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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 66-80
16-15 12-29 25-20 13-16
Position#12
Record13-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#4
Record20-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.5
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H11/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A24/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-22
21-24
21-23
18-18
13-24
29-18
24-25
6-16
18-14
20-20
14-24
26-23
16-17
19-23
17-22
17-13
13-17
25-14
27-26
15-28
14-13
22-18
23-15
25-18
20-15
24-23
16-19
17-23
27-17
18-23
16-15
19-17
24-11
22-16
19-11
25-23
23-17
23-18
17-20
160.7Avg total
81.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.582.8164.4-1.343%
Season at home (14)82.281.6163.9+0.650%
Season away (16)80.983.9164.8-2.938%
Last 10 (10)81.779.0160.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)86.277.0163.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.684.1161.7-6.633%
vs Similar (13)83.087.8170.8-4.823%
vs Weaker (8)83.673.2156.9+10.488%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
13-26
29-27
22-17
26-16
21-24
22-23
19-24
27-31
25-21
14-23
21-15
26-22
21-21
24-17
19-19
21-19
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
170.9Avg total
85.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.081.5167.5+4.565%
Season at home (16)88.982.9171.8+5.962%
Season away (15)82.979.9162.8+3.167%
Last 10 (10)85.885.1170.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)91.286.2177.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
vs Similar (12)81.377.0158.3+4.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.683.3168.9+2.464%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.7+4.7
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H11/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A15/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/04
ACB
74.6Avg total
37.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.378.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.437.075.4+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.481.1-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.874.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.836.477.2+4.378%-
vs Similar (13)37.243.981.1-6.815%-
vs Weaker (8)40.435.175.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
84.4Avg total
41.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.381.5-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.183.5+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.184.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.288.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.142.683.7-1.643%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.7
47.7%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
36.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
76.6%11.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.0
58.5%
53.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.7
37.6%
36.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.914.1
78.8%
76.6%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWWLWLLLL
Valencia
WWWWLWLLWL
#12
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+1.8
102.3
Offensive rating
115.7
105.2
Defensive rating
114.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
57.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
37.6%
50.9%
Assist %
69.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 115.7Defence105.2 · 114.0Shooting49.1% · 57.6%3-point %34.5% · 37.6%Ball care18.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murcia wins
7
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
08/01/17Murcia v Valencia75-78
01/05/16Murcia v Valencia80-62
22/12/15Valencia v Murcia65-54
24/01/15Valencia v Murcia81-63
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21AGipuzkoa88-78
15/04/21AReal Betis84-55
11/04/21HBaskonia92-87 OT
04/04/21AEstudiantes85-75
28/03/21HBilbao82-90 OT
24/03/21AFuenlabrada82-70
20/03/21ATenerife78-85
07/03/21HReal Madrid58-74
27/02/21AManresa84-85
07/02/21HJoventut Badalona84-91
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82
11/04/21ABasket Zaragoza85-76
08/04/21HBaskonia86-81
04/04/21HJoventut Badalona89-102
02/04/21AAlba Berlin90-86
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW43%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game81.582.280.9
Allowed / game82.881.683.9
Point differential-1.3+0.6-2.9
Avg total164.4163.9164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%21%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game86.088.982.9
Allowed / game81.582.979.9
Point differential+4.5+5.9+3.1
Avg total167.5171.8162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3231197%87.575.8+11.7
2 Barcelona3228488%87.373.3+14.0
3 Tenerife3326779%88.579.0+9.5
4 Baskonia3122971%83.578.5+4.9
5 Valencia31201165%86.081.5+4.5
6 San Pablo Burgos33201361%87.083.0+4.0
7 Joventut Badalona32181456%85.884.7+1.1
8 Unicaja30141647%83.683.0+0.6
9 Manresa33151845%84.487.8-3.4
10 Gran Canaria31141745%80.784.2-3.5
11 Murcia30131743%81.582.8-1.3
12 Basket Zaragoza33141942%88.288.2+0.0
13 MoraBanc Andorra29121741%77.979.4-1.5
14 Obradoiro CAB31102132%80.385.1-4.9
15 Real Betis32102231%78.083.7-5.7
16 Fuenlabrada3092130%80.284.1-3.9
17 Estudiantes3292328%82.288.0-5.8
18 Bilbao3172423%79.787.5-7.8
19 Gipuzkoa3272522%73.787.1-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1612251366
Valencia1529201680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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