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Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 71-89
14-20 19-17 17-33 21-19
Position#11
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#1
Record12-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game71.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas
11 Apr 2027
GAR v ZAL
upcoming
17 Sep 2026
GAR77
ZAL98
15 Feb 2026
GAR63
ZAL69
26 Oct 2025
GAR73
ZAL89
17 Sep 2023
GAR55
ZAL107
21 Dec 2022
GAR71
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 76
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 76
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 76
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 76
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 76
A19/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
165.0Avg total
78.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.887.0165.8-8.28%
Season at home (6)72.583.2155.7-10.70%
Season away (7)84.190.3174.4-6.114%
Last 10 (10)78.586.5165.0-8.010%
Last 5 (5)81.694.2175.8-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.187.8163.9-11.70%
vs Similar (2)93.582.5176.0+11.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 77
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 77
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 77
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 77
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 77
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 77
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 77
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 77
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 77
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-21
14-22
15-29
24-31
13-13
22-17
21-15
21-15
23-24
24-29
22-17
13-27
15-17
25-16
14-21
23-18
20-18
13-22
24-17
19-25
14-8
15-30
12-23
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
155.6Avg total
77.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.071.8159.8+16.292%
Season at home (7)91.972.6164.4+19.3100%
Season away (6)83.571.0154.5+12.583%
Last 10 (10)77.378.3155.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Similar (7)72.475.4147.9-3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.373.0161.3+15.394%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
GargzdaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
83.8Avg total
38.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.644.582.2-6.915%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.841.377.2-5.517%-
Last 30 away (7)39.147.386.4-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)38.445.483.8-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.688.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.945.482.3-8.59%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
75.3Avg total
37.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.4+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.575.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.738.681.3+4.180%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.875.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.670.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (7)33.137.670.7-4.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.135.480.5+9.694%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.1
34.8%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.614.2
65.7%
74.2%14.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.4
51.0%
54.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.415.4
83.7%
74.2%15.4
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLWLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#1
-11.4
Net rating
-0.3
105.0
Offensive rating
110.0
116.4
Defensive rating
110.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
22.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
34.8%
74.6%
Assist %
63.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 110.0Defence116.4 · 110.2Shooting52.0% · 51.5%3-point %34.8% · 34.8%Ball care22.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds36.7% · 34.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61
09/12/22HAnadolu Efes60-86
05/12/22AJonava80-75
02/12/22HPanathinaikos67-81
28/11/22HBC Wolves90-85
25/11/22AValencia80-76
23/11/22ABaskonia73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%0%14%
Points / game78.872.584.1
Allowed / game87.083.290.3
Point differential-8.2-10.7-6.1
Avg total165.8155.7174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game88.091.983.5
Allowed / game71.872.671.0
Point differential+16.2+19.3+12.5
Avg total159.8164.4154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1312192%88.071.8+16.2
2 Rytas129375%90.184.2+5.9
3 BC Wolves139469%83.979.6+4.3
4 Juventus139469%85.682.8+2.8
5 Jonava128467%83.279.2+3.9
6 Lietkabelis138562%85.581.7+3.8
7 Siauliai136746%81.882.5-0.8
8 Nevezis136746%80.582.5-2.0
9 Neptunas125742%80.581.7-1.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes123925%79.889.5-9.8
11 Gargzdai131128%78.887.0-8.2
12 Prienai130130%76.992.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1419172171
Zalgiris Kaunas2017331989
← all games of the day
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