PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Kyoto Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record9-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.2
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 76
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 76
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 76
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 76
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 76
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
115-70
115
70
+45
127avg 82
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
106avg 82
A21/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 82
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 82
A30/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
58avg 82
A01/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H09/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
98-75
98
75
+23
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-21
19-18
26-25
29-18
33-21
24-16
29-15
26-21
28-19
28-24
20-15
14-18
22-17
23-19
20-17
18-19
16-16
19-18
19-27
23-12
12-13
12-16
18-26
23-20
20-18
23-23
21-31
18-15
12-26
25-18
24-26
18-26
17-15
18-29
17-24
29-23
24-16
25-16
20-20
165.0Avg total
84.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.379.2163.6+5.156%
Season at home (10)87.277.9165.1+9.370%
Season away (6)79.581.5161.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)84.880.2165.0+4.640%
Last 5 (5)79.882.6162.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.086.5169.5-3.527%
vs Similar (3)86.778.0164.7+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.777.2160.9+6.467%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A01/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H09/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/11
B League
79.7Avg total
41.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.082.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.881.6+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.241.182.4+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.979.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.444.385.7-2.933%-
vs Similar (3)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.337.277.5+3.258%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.1
59.1%
53.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.714.7
67.7%
73.8%14.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
Kyoto
WLLLLLWWWL
#21
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
+10.5
93.2
Offensive rating
97.2
91.1
Defensive rating
86.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
29.5%
65.8%
Assist %
78.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 97.2Defence91.1 · 86.7Shooting54.0% · 53.3%3-point %35.8% · 29.5%Ball care15.9% · 15.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nagasaki wins
6
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Kyoto v Nagasaki90-65
03/10/26Kyoto v Nagasaki84-76 OT
03/05/26Nagasaki v Kyoto63-84
02/05/26Nagasaki v Kyoto105-94
11/03/26Kyoto v Nagasaki80-90
29/10/25Nagasaki v Kyoto91-73
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HIbaraki Robots98-75
11/11/26AUtsunomiya Brex70-94
09/11/26HLevanga Hokkaido79-85
07/11/26ATokyo Sunrockers87-92
01/11/26AShinshu65-67
30/10/26AShinshu72-80
26/10/26HAkita79-71
21/10/26AChiba102-79
18/10/26HSaga115-70
11/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Kyoto
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%70%33%
Points / game84.387.279.5
Allowed / game79.277.981.5
Point differential+5.1+9.3-2.0
Avg total163.6165.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.