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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 04:55
Final 105-94
25-19 34-31 17-29 29-15
Position#1
Record46-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#20
Record19-39
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game81.1
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
A19/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
106-74
106
74
+32
H22/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A26/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
22-24
25-27
28-21
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
15-17
18-27
20-22
27-16
25-20
23-16
21-29
21-24
20-26
18-21
23-21
21-15
17-15
29-18
32-12
12-24
18-27
26-28
18-20
31-18
23-19
32-12
29-21
22-22
22-18
26-20
10-17
25-18
29-17
21-17
29-20
12-15
176.0Avg total
92.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)91.479.4170.8+12.179%
Season at home (28)92.179.6171.6+12.582%
Season away (30)90.979.2170.1+11.777%
Last 10 (10)92.783.3176.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)95.877.6173.4+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.282.0171.2+7.168%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A11/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H18/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H19/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A22/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H25/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H26/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
17-24
23-18
12-26
20-16
18-19
24-23
13-17
23-26
25-25
18-17
23-22
22-20
19-20
29-25
17-18
18-15
21-26
22-15
14-20
15-29
22-13
18-20
29-27
24-23
22-22
21-30
18-19
18-20
14-23
12-27
22-14
25-17
19-27
24-26
20-8
22-27
20-28
23-21
18-16
168.1Avg total
82.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)74.281.1155.3-7.033%
Season at home (30)76.079.3155.3-3.343%
Season away (28)72.283.1155.3-11.021%
Last 10 (10)82.485.7168.1-3.330%
Last 5 (5)81.287.4168.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.482.7160.1-5.335%
vs Similar (5)75.677.4153.0-1.860%
vs Weaker (2)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A19/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H22/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A26/04
B League
87.4Avg total
46.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.586.1+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.143.091.1+5.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.140.382.4+1.859%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.187.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.638.286.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.241.586.7+3.664%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H18/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H19/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/04
B League
Osaka
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H25/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H26/04
B League
85.0Avg total
40.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.481.1-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.441.579.9-3.135%-
Last 30 away (13)38.943.682.5-4.723%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.185.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.886.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.942.981.8-4.026%-
vs Similar (5)38.040.678.6-2.660%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.578.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.622.4
62.9%
53.1%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
33.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
73.1%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.7
54.4%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.5
39.8%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.911.5
72.3%
73.1%11.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWLWLLW
Kyoto
LWLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#20
+10.5
Net rating
-3.9
105.0
Offensive rating
97.8
94.5
Defensive rating
101.7
59.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.5%
3-point %
39.8%
67.9%
Assist %
82.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 97.8Defence94.5 · 101.7Shooting59.8% · 56.6%3-point %37.5% · 39.8%Ball care15.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
5
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Kyoto v Nagasaki80-90
29/10/25Nagasaki v Kyoto91-73
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles91-69
25/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-73
22/04/26HShimane106-74
19/04/26AIbaraki Robots109-103 OT
18/04/26AIbaraki Robots90-69
15/04/26HHiroshima D.82-83
12/04/26AHokkaido90-89
11/04/26AHokkaido80-82
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
05/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles99-88
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HOsaka83-92
25/04/26HOsaka88-78
22/04/26AGunma66-84
19/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa85-94
18/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa84-89
15/04/26AShimane75-76
12/04/26ASaga87-83
11/04/26ASaga89-90
08/04/26HDiamond Dolphins90-82 OT
05/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game91.492.190.9
Allowed / game79.479.679.2
Point differential+12.1+12.5+11.7
Avg total170.8171.6170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%64%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %33%43%21%
Points / game74.276.072.2
Allowed / game81.179.383.1
Point differential-7.0-3.3-11.0
Avg total155.3155.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki58461279%91.479.4+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex58441476%85.879.8+6.0
3 SeaHorses Mikawa58421672%84.077.5+6.5
4 Diamond Dolphins58411771%83.274.5+8.8
5 Ryukyu58411771%82.075.0+7.0
6 Gunma58401869%83.172.6+10.5
7 Chiba58401869%83.976.6+7.3
8 Alvark58401869%80.876.8+4.0
9 Hokkaido58362262%87.986.2+1.7
10 Sendai58352360%82.779.7+3.1
11 NeoPhoenix58342459%85.783.5+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.58312753%85.983.6+2.3
13 Saga58302852%82.282.1+0.1
14 Shimane58273147%79.580.9-1.4
15 Yokohama58263245%79.481.8-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya58243441%76.580.3-3.8
17 Osaka58233540%81.282.9-1.8
18 Shiga58223638%80.485.2-4.8
19 Koshigaya Alphas58203834%75.382.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba58193933%78.883.8-5.0
21 Kyoto58193933%74.281.1-7.0
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles58174129%79.784.7-4.9
23 Ibaraki Robots58174129%75.881.4-5.7
24 Toyama58164228%81.288.5-7.3
25 Brave Thunders58144424%75.784.3-8.5
26 Akita58104817%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki25341729105
Kyoto1931291594
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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