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Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-80
24-15 15-21 31-21 23-23
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game84.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.0
SpainACBRound 2
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes
24 Sep 2020
MUR93
EST80
03 Jan 2019
MUR73
EST88
24 May 2018
MUR71
EST77
30 Dec 2016
MUR100
EST91
17 Jan 2016
MUR83
EST70
09 Nov 2014
MUR79
EST65
23 Mar 2014
MUR85
EST84
30 Dec 2012
MUR68
EST91
28 Dec 2011
MUR88
EST75
29 Nov 2009
MUR83
EST89
25 Jan 2009
MUR78
EST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H02/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H05/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H11/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A20/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
23-27
24-31
22-25
16-24
22-19
17-23
20-20
21-19
15-11
11-31
29-22
31-20
20-26
21-21
24-19
18-19
19-20
19-24
24-19
20-23
14-17
8-19
19-15
30-17
24-15
11-28
29-26
17-17
19-21
20-19
22-19
20-13
15-30
24-23
14-18
10-23
21-32
14-17
21-12
163.4Avg total
79.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.084.0150.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.084.0150.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)79.284.2163.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)74.480.8155.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.782.1158.8-5.427%
vs Similar (16)82.284.8166.9-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)71.358.0129.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#15
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A25/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A28/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H01/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H20/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-18
24-19
12-28
16-20
7-21
26-20
23-17
16-30
16-23
29-17
14-33
20-14
16-22
22-19
16-26
12-14
17-11
24-22
13-16
16-26
22-21
25-30
23-20
21-20
13-22
19-18
15-22
9-14
21-20
23-9
20-26
10-16
10-16
17-14
18-18
18-25
19-15
25-21
22-27
154.2Avg total
72.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.088.0172.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)84.088.0172.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.581.7154.2-9.220%
Last 5 (5)73.280.0153.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.078.3149.3-7.327%
vs Similar (2)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (2)70.576.0146.5-5.50%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
MurciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A20/09
ACB
81.0Avg total
39.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.776.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.435.273.6+3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.181.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.835.570.3-0.636%-
vs Similar (16)41.041.582.5-0.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.326.064.3+12.367%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#15
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A25/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A28/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/09
ACB
71.0Avg total
31.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.870.1-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.836.168.8-3.339%-
Last 30 away (12)31.640.371.9-8.817%-
Last 10 (10)31.539.571.0-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.070.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.537.670.0-5.131%-
vs Similar (2)30.543.073.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker (2)32.035.067.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
53.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
36.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
76.6%13.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.4
52.3%
53.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
36.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
76.6%14.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWWLLWLLL
Estudiantes
LLWLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#18
-7.0
Net rating
-9.3
105.8
Offensive rating
111.2
112.9
Defensive rating
120.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
36.7%
39.4%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 111.2Defence112.9 · 120.5Shooting50.2% · 53.5%3-point %34.8% · 36.7%Ball care20.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds37.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
24/03/19Estudiantes v Murcia86-110
03/01/19Murcia v Estudiantes73-88
24/05/18Murcia v Estudiantes71-77
03/12/17Estudiantes v Murcia79-91
09/04/17Estudiantes v Murcia109-84
30/12/16Murcia v Estudiantes100-91
10/05/16Estudiantes v Murcia67-82
17/01/16Murcia v Estudiantes83-70
08/02/15Estudiantes v Murcia90-79
09/11/14Murcia v Estudiantes79-65
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/20AMoraBanc Andorra66-84
18/05/19ASan Pablo Burgos73-84
11/05/19HUnicaja78-76
09/05/19AJoventut Badalona94-86
05/05/19HGipuzkoa61-74
02/05/19HReal Madrid80-82
28/04/19AManresa96-86
13/04/19ATenerife76-83
07/04/19HBaskonia75-86
31/03/19AFuenlabrada93-101
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/20HManresa84-88
14/03/20HLibertad55-64
07/03/20HRegatas73-69
29/02/20HBoca Juniors68-82
13/02/20HQuimsa86-97
06/02/20HObras Sanitarias66-63
01/02/20HComunicaciones Mercedes74-81
28/01/20AObras Sanitarias75-103
26/01/20AFerro72-78
25/01/20APenarol72-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obradoiro CAB110100%101.082.0+19.0
2 MoraBanc Andorra110100%84.066.0+18.0
3 Real Madrid110100%86.070.0+16.0
4 Joventut Badalona110100%81.073.0+8.0
5 Tenerife220100%86.078.0+8.0
6 Gran Canaria110100%107.0102.0+5.0
7 Manresa110100%88.084.0+4.0
8 Barcelona110100%89.086.0+3.0
9 Baskonia110100%76.073.0+3.0
10 San Pablo Burgos1010%86.089.0-3.0
11 Valencia1010%73.076.0-3.0
12 Estudiantes1010%84.088.0-4.0
13 Basket Zaragoza1010%86.091.0-5.0
14 Bilbao2020%86.094.0-8.0
15 Unicaja1010%73.081.0-8.0
16 Gipuzkoa1010%70.086.0-16.0
17 Murcia1010%66.084.0-18.0
18 Fuenlabrada1010%82.0101.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2415312393
Estudiantes1521212380
← all games of the day
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