PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-84
27-22 30-15 14-25 19-22
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game81.5
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game94.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2025
Meetings · Monaco v Valencia
17 Oct 2025
MCO90
VAL84
22 Mar 2024
MCO79
VAL78
24 Mar 2023
MCO90
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
101avg 91
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
95-70
95
70
+25
109avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
104-79
104
79
+25
117avg 91
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
85avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 91
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
103-81
103
81
+22
102avg 91
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 91
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 91
A09/10
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
99-94
99
94
+5
92avg 91
A12/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 91
A15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
29-25
31-19
12-26
21-14
22-21
21-22
31-13
30-16
17-16
31-23
26-24
14-17
24-12
25-16
21-18
20-27
15-18
25-22
24-22
26-23
24-23
29-13
24-22
20-31
21-20
21-24
37-29
22-17
19-19
25-26
16-17
24-15
31-30
22-27
22-22
19-19
15-18
19-22
20-18
175.1Avg total
91.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.581.5167.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)93.585.0178.5+8.550%
Season away (2)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)91.683.5175.1+8.160%
Last 5 (5)91.287.0178.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)82.783.9166.6-1.255%
vs Weaker (8)87.172.9160.0+14.262%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 92
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 92
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 92
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 92
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
185.5Avg total
94.1Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.594.8189.2-0.250%
Season at home (2)98.097.0195.0+1.050%
Season away (2)91.092.5183.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)94.191.4185.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)100.894.6195.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.596.0183.5-8.50%
vs Weaker (23)96.184.0180.1+12.183%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
MonacoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/10
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A12/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/10
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
43.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.879.3-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.480.1-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.278.7+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.541.681.2-2.145%-
vs Weaker (8)39.634.674.2+5.062%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
89.1Avg total
45.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.986.6+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.786.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.186.6+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.389.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.693.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.844.287.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (23)45.241.286.4+4.065%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.8
56.9%
60.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.820.1
77.9%
78.2%20.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.8
56.5%
60.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.8
38.3%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.5
79.3%
78.2%16.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWLWLWWWL
Valencia
LWLWWWWWLL
#10
League position
#3
+10.5
Net rating
+1.7
123.7
Offensive rating
122.5
113.2
Defensive rating
120.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
38.3%
66.9%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 122.5Defence113.2 · 120.8Shooting54.4% · 57.0%3-point %33.6% · 38.3%Ball care12.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.8% · 35.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Monaco   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monaco wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
22/03/24Monaco v Valencia79-78
06/10/23Valencia v Monaco70-65
24/03/23Monaco v Valencia90-79
11/11/22Valencia v Monaco89-84
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25AVirtus Bologna73-77
12/10/25AParis99-94
09/10/25AOlimpia Milano82-79
05/10/25HChalon/Saone99-104
03/10/25HDubai103-81
01/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas84-89
28/09/25ALe Portel84-63
21/09/25HLe Mans104-79
20/09/25ABoulazac95-70
24/06/25AParis93-99
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.593.577.5
Allowed / game81.585.078.0
Point differential+4.0+8.5-0.5
Avg total167.0178.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game94.598.091.0
Allowed / game94.897.092.5
Point differential-0.2+1.0-1.5
Avg total189.2195.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris43175%93.289.0+4.2
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
3 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
4 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%85.682.4+3.2
5 Barcelona53260%93.691.0+2.6
6 Real Madrid53260%82.079.8+2.2
7 Crvena zvezda53260%86.884.8+2.0
8 Olympiacos53260%87.685.6+2.0
9 Dubai53260%82.682.4+0.2
10 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
11 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
12 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
13 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
14 Partizan42250%83.886.8-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano52340%78.277.2+1.0
16 Fenerbahce52340%83.082.6+0.4
17 Bayern52340%76.682.8-6.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv51420%88.092.6-4.6
20 Baskonia4040%90.598.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2730141990
Valencia2215252284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.