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Zalgiris Kaunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 90-85
21-15 23-24 24-29 22-17
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves
14 May 2025
ZAL89
WOL75
02 Feb 2025
ZAL97
WOL84
21 Jan 2024
ZAL82
WOL82
17 Dec 2023
ZAL79
WOL55
22 Apr 2023
ZAL71
WOL65
22 Jan 2023
ZAL91
WOL72
28 Nov 2022
ZAL90
WOL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
95avg 76
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
71avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
109-76
109
76
+33
116avg 76
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 76
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
85avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
93-76
93
76
+17
100avg 76
A10/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
68avg 76
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
95avg 76
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 76
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 76
A25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-15
26-21
19-17
22-20
14-24
21-16
19-27
24-17
22-22
29-12
34-25
13-25
19-19
22-17
34-20
27-23
21-20
21-20
16-26
22-24
28-22
19-21
24-9
16-11
18-13
15-15
22-23
24-14
23-13
25-21
20-11
20-21
24-21
14-22
15-29
24-31
13-13
22-17
21-15
163.4Avg total
86.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.470.7160.1+18.889%
Season at home (4)96.071.2167.2+24.8100%
Season away (5)84.270.2154.4+14.080%
Last 10 (10)86.077.4163.4+8.670%
Last 5 (5)81.873.2155.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.085.2162.2-8.220%
vs Similar (8)72.174.0146.1-1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.772.7161.4+16.088%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 73
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 73
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 73
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 73
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
69avg 73
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-11
17-17
17-23
18-25
27-26
18-16
18-18
23-16
24-26
22-25
20-11
33-13
20-19
19-23
23-15
18-26
15-27
24-17
32-21
28-17
30-24
20-26
22-18
17-18
21-30
19-22
23-30
19-23
24-22
13-20
28-25
20-23
25-11
18-19
16-17
20-28
29-24
22-17
23-10
168.4Avg total
86.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.477.8158.2+2.767%
Season at home (5)85.675.2160.8+10.480%
Season away (4)74.081.0155.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)86.781.7168.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)87.484.8172.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.587.5170.0-5.00%
vs Similar (3)94.385.0179.3+9.367%
vs Weaker (10)80.677.0157.6+3.670%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
Zalgiris KaunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A10/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/11
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
42.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.379.3+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.277.9+9.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.739.980.6+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.081.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.679.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
vs Similar (8)33.838.672.4-4.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.235.281.4+11.094%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H24/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
88.0Avg total
45.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)42.740.983.6+1.844%-
Last 30 at home (9)45.338.183.4+7.267%-
Last 30 away (7)39.344.683.9-5.314%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.788.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.644.090.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)44.048.092.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (3)46.748.795.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (10)41.136.978.0+4.260%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.1
57.9%
54.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.5
37.8%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
74.2%16.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.7
54.9%
54.9%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
35.0%26.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
73.2%
74.2%12.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLWWLW
BC Wolves
WWLLWLWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+11.3
Net rating
+3.9
117.1
Offensive rating
108.2
105.8
Defensive rating
104.3
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.8%
3-point %
31.9%
66.9%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 108.2Defence105.8 · 104.3Shooting57.4% · 51.9%3-point %37.8% · 31.9%Ball care19.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
BC Wolves wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22AValencia80-76
23/11/22ABaskonia73-93
20/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-59
18/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-62
10/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne93-76
06/11/22ARytas85-89
04/11/22HAlba Berlin88-81
30/10/22HJuventus109-76
27/10/22APartizan76-87
23/10/22HNevezis93-75
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22AJuventus94-79
21/11/22HPrienai79-70
17/11/22HNeptunas84-90
05/11/22ANeptunas80-100
02/11/22HJuventus100-85
29/10/22HRytas89-91
26/10/22HPrienai95-70
24/10/22HSiauliai89-78
20/10/22ANeptunas81-85
16/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game89.496.084.2
Allowed / game70.771.270.2
Point differential+18.8+24.8+14.0
Avg total160.1167.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game80.485.674.0
Allowed / game77.875.281.0
Point differential+2.7+10.4-7.0
Avg total158.2160.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%89.470.7+18.8
2 Lietkabelis108280%83.977.2+6.7
3 Jonava108280%84.578.3+6.2
4 Rytas107370%86.580.5+6.0
5 BC Wolves96367%80.477.8+2.7
6 Juventus106460%84.886.2-1.4
7 Neptunas104640%82.084.0-2.0
8 Siauliai104640%82.084.3-2.3
9 Nevezis104640%77.981.3-3.4
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%82.590.0-7.5
11 Gargzdai101910%78.285.1-6.9
12 Prienai100100%78.893.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2123242290
BC Wolves1524291785
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