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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record5-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#7
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A28/10
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
159.6Avg total
80.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.880.2156.1-4.442%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (5)74.684.8159.4-10.220%
Last 10 (10)80.778.9159.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.479.4165.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
vs Similar (6)75.280.8156.0-5.733%
vs Weaker (18)87.876.4164.2+11.383%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#12
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
115-70
115
70
+45
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
102-79
102
79
+23
A21/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-24
25-19
16-17
10-21
16-11
25-12
23-30
21-2
20-22
31-21
18-20
23-20
18-17
26-17
14-23
18-12
22-27
14-17
20-17
14-25
22-21
19-18
26-25
29-18
33-21
24-16
29-15
26-21
28-19
28-24
20-15
14-18
22-17
23-19
20-17
18-19
16-16
19-18
19-27
161.6Avg total
85.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.477.7164.1+8.673%
Season at home (8)86.977.4164.2+9.575%
Season away (3)85.078.7163.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)85.576.1161.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)89.877.8167.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.686.1168.8-3.529%
vs Similar (4)78.575.8154.2+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.276.7162.9+9.675%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#22
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
82.0Avg total
42.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.980.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.938.679.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)43.039.482.4+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.782.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.084.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
vs Similar (6)38.239.377.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker (18)44.238.882.9+5.467%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
B League
77.8Avg total
40.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.680.8-0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)41.442.784.1-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.344.685.9-3.329%-
vs Similar (4)38.839.878.5-1.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.738.679.2+2.150%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
53.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
73.7%10.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.3
60.7%
53.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.8
29.5%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.914.6
66.7%
73.7%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWLLLWWW
Kyoto
LWWWLWWWWL
#16
League position
#7
-2.7
Net rating
+10.2
89.5
Offensive rating
98.5
92.2
Defensive rating
88.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
29.5%
65.4%
Assist %
79.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 98.5Defence92.2 · 88.3Shooting51.9% · 54.0%3-point %34.8% · 29.5%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nagasaki wins
6
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Kyoto v Nagasaki90-65
03/10/26Kyoto v Nagasaki84-76 OT
03/05/26Nagasaki v Kyoto63-84
02/05/26Nagasaki v Kyoto105-94
11/03/26Kyoto v Nagasaki80-90
29/10/25Nagasaki v Kyoto91-73
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
08/10/26HShinshu74-71
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AShinshu72-80
26/10/26HAkita79-71
21/10/26AChiba102-79
18/10/26HSaga115-70
11/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa81-89
09/10/26HYokohama74-73
07/10/26AToyama81-77
04/10/26HNagasaki90-65
03/10/26HNagasaki84-76 OT
27/09/26HShiga77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game75.876.774.6
Allowed / game80.277.084.8
Point differential-4.4-0.3-10.2
Avg total156.1153.7159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Kyoto
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game86.486.985.0
Allowed / game77.777.478.7
Point differential+8.6+9.5+6.3
Avg total164.1164.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1110191%92.479.5+12.9
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Sendai129375%86.680.1+6.5
7 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
8 Tokyo Sunrockers128467%91.079.2+11.8
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
12 Toyama116555%82.385.7-3.5
13 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
14 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
15 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
16 Nagasaki125742%75.880.2-4.4
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane104640%81.382.4-1.1
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba114736%91.598.0-6.5
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe112918%78.686.5-7.8
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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