avg 77

H19/01

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

88-76

+12

80avg 77

H22/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

94-88

no box

A26/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

86-102

102

-16

75avg 77

A29/01

ACB

Bayern

#16

82-73

76avg 77

H31/01

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

93-94

-1

83avg 77

H02/02

Euroleague

Barcelona

75-81

-6

70avg 77

A05/02

ACB

Panathinaikos

#15

92-91

88avg 77

A10/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

82-76

73avg 77

H12/02

ACB

23-15

19-36

31-23

30-18

27-18

20-19

22-21

20-23

23-14

19-17

32-18

14-27

24-25

26-22

17-21

27-20

15-19

18-28

32-24

21-31

16-14

17-18

28-24

21-17

28-24

27-21

23-34

15-15

24-14

19-18

16-25

16-24

21-26

21-23

27-19

23-23

16-22

23-18

17-19

26-17

173.8Avg total

88.4Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	88.4	85.4	173.8	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	79.6	85.6	165.2	-6.0	31%
vs Similar (13)	83.5	84.8	168.2	-1.3	54%
vs Weaker (4)	102.2	82.0	184.2	+20.2	100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	18.1	41.9	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	18.2	42.7	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	17.9	41.0	+5.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	19.2	45.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	24.0	16.7	40.7	+7.3	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.1	39.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	15.0	37.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.3	38.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.3	40.8	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.6	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.6	40.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	50%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

#17

46-35

+11

A12/01

Euroleague

Granada

#16

32-24

A15/01

ACB

Olympiacos

28-36

-8

A20/01

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

46-37

H22/01

ACB

Barcelona

32-39

-7

H26/01

Euroleague

Manresa

#14

57-36

+21

A29/01

ACB

Panathinaikos

#15

48-30

+18

H01/02

Euroleague

Monaco

50-46

A03/02

Euroleague

Tenerife

50-36

+14

H05/02

ACB

Murcia

40-32

A12/02

ACB

78.0Avg total

42.9Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	36.3	80.4	+7.7	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	36.1	77.3	+5.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	35.1	78.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	36.0	85.0	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	44.1	34.2	78.3	+9.9	90%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

#14

42-51

-9

H15/01

ACB

Partizan

47-37

+10

H19/01

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

42-31

+11

H22/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

50-47

A26/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

33-47

-14

A29/01

ACB

Bayern

#16

33-32

H31/01

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

55-45

+10

H02/02

Euroleague

Barcelona

43-32

+11

A05/02

ACB

Panathinaikos

#15

42-49

-7

A10/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

39-40

-1

H12/02

ACB

83.7Avg total

42.6Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.5	80.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	39.1	79.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.9	81.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.1	83.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.6	82.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	39.8	83.2	+3.8	75%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.3	42.5	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.2	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.3	43.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.1	42.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.2	46.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.5	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	31.0	16.5	47.5	+14.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.9	41.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	23.9	45.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.1	21.2	41.2	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.8	25.8	53.5	+2.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.5	80.1	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.2	83.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.7	38.2	78.9	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.1	38.6	80.8	+3.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.6	87.0	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	41.2	85.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	46.0	88.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	44.3	90.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.4	85.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	41.3	45.1	86.4	-3.8	23%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.7	42.5	83.2	-1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	58.8	42.2	101.0	+16.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	21.7	56.2%	-	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.9	31.6%	-	23.7
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.9	76.1%	-	15.9

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	19.8	60.7%	-	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.7	38.6%	-	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.1	78.5%	-	16.1

They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	19.7	47.9%	-	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	7.7	29.3%	-	23.1
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.8	71.5%	-	9.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	20.5	58.4%	-	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.6	38.1%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.4	75.4%	-	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.9	55.3%	-	41.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.0	35.8%	-	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.8	16.2	77.9%	-	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.9	17.6	55.1%	-	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.8	37.4%	-	32.5
🏀 Free throws	19.2	15.4	80.0%	-	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	18.9	47.3%	-	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.6	32.4%	-	25.8
🏀 Free throws	14.2	10.9	76.3%	-	10.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	19.1	54.7%	-	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.8	37.3%	-	29.3
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.7	76.6%	-	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWWWWLWW

Valencia

WWLLWLWWWW

League position

+14.4

Net rating

+4.9

111.9

Offensive rating

120.6

97.5

Defensive rating

115.6

52.8%

Effective FG%

59.5%

46.4%

Opp. effective FG%

57.9%

18.4%

Turnover %

17.1%

35.3%

Off. rebound %

28.9%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.34

31.6%

3-point %

38.6%

56.8%

Assist %

61.3%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-62
22/11/22	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-80
06/02/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	93-94
10/10/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	79-93
10/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	80-77
08/06/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-67
06/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-70
09/05/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	69-79
19/02/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	89-78
11/02/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	85-74

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/23	A	Murcia	88-80
05/02/23	H	Tenerife	88-77
03/02/23	A	Monaco	95-91
01/02/23	H	Panathinaikos	83-68
29/01/23	A	Manresa	94-69
26/01/23	H	Barcelona	91-86 OT
22/01/23	H	Breogan	91-73
20/01/23	A	Olympiacos	60-73
15/01/23	A	Granada	82-62
12/01/23	A	Alba Berlin	84-77

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/23	H	Gran Canaria	82-76
10/02/23	A	Panathinaikos	92-91
05/02/23	A	Barcelona	75-81
02/02/23	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	93-94
31/01/23	H	Bayern	82-73
29/01/23	A	Unicaja	86-102
26/01/23	A	Alba Berlin	94-88
22/01/23	H	Basket Zaragoza	88-76
19/01/23	H	Partizan	89-81
15/01/23	H	Manresa	103-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Spanish Cup 2023

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Valencia

Spanish Cup 2023

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	21	20	22	23	86
Valencia	13	21	24	27	85

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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